Southampton vs Birmingham Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Dec 2025
Championship Betting Preview: Southampton vs Birmingham
Southampton go head-to-head with Birmingham at St. Mary's, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 6 December.
We can back Southampton at +123 to get the better of Birmingham and this looks like a standout price. The Full-Time Result market gives us the chance to grab a slice of value for this selection.
Backing Southampton for the win? Take advantage of the current BetMGM promo code and read our comprehensive review for everything you need to know before betting.
Southampton have enjoyed two Championship home wins in a row. They were defeated in their last league game when losing 3-2 on the road against Millwall. The Saints enjoyed 59% possession and had eight shots on target, with Adam Armstrong and Finn Azaz scoring one goal apiece.
Birmingham City claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 2-1 win occurred against Watford at St Andrew's. Chris Davies' team had 49% possession and managed five shots on goal, with Seung-Ho Paik and Demarai Gray on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was Southampton who came out on top when they last played Birmingham. At St Andrew's, a 4-3 away win was recorded.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |  Birmingham |
18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 27:20 | 28 |
| 14 |  Southampton |
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 28:25 | 24 |
4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 14.3 attempts. Southampton have had 56.0% possession and 5.2 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 12.9 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.8 corners.
Top scorers Adam Armstrong and Finn Azaz have found the net 5 times, with Taylor Harwood-Bellis getting 2. Adam Armstrong is the top assists maker with 3.
Birmingham have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 14.2 attempts, 4.5 shots on goal and 2.0 goals. The West Midlands club average 54.8% possession, 5.0 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 3.8 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts.
Jay Stansfield has top scored with 5, while Seung-Ho Paik, Demarai Gray and Marvin Ducksch are next on 3. Jay Stansfield and Alexander Cochrane have had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Southampton predicted lineup (3-4-3): Gavin Bazunu (GK), Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Nathan Wood, Jack Stephens, Tom Fellows, Cameron Bragg, Caspar Jander, Ryan Manning, Finn Azaz, Joe Aribo, Adam Armstrong.
Birmingham predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): James Beadle (GK), Tomoki Iwata, Phil Neumann, Christoph Klarer, Alex Cochrane, Seung-ho Paik, Tommy Doyle, Patrick Roberts, Jay Stansfield, Demarai Gray, Marvin Ducksch.
Southampton vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Southampton vs Birmingham betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation and best bet builder insights.
Match Prediction
We really like Southampton at odds of +123 to win this Championship game, with this bet making lots of appeal. There’s a nice potential return and we think a victory could be on the cards.
We’re always monitoring the Championship team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.
Key Southampton vs Birmingham league stats:
According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 44.8% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 50%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
If you expect Southampton to claim a victory, why not consider a Match Result & Total bet where you can back this selection along with over or under a certain goal line, providing bigger odds in the process.
Don’t place your bets without seeing the latest offers. Our in-depth guide helps you find the best welcome bonuses available today.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Birmingham
Let’s take a chance on the +600 available that Southampton secure a 1-0 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.
Player Prop Picks
Jay Stansfield (Birmingham) can be wagered at -152 to finish with at least one shot on goal. It’s all about backing him at attractive odds when it comes to the Shots on Target market.
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Caspar Jander (Southampton) has racked up two goals in his past five Championship matches. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +575 which will hopefully see him find the net.
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Bet Builder Tips
It’s great fun to place a same-game multi and our picks are Southampton to come out on top, BTTS No combined with Jay Stansfield (Birmingham) to have a minimum of one shot on target.
A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. You can go through the available markets and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Southampton vs Birmingham Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The Full-Time Result odds of +123 suggest that Southampton are likely victors and there’s a 45% probability that the favourites win this Championship clash. Birmingham City are the +215 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.
A win for Southampton would see a full payout on the Asian Handicap -0.25 option. You can get -111 that they overcome Birmingham going down this route and half stake refunded if it’s a draw.
Under and Over 2.5 Goals bettors are able to get odds which are similar for the Total Goals market. The Both Teams to Score market is always popular and BTTS Yes can be backed at -156.
The top football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to Championship games, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.
Adam Armstrong is the market leader at +480 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Southampton have clocked up four draws, three victories and three defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 0.90.
Birmingham are winless in the last three away games. Chris Davies' team have managed five losses, three victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.30.
Southampton enjoyed a 3-1 winning scoreline when last meeting Birmingham at St. Mary's.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton Home Stats |
3-4-3 | 2.00 | 1.10 | 0.90 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
| Birmingham Away Stats |
3-2-5 | 2.10 | 0.80 | 1.30 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Southampton League Stats
Birmingham League Stats
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 5.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.33 corners awarded and 3.44 corners against in the last 9 away matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.78 corners awarded in the last 9 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 9 away matches
- An average of 56.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 54.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.33% possession in the last 9 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 9 away matches
- Top Scorers for Southampton this season are Adam Armstrong (7), Finn Azaz (6), Ryan Manning (3)
- Top Assistors for Southampton this season are Adam Armstrong (3), Finn Azaz (2), Ryan Fraser (2)
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Southampton vs Birmingham Lineups & Team News
Get the latest team news for Southampton vs Birmingham before you bet. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Championship along with up-to-date injury news.
Southampton Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Birmingham Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Southampton Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Birmingham Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Southampton Lineups
Previous Birmingham Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Southampton Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Tonda Eckert
| Player | # | Pos | GP | MIN | ST | BE | G | A | Y | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Armstrong | 9 | F | 18 | 1269 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Ryan Manning | 3 | M | 17 | 1257 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Nathan Wood | 15 | D | 14 | 1237 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | 21 | D | 13 | 1170 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Caspar Jander | 20 | M | 13 | 1079 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Birmingham Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 50:18 | 43 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 24:19 | 33 |
| 3 | Millwall | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:25 | 31 |
| 4 | Stoke | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26:14 | 30 |
| 5 | Preston | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 6 | Bristol City | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 26:20 | 29 |
| 7 | Ipswich | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 8 | Birmingham | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27:20 | 28 |
| 9 | Hull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30:30 | 28 |
| 10 | Wrexham | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 23:20 | 26 |
| 11 | Derby | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:25 | 26 |
| 12 | West Brom | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20:22 | 25 |
| 13 | QPR | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:28 | 25 |
| 14 | Southampton | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 28:25 | 24 |
| 15 | Watford | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:23 | 24 |
| 16 | Leicester | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | 24 |
| 17 | Charlton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | 23 |
| 18 | Blackburn | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | 21 |
| 19 | Sheffield Utd | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 20:28 | 19 |
| 20 | Oxford | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20:25 | 18 |
| 21 | Swansea | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18:27 | 17 |
| 22 | Portsmouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15:25 | 17 |
| 23 | Norwich | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19:29 | 13 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 14:36 | -10 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 23 |
| 2 | Birmingham | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Millwall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 19 |
| 5 | Watford | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Preston | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Hull | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Stoke | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 9 | Ipswich | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 10 | West Brom | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 16 |
| 11 | Wrexham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 14 |
| 14 | Leicester | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 15 | Southampton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 16 | Derby | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 17 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 19 | Oxford | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Swansea | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | 9 |
| 21 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | 5 |
| 23 | Norwich | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5:24 | 2 |
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