Southampton vs Watford Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Feb 2026
Championship Betting Preview: Southampton vs Watford
Southampton clash with Watford at St. Mary's, with kick-off set for 07:31 on Saturday 7 February.
Southampton and Watford could be set for a low-scoring encounter. We will therefore head to the Total Goals market where Under 2.5 can be backed at an eye-catching price of +102.
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Southampton won their last game 2-0. This was an away victory at bet365 Stadium against Stoke City. The Saints recorded four shots on target and had 48% possession, while Finn Azaz and Flynn Downes scored one goal apiece.
Watford played Hull City away from home in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw at MKM Stadium. Charlie Daniels' side recorded 60% possession and had two shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Southampton boast an unbeaten record in the past five matches against Watford, with the last encounter ending 2-2 at Vicarage Road. The past 10 H2H meetings have resulted in five Southampton wins, four draws and one Watford victory.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Watford |
30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 14 | Southampton |
30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 43:41 | 40 |
2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 14.8 attempts. Southampton have had 58.2% possession and 5.6 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.3 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 14.3 attempts, while being awarded 4.9 corners.
Top goalscorer Leo Scienza has found the net 2 times, with Finn Azaz, Flynn Downes, Ross Stewart and Cameron Archer scoring 1 each. Leo Scienza is the top assists maker on 2.
Watford have 4 victories, 2 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 1.1 goals from 12.4 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal. The Hornets average 49.9% possession, 5.1 corners awarded and 6.1 corners against them, while conceding 0.9 goals from 9.6 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal.
Thomas Ince is top scorer on 3, with Mamadou Doumbia and Othmane Maamma next on 2. Nestory Irankunda and Imran Louza are the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Southampton predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Daniel Peretz (GK), James Bree, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Jack Stephens, Welington, Flynn Downes, Caspar Jander, Tom Fellows, Finn Azaz, Léo Scienza, Ross Stewart.
Watford predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Egil Selvik (GK), Marc Bola, Kevin Keben, James Abankwah, Jeremy Ngakia, Imran Louza, Nampalys Mendy, Giorgi Chakvetadze, Edo Kayembe, Othmane Maamma, Mamadou Doumbia.
Southampton vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips
Take on Southampton vs Watford with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.
Match Prediction
Our research tells us that a price of +102 about Under 2.5 Goals looks like a worthwhile bet for this Championship encounter. This wager has a big prospect of landing a payout according to the stats.
The Championship injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.
Key Southampton vs Watford league stats:
The best betting apps make it a 49.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
Bettors looking for an alternative at bigger odds might want to take a look at the Under 1.5 Goals option which will pay out providing we see no more than one goal being scored during the ninety minutes.
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Correct Score Prediction
We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +600 and it involves Southampton winning 1-0. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.
Player Prop Picks
Leo Scienza (Southampton) has racked up two goals in his past five Championship games. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +230 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Watford have had over 3.5 corners in six consecutive matches, with Southampton conceding over 3.5 corners in the previous three games. There are odds of -141 being served up when it comes to this Team Corners wager and we think Watford will cover the line.
Southampton
Watford
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi is packed with these picks: two or less goals, Southampton to come out on top together with Leo Scienza (Southampton) to find the net.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
Southampton vs Watford Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookies have Southampton at -114 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 53% likely to win this Championship encounter according to the latest betting odds. At +300, Watford are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
If you want to back Southampton to win, then you can take the Asian Handicap -0.5 option. This selection is priced at -116, although Watford +0.5 is -111 and the latter puts the draw on your side.
You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -154.
The best betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every Championship match before making a decision.
Adam Armstrong can be backed to find the net anytime at +165, with +420 available that the market leader scores the first goal.
Southampton have clocked up five wins, three draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 0.90.
Watford are unbeaten in the last five games on their travels. Charlie Daniels' side have four draws, three wins and three losses in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.30.
The previous St. Mary's encounter involved a 3-2 Southampton win against Watford. In the previous 4 H2H games at St. Mary's, we have seen three Southampton victories and one Watford win.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Southampton Home Stats |
5-3-2 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 0.90 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
Watford Away Stats |
3-4-3 | 2.50 | 1.20 | 1.30 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Championship: 30/08 2025 Watford 2 Southampton 2
- Championship: 13/04 2024 Southampton 3 Watford 2
- FA Cup: 06/02 2024 Southampton 3 Watford 0
- FA Cup: 28/01 2024 Watford 1 Southampton 1
- Championship: 09/12 2023 Watford 1 Southampton 1
- Premier League: 13/03 2022 Southampton 1 Watford 2
- Premier League: 30/10 2021 Watford 0 Southampton 1
- Premier League: 28/06 2020 Watford 1 Southampton 3
- Premier League: 30/11 2019 Southampton 2 Watford 1
- Premier League: 23/04 2019 Watford 1 Southampton 1
Southampton League Stats
Watford League Stats
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 6.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 6.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 58.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 49.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Southampton this season are Adam Armstrong (11), Finn Azaz (8), Leo Scienza (5)
- Top Assistors for Southampton this season are Finn Azaz (5), Adam Armstrong (4), Leo Scienza (4)
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Southampton vs Watford Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Southampton vs Watford team news before placing your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Championship together with updated injury news.
Southampton Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Watford Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Southampton Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Watford Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Southampton Lineups
Previous Watford Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Southampton Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Tonda Eckert
Watford Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 63:35 | 58 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 47:29 | 58 |
| 3 | Hull | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 49:28 | 51 |
| 5 | Millwall | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 37:36 | 50 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 44:37 | 47 |
| 7 | Derby | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 44:37 | 45 |
| 8 | Watford | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 9 | Preston | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 40:36 | 43 |
| 11 | QPR | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 42:43 | 43 |
| 12 | Stoke | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 34:28 | 42 |
| 13 | Birmingham | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:38 | 42 |
| 14 | Southampton | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 43:41 | 40 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 30 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 43:43 | 39 |
| 16 | Swansea | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 34:37 | 39 |
| 17 | Charlton | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | 35 |
| 18 | Norwich | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 37:42 | 33 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 27:37 | 33 |
| 20 | Leicester | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 40:45 | 32 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 27:38 | 32 |
| 22 | West Brom | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 32:47 | 32 |
| 23 | Oxford | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28:41 | 27 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 30 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 18:58 | -7 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 31:11 | 35 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30:12 | 35 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 25:11 | 33 |
| 4 | Millwall | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 22:18 | 30 |
| 5 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:17 | 29 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 28:14 | 27 |
| 7 | Hull | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21:20 | 27 |
| 8 | QPR | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28:21 | 26 |
| 9 | Swansea | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 25 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Wrexham | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 26:22 | 24 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 24:15 | 23 |
| 13 | Southampton | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 23 |
| 14 | Preston | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 23 |
| 15 | Portsmouth | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:15 | 22 |
| 16 | Leicester | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20:19 | 22 |
| 17 | West Brom | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 22 |
| 18 | Stoke | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 19 | Charlton | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 21 |
| 20 | Derby | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:21 | 18 |
| 21 | Oxford | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13:19 | 15 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:22 | 14 |
| 23 | Norwich | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:20 | 13 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7:33 | 4 |
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