Southampton vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Apr 2025

Betting Over 2.5 in the Total Goals market at -163 looks to be the way forward based on the available stats. We anticipate three goals or more to be recorded in the contest between Southampton and Aston Villa.

Southampton were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 3-1 loss against Tottenham Hotspur at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The Saints had 49% possession and four shots on target, with Mateus Fernandes getting the goal.

Aston Villa have won their previous three Premier League games. The latest was a 2-1 home triumph at Villa Park against Nottingham Forest. The Birmingham outfit had eight shots on goal and 53% possession, while Morgan Rogers and Donyell Malen were both on target.

On Wednesday night, Villa lost 3-1 when visiting PSG in the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final tie.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Villa have four straight victories against Southampton. In their last encounter, Villa banked a 1-0 home win at Villa Park. The previous 9 H2H meetings have involved Villa winning five times and Southampton registering four victories.

1 win, 8 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts. Southampton have had 46.4% possession, 423.4 passes and 3.6 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 2.7 goals from 7.0 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts, while being awarded 4.0 corners.

Top goalscorer Paul Onuachu has found the net 4 times, Jan Bednarek 2, with Mateus Fernandes and two other players on 1. Mateus Fernandes is the leading assists maker with 2.

Villa have 4 victories, 2 defeats and 4 draws, averaging 4.6 shots on goal, 12.1 attempts and 1.5 goals. The Villans average 53.2% possession, 434.8 passes, 5.4 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 13.6 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Ollie Watkins has landed 4 goals, Marco Asensio 3, with Donyell Malen and two others scoring 2. Morgan Rogers, Ollie Watkins and Marcus Rashford have had 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Emiliano Martinez has one clean sheet to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Southampton confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Aaron Ramsdale (GK), Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Jan Bednarek, Jack Stephens, Kyle Walker-Peters, Mateus Fernandes, Lesley Ugochukwu, Ryan Manning, Cameron Archer, Kamaldeen Sulemana, Paul Onuachu.

Aston Villa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Tyrone Mings, Ian Maatsen, Amadou Onana, Youri Tielemans, Morgan Rogers, Marco Asensio, Jacob Ramsey, Marcus Rashford.

Southampton vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips

Let’s play Over 2.5 goals to be scored at tasty odds of -163 for this Premier League showdown. There’s every chance that the two sides will deliver a return and we think this is a value wager.

Our team of football experts monitor the current injuries and suspensions. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Southampton vs Aston Villa league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Southampton games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Southampton games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Villa games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Villa games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Villa games.

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 61.9% prospect of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 70%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Your Over 2.5 Goals bet can have its odds boosted if you decide to make it a Result & Total Goals wager. This means also selecting a specific team to secure the win.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -163 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Southampton 1 - 3 Aston Villa

There are betting odds of +900 that Aston Villa land a 3-1 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Corners Prediction

Aston Villa Under 6.5 Corners -138

It’s been an average of 3.80 Aston Villa corners in the past 5 games, while the previous eight Southampton matches have involved them conceding under 6.5 corners. We’re anticipating Villa to fall short of the line, with this Team Corners wager available at -138.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Southampton

Total

7.60 3.60 4.00

Home

8.20 3.30 4.90

Away

9.60 4.00 5.60

Aston Villa

Total

10.10 5.40 4.70

Home

11.30 7.90 3.40

Away

10.30 4.90 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-141

Under 9.5

-100

Southampton Corners

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-110

Aston Villa Corners

Over 5.5

-150

Under 5.5

+110

Most Corners

1

+270

X

+650

2

-313

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Southampton vs Aston Villa Odds

With a 67% chance of winning, Aston Villa are favourites to win this Premier League match and they’re available at betting odds of -204 with the bookies. Southampton are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and they can be backed at +510.

A high-scoring match is a possibility and that is reflected in the Over 2.5 Goals odds.

A Bet Builder allows you to combine different Premier League betting markets for a match. For example, you might want to predict the Match Winner and Total Goals at a football betting site.

Full-Time Result

1

+510

X

+360

2

-204

Half-Time Result

1

+430

X

+155

2

-104

Double Chance

1X

+155

12

-500

X2

-769

Draw No Bet

1

+350

2

-526

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1

-100

2 Hcp -1

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+148

Over 2.5

-189

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-154

No

+115

Southampton vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News

Our Southampton vs Villa team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.

The Premier League squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Southampton Team Page Aston Villa Team Page

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