Southampton vs Swansea Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Oct 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Southampton vs Swansea

Southampton host Swansea in this Championship game at St. Mary's, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 18 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Swans Should Put Up a Fight

Swansea +0.5 could be the value play when they clash with Southampton. We’ll take the Asian Handicap price of -119 that the away team land a victory or draw, giving us a strong chance of a return.

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Teams’ Previous Meet Saw 3-0 Southampton Win

Southampton played out a 1-1 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Pride Park against Derby County. The South Coast outfit enjoyed 63% possession and had six shots on target, with Adam Armstrong scoring the goal.

Swansea City lost when last in action. In a home game at Swansea.com Stadium, they were turned over 3-1 by Leicester City. The Swans enjoyed 55% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, while Adam Idah was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Southampton had the upper hand in the previous clash between these sides, recording a 3-0 FA Cup home victory against Swansea at St. Mary's. Southampton have won all of the past 4 H2H meetings.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Swansea	9	3	3	3	10	10	0	10:10	12
17	Southampton	9	2	5	2	11	12	-1	11:12	11

View Full Table

2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts. Southampton have had 57.5% possession and 5.8 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.4 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts, while being awarded 3.9 corners.

Adam Armstrong and Ross Stewart lead the way with 3 goals, while Ryan Manning has 2. The leading assistors are Ryan Fraser and Mateus Fernandes with 2.

Swansea have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 4, averaging 3.7 shots on goal, 10.4 attempts and 1.3 goals. The South Wales club average 56.6% possession, 4.3 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 12.0 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

Zan Vipotnik and Ronald Pereira have scored 4, followed by Liam Cullen with 2. Josh Tymon has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 4.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Southampton predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Alex McCarthy (GK), Ronnie Edwards, Nathan Wood, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Ryan Manning, Shea Charles, Caspar Jander, Ryan Fraser, Finn Azaz, Tom Fellows, Adam Armstrong.

Swansea predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Lawrence Vigouroux (GK), Josh Key, Ben Cabango, Cameron Burgess, Josh Tymon, Ethan Galbraith, Gonçalo Franco, Ronald, Marko Stamenic, Zeidane Inoussa, Zan Vipotnik.

Southampton vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Southampton vs Swansea betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, a corners betting angle, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Match Prediction

We’ll back Swansea on the Asian Handicap in this Championship clash, with odds of -119 on offer that the away team win with a +0.5 goal start. We’re optimistic that they will stay close to their opponents.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Championship form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.

Key Southampton vs Swansea league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Swansea in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Swansea in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Southampton in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Southampton in 7 of their last 9 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Southampton in 3 consecutive games at home.

Swansea +0.5 Probability

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 54.3% chance of winning. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If you’re hunting for bigger odds and feel confident your pick is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

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Our Match Prediction

Swansea Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -119 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Southampton 1 - 1 Swansea

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +430 and it involves the game ending in a 1-1 scoreline. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Zan Vipotnik to Score +290

Zan Vipotnik (Swansea) has managed four goals in his past nine Championship games. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of +290.

Latest Zan Vipotnik Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-139

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Corners Prediction

Southampton Over 5.5 Corners -110

The 5.5 corners line has been covered by Southampton in four straight home games, while the past two Swansea away matches have seen over 5.5 corners conceded. We’re anticipating that there will be plenty of Southampton corners and that the Team Corners line will be covered, with odds of -110 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Southampton

Total

9.70 5.80 3.90

Home

10.90 4.20 6.70

Away

8.60 4.80 3.80

Swansea

Total

9.10 4.30 4.80

Home

8.40 4.40 4.00

Away

8.40 3.60 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+104

Southampton Corners

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-125

Swansea Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

Most Corners

1

-185

X

+650

2

+188

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Southampton vs Swansea Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Southampton Betting Favourites to Win

Favourites Southampton are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Championship clash. The -109 about them triumphing means a 52% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. If you’re interested in wagering Swansea City, you can get +320 for the underdog.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Southampton available at +148 and Swansea at +330. The third option is the draw which is priced at +117.

If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option. The Both Teams to Score market provides some good options, with Yes and No hard to split in terms of odds.

For those visiting the best betting sites, you are guaranteed a fantastic service for all the Championship games. The hundreds of football markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-109

X

+230

2

+320

Half-Time Result

1

+148

X

+117

2

+330

Double Chance

1X

-526

12

-357

X2

-128

Draw No Bet

1

-270

2

+180

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-114

2 Hcp +0.5

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-133

Over 2.5

+102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-119

No

-116

Adam Armstrong Favourite to Score the First Goal

Adam Armstrong is the First Goalscorer favourite at +420. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +188.

Adam Armstrong (Southampton)

First

+188

Anytime

+420

Ross Cameron Stewart (Southampton)

First

+215

Anytime

+475

Damion Downs (Southampton)

First

+220

Anytime

+500

Cameron Archer (Southampton)

First

+245

Anytime

+550

Leo Scienza (Southampton)

First

+285

Anytime

+600

Zan Vipotnik (Swansea)

First

+290

Anytime

+600

Finn Azaz (Southampton)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Bobby Wales (Swansea)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Adam Idah (Swansea)

First

+325

Anytime

+700

Liam Cullen (Swansea)

First

+380

Anytime

+750

Benson Manuel (Swansea)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Ryan Fraser (Southampton)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Tom Fellows (Southampton)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Shea Charles (Southampton)

First

+525

Anytime

+1150

Ji-Sung Eom (Swansea)

First

+575

Anytime

+1100

Ronald Pereira Martins (Swansea)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Malick Junior Yalcouyé (Swansea)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Caspar Jander (Southampton)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Nathan Wood (Southampton)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Ethan Galbraith (Swansea)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Mads Roerslev Rasmussen (Southampton)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Melker Widell (Swansea)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Elias Jelert (Southampton)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Marko Stamenic (Swansea)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Gonçalo Franco (Swansea)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Adam Armstrong (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

+110

Ross Cameron Stewart (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-120

Damion Downs (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-122

Cameron Archer (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-135

Zan Vipotnik (Swansea)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-139

Leo Scienza (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-161

Bobby Wales (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-167

Finn Azaz (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-182

Liam Cullen (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Benson Manuel (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-238

Ryan Fraser (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-270

Tom Fellows (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

Ronald Pereira Martins (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-345

Shea Charles (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-385

Ji-Sung Eom (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-385

Malick Junior Yalcouyé (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Ethan Galbraith (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-435

Nathan Wood (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-667

Southampton Hoping to Hit the Right Notes on Home Soil

Southampton have gone without a win at St. Mary's in the last three games. The South Coast outfit have recorded five defeats, four draws and one victory in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

Swansea have racked up four wins, four defeats and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 0.80.

The last St. Mary's meeting saw Southampton beat Swansea 3-0.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Southampton Home Stats		1-4-5	2.20	0.80	1.40	6	4	7	3
Swansea Away Stats		4-2-4	1.70	0.90	0.80	3	7	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Southampton vs Swansea Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Southampton vs Swansea team news before betting. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Championship lineups plus current injury reports.

Southampton Team Page Swansea City Team Page