Southampton vs Brighton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Feb 2025

Best Bet Could Be Seagulls for the Win

The outstanding wager can be found on the Full-Time Result market where Brighton are currently trading at -167. We believe the visitors will get the better of Southampton and this looks like a value pick.

1-1 Draw in Pair’s Previous Clash

Southampton have lost their last seven home games, most recently being beaten 3-1 by Bournemouth at St. Mary's Stadium. Ivan Juric's side had 45% possession and four shots on target, while Kamaldeen Sulemana scored the goal.

Brighton claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 3-0 win occurred against Chelsea at The American Express Community Stadium. The Sussex outfit had just 30% possession and recorded five shots on goal, with Yankuba Minteh on the scoresheet twice and Kaoru Mitoma also finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Brighton have not lost any of the past six games against Southampton, with the last clash seeing a 1-1 draw played out at The American Express Community Stadium. The past 10 H2H matches have witnessed four draws along with three wins each.

1 win, 8 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.8 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts. Southampton have had 47.8% possession, 432.8 passes and 3.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 2.6 goals from 7.3 shots on goal and 16.9 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.4 corners.

Top goalscorers are Paul Onuachu and Jan Bednarek on 2 goals, while Kamaldeen Sulemana has bagged 1. Paul Onuachu, James Bree and Lesley Ugochukwu have recorded the most assists with 1 apiece. Meanwhile, goalkeeper Aaron Ramsdale has kept one clean sheet.

Brighton have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 4, with an average of 4.5 shots on goal, 12.8 attempts and 1.3 goals. Fabian Hurzeler's team average 52.6% possession, 459.1 passes, 5.0 corners awarded and 5.2 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 10.0 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Kaoru Mitoma and Yankuba Minteh on 3, with Georginio Rutter getting 2. Danny Welbeck and Joao Pedro are the top assist makers with 2 apiece, while Bart Verbruggen has notched 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Southampton confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Aaron Ramsdale (GK), James Bree, Jan Bednarek, Joe Aribo, Kyle Walker-Peters, Lesley Ugochukwu, Mateus Fernandes, Welington, Tyler Dibling, Cameron Archer, Kamaldeen Sulemana.

Brighton confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Jack Hinshelwood, Jan Paul van Hecke, Adam Webster, Tariq Lamptey, Carlos Baleba, Yasin Ayari, Yankuba Minteh, Georginio Rutter, Kaoru Mitoma, Joao Pedro.

Southampton vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips

Our prediction is that Brighton will have too much for the opposition and we’ll therefore take the -167 when it comes to this Premier League clash. This wager sticks out when it comes to landing value.

The first port of call is to check out the team news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key Southampton vs Brighton league stats:

• Brighton have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• Southampton have lost all of their last 5 games at home.
• Southampton have lost 10 of their last 12 games at home.
• Southampton have lost their last 7 games at home.

Brighton to Win Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 62.5% chance of winning. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

Lots of bettors wanting to back Brighton to secure a win will look to combine this selection in a Bet Builder. This provides you with a chance to secure a bigger price by featuring a number of picks.

Our Match Prediction

Brighton To Win @ -167 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Southampton 1 - 4 Brighton

There are betting odds of +2000 that Brighton land a 4-1 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -150

It has been three straight Brighton games involving the 9.5 Total Corners line being covered, with two consecutive Southampton home matches seeing the same thing happen. We’re happy to back the -150 when it comes to the teams covering the Total Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Southampton

Total

8.30 3.90 4.40

Home

9.80 3.60 6.20

Away

11.20 4.40 6.80

Brighton

Total

10.20 5.00 5.20

Home

10.20 5.50 4.70

Away

10.90 4.60 6.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-150

Under 9.5

+110

Southampton Corners

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-110

Brighton Corners

Over 5.5

-150

Under 5.5

+110

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Southampton vs Brighton Odds

With a 68% chance of winning, Brighton are favourites to win this Premier League match and they’re available at betting odds of -208 with the bookies. At +500, Southampton are regarded as having a lower probability of winning this match.

Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Premier League coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the bet that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

+500

X

+350

2

-208

Half-Time Result

1

+450

X

+150

2

-100

Double Chance

1X

+162.5

12

-549

X2

-800

Draw No Bet

1

+350

2

-549

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.25

-120

2 Hcp -1.25

+110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+137.5

Over 2.5

-175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

+105

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Southampton vs Brighton Lineups & Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Southampton vs Brighton team news.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Premier League squads.

Southampton Team Page Brighton & Hove Albion Team Page