Southampton vs Swansea Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Oct 2025
Championship Betting Preview: Southampton vs Swansea
Southampton host Swansea in this Championship game at St. Mary's, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 18 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Swansea +0.5 could be the value play when they clash with Southampton. We’ll take the Asian Handicap price of -119 that the away team land a victory or draw, giving us a strong chance of a return.
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Southampton played out a 1-1 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Pride Park against Derby County. The South Coast outfit enjoyed 63% possession and had six shots on target, with Adam Armstrong scoring the goal.
Swansea City lost when last in action. In a home game at Swansea.com Stadium, they were turned over 3-1 by Leicester City. The Swans enjoyed 55% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, while Adam Idah was on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Southampton had the upper hand in the previous clash between these sides, recording a 3-0 FA Cup home victory against Swansea at St. Mary's. Southampton have won all of the past 4 H2H meetings.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Southampton |
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 28:25 | 24 |
| 21 | Swansea |
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 18:27 | 17 |
2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts. Southampton have had 57.5% possession and 5.8 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.4 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts, while being awarded 3.9 corners.
Adam Armstrong and Ross Stewart lead the way with 3 goals, while Ryan Manning has 2. The leading assistors are Ryan Fraser and Mateus Fernandes with 2.
Swansea have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 4, averaging 3.7 shots on goal, 10.4 attempts and 1.3 goals. The South Wales club average 56.6% possession, 4.3 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 12.0 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.
Zan Vipotnik and Ronald Pereira have scored 4, followed by Liam Cullen with 2. Josh Tymon has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 4.
Confirmed Lineups
Southampton confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Alex McCarthy (GK), Ronnie Edwards, Nathan Wood, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Elias Jelert, Welington, Adam Armstrong, Caspar Jander, Shea Charles, Leo Scienza, Cameron Archer.
Swansea confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Lawrence Vigouroux (GK), Josh Key, Ben Cabango, Cameron Burgess, Josh Tymon, Ronald Pereira, Goncalo Franco, Marko Stamenic, Ethan Galbraith, Zan Vipotnik, Zeidane Inoussa.
Southampton vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Southampton vs Swansea betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, a corners betting angle, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.
Match Prediction
We’ll back Swansea on the Asian Handicap in this Championship clash, with odds of -119 on offer that the away team win with a +0.5 goal start. We’re optimistic that they will stay close to their opponents.
Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Championship form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.
Key Southampton vs Swansea league stats:
The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 54.3% chance of winning. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
If you’re hunting for bigger odds and feel confident your pick is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.
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Correct Score Prediction
We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +500 and it involves the game ending in a 1-1 scoreline. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.
Player Prop Picks
Cameron Archer (Southampton) has failed to record a shot on goal in five of the past nine league home games. We can use these numbers in a beneficial way, with odds of -122 available that he doesn’t cover the Shots on Target line.
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Zan Vipotnik (Swansea) has racked up four goals in his past nine Championship matches. We’ll take a chance at +285 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.
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Corners Prediction
The 5.5 corners line has been covered by Southampton in four straight home games, while the past two Swansea away matches have seen over 5.5 corners conceded. We’re anticipating that there will be plenty of Southampton corners and that the Team Corners line will be covered, with odds of -110 on offer.
Southampton
Swansea
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Bet Builder Tips
We’ve loaded up a bet builder with the picks of Swansea with the +0.5 Asian Handicap, both teams to score along with Southampton to finish with over 5.5 corners.
A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Southampton vs Swansea Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Favourites Southampton are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Championship clash. The -122 about them triumphing means a 55% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. If you’re interested in wagering Swansea City, you can get +295 for the underdog.
There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Southampton available at +143 and Swansea at +325. The third option is the draw which is priced at +123.
You can get a similar price whether you’re betting Under or Over 2.5 Goals. The Both Teams to Score market provides some good options, with Yes and No hard to split in terms of odds.
For those visiting the best betting sites, you are guaranteed a fantastic service for all the Championship games. The hundreds of football markets always ensure lots of choice.
Adam Armstrong is the First Goalscorer favourite at +400. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +170.
Southampton have gone without a win at St. Mary's in the last three games. The South Coast outfit have recorded five defeats, four draws and one victory in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
Swansea have racked up four wins, four defeats and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 0.80.
The last St. Mary's meeting saw Southampton beat Swansea 3-0.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Southampton Home Stats |
1-4-5 | 2.20 | 0.80 | 1.40 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
Swansea Away Stats |
4-2-4 | 1.70 | 0.90 | 0.80 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Southampton League Stats
Swansea League Stats
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 5 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 6.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 57.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 56.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Southampton this season are Adam Armstrong (3), Ross Stewart (2), Ryan Manning (2)
- Top Assistors for Southampton this season are Ryan Fraser (2), Damion Downs (1), Finn Azaz (1)
Southampton vs Swansea Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Southampton vs Swansea team news before betting. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Championship lineups plus current injury reports.
Southampton Confirmed Lineup 3-2-4-1
Swansea Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Southampton Confirmed Lineup 3-2-4-1
Swansea Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Southampton Substitutes
- 3Ryan Manning
- 4Flynn Downes
- 5Jack Stephens
- 10Finn Azaz
- 18Tom Fellows
- 26Ryan Fraser
- 31Gavin Bazunu
- 42Damion Downs
- 46Jay Robinson
Swansea Substitutes
- 1Andrew Fisher
- 4Jay Fulton
- 7Melker Widell
- 8M. Junior Yalcouye
- 10Ji-Sung Eom
- 16Ishe Samuels-Smith
- 20Liam Cullen
- 26Kaelan Casey
- 33Adam Idah
Previous Southampton Lineups
Previous Swansea Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 50:18 | 43 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 24:19 | 33 |
| 3 | Millwall | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:25 | 31 |
| 4 | Stoke | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26:14 | 30 |
| 5 | Preston | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 6 | Bristol City | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 26:20 | 29 |
| 7 | Hull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30:30 | 28 |
| 8 | Ipswich | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29:18 | 27 |
| 9 | Wrexham | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 23:20 | 26 |
| 10 | Derby | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:25 | 26 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25:19 | 25 |
| 12 | West Brom | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20:22 | 25 |
| 13 | QPR | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:28 | 25 |
| 14 | Southampton | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 28:25 | 24 |
| 15 | Watford | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 23:21 | 24 |
| 16 | Leicester | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | 24 |
| 17 | Charlton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | 23 |
| 18 | Blackburn | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:22 | 20 |
| 19 | Sheffield Utd | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 20:28 | 19 |
| 20 | Oxford | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20:25 | 18 |
| 21 | Swansea | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18:27 | 17 |
| 22 | Portsmouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15:25 | 17 |
| 23 | Norwich | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19:29 | 13 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 14:36 | -4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Millwall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 19 |
| 4 | Watford | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Birmingham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Preston | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Hull | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Stoke | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 9 | Ipswich | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 10 | West Brom | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 16 |
| 11 | Wrexham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 14 |
| 14 | Leicester | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 15 | Southampton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 16 | Derby | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 17 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 19 | Oxford | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Swansea | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | 9 |
| 21 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 22 | Norwich | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 23 | Blackburn | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5:24 | 2 |
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