Southampton FC
Football England - EFL Championship St. Mary's Sat 7 Feb 08:31
Watford FC
  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Team News
  5. Lineups
  6. Injuries
  7. Squads
  8. Table

Championship Betting Preview: Southampton vs Watford

Southampton clash with Watford at St. Mary's, with kick-off set for 08:31 on Saturday 7 February.

Goals Could Be in Short Supply

Southampton and Watford could be set for a low-scoring encounter. We will therefore head to the Total Goals market where Under 2.5 can be backed at an eye-catching price of +102.

Teams Drew 2-2 in Last H2H Encounter

Southampton won their last game 2-0. This was an away victory at bet365 Stadium against Stoke City. The Saints recorded four shots on target and had 48% possession, while Finn Azaz and Flynn Downes scored one goal apiece.

Watford played Hull City away from home in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw at MKM Stadium. Charlie Daniels' side recorded 60% possession and had two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Southampton boast an unbeaten record in the past five matches against Watford, with the last encounter ending 2-2 at Vicarage Road. The past 10 H2H meetings have resulted in five Southampton wins, four draws and one Watford victory.

Championship G W D L GF GA GD GD P
6 Southampton logo Southampton 39 17 12 10 63 48 15 63:48 63
9 Watford logo Watford 39 14 14 11 50 46 4 50:46 56
View Full Table
Southampton – Last 10 League Games

2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 14.8 attempts. Southampton have had 58.2% possession and 5.6 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.3 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 14.3 attempts, while being awarded 4.9 corners.

Top goalscorer Leo Scienza has found the net 2 times, with Finn Azaz, Flynn Downes, Ross Stewart and Cameron Archer scoring 1 each. Leo Scienza is the top assists maker on 2.

Watford – Last 10 League Games

Watford have 4 victories, 2 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 1.1 goals from 12.4 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal. The Hornets average 49.9% possession, 5.1 corners awarded and 6.1 corners against them, while conceding 0.9 goals from 9.6 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal.

Thomas Ince is top scorer on 3, with Mamadou Doumbia and Othmane Maamma next on 2. Nestory Irankunda and Imran Louza are the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Southampton confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Daniel Peretz (GK), James Bree, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Jack Stephens, Welington, Caspar Jander, Flynn Downes, Tom Fellows, Finn Azaz, Leo Scienza, Ross Stewart.

Watford confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Egil Selvik (GK), Jeremy Ngakia, James Abankwah, Stephen Mfuni, Marc Bola, Nampalys Mendy, Imran Louza, Othmane Maamma, Edo Kayembe, Giorgi Chakvetadze, Mamadou Doumbia.

Southampton vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on Southampton vs Watford with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

Our research tells us that a price of +102 about Under 2.5 Goals looks like a worthwhile bet for this Championship encounter. This wager has a big prospect of landing a payout according to the stats.

The Championship injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.

Key Southampton vs Watford league stats:

  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Southampton games.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Southampton games.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Watford games.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Watford games.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Watford games.
Under 2.5 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 49.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Bettors looking for an alternative at bigger odds might want to take a look at the Under 1.5 Goals option which will pay out providing we see no more than one goal being scored during the ninety minutes.

Make your bet count—our comprehensive bonus guide highlights the latest free bets and betting promo codes worth grabbing.

Our Match Prediction
Under 2.5 Goals @ +102 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 5, 14:38). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 14:38, 05 February 2026

Correct Score Prediction

Southampton Southampton logo 1 - 0 Watford logo Watford

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +600 and it involves Southampton winning 1-0. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Leo Scienza to Score +230 BetMGM logo

Leo Scienza (Southampton) has racked up two goals in his past five Championship games. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +230 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Leo Scienza Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Watford Over 3.5 Corners -141 BetMGM logo

Watford have had over 3.5 corners in six consecutive matches, with Southampton conceding over 3.5 corners in the previous three games. There are odds of -141 being served up when it comes to this Team Corners wager and we think Watford will cover the line.

League Games
League Games
Last 10 Total For Against
Last 10 at Home Total For Against
Last 10 Away Total For Against
Southampton Logo Southampton
Total
10.50 5.60 4.90
Home
11.10 6.40 4.70
Away
10.70 4.50 6.20
Watford Logo Watford
Total
11.20 5.10 6.10
Home
10.40 5.40 5.00
Away
10.90 4.70 6.20
Latest Corner Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bet Builder Tips

Total Goals Under 2.5 +102
Full-Time Result Southampton -114
Anytime Goalscorer Leo Scienza +230

Our same-game multi is packed with these picks: two or less goals, Southampton to come out on top together with Leo Scienza (Southampton) to find the net.

A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Southampton vs Watford Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Southampton Match Odds Suggest Victory

The bookies have Southampton at -116 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 54% likely to win this Championship encounter according to the latest betting odds. At +300, Watford are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

If you want to back Southampton to win, then you can take the Asian Handicap -0.5 option. This selection is priced at -119, although Watford +0.5 is -109 and the latter puts the draw on your side.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -152.

The best betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every Championship match before making a decision.

Adam Armstrong is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Adam Armstrong can be backed to find the net anytime at +165, with +420 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

Player Goals
Adam Armstrong (Southampton)
First
+165
Anytime
+420
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Ross Cameron Stewart (Southampton)
First
+210
Anytime
+540
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Cameron Archer (Southampton)
First
+240
Anytime
+575
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Leo Scienza (Southampton)
First
+240
Anytime
+575
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Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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St. Mary's
St. Mary's
Five Wins for Southampton in Previous Ten Home Games

Southampton have clocked up five wins, three draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Watford are unbeaten in the last five games on their travels. Charlie Daniels' side have four draws, three wins and three losses in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

The previous St. Mary's encounter involved a 3-2 Southampton win against Watford. In the previous 4 H2H games at St. Mary's, we have seen three Southampton victories and one Watford win.

Last 10 League Games W-D-L G GF GA O2.5 U2.5 B-Y B-No
Southampton logo Southampton Home Stats 5-3-2 2.40 1.50 0.90 5 5 5 5
Watford logo Watford Away Stats 3-4-3 2.50 1.20 1.30 5 5 7 3
  • W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
  • G = Avg. Goals
  • GF = Avg. Goals For
  • GA = Avg. Goals Against
  • O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
  • U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
  • B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
  • B-No = Matches BTTS No
Team Stats
Southampton logo Southampton League Stats
Watford logo Watford League Stats
Full-Time Result
  • 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
  • 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
Goals
Corners
Corners
Possession
Possession
Top Scorers & Assists
Top Scorers & Assists

Southampton vs Watford Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Southampton vs Watford team news before placing your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Championship together with updated injury news.

Southampton Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1

Watford Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1

Southampton Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1

41 Daniel Peretz
14 James Bree 6 T. Harwood-Bellis 5 Jack Stephens 34 Welington
20 Caspar Jander 4 Flynn Downes
18 Tom Fellows 10 Finn Azaz 13 Leo Scienza
11 Ross Stewart
1 Egil Selvik
2 Jeremy Ngakia 25 James Abankwah 21 Stephen Mfuni 16 Marc Bola
23 Nampalys Mendy 10 Imran Louza
42 Othmane Maamma 39 Edo Kayembe 8 Giorgi Chakvetadze
20 Mamadou Doumbia

Watford Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1

Southampton Substitutes

  • 1Alex McCarthy
  • 3Ryan Manning
  • 9Cyle Larin
  • 15Nathan Wood
  • 19Cameron Archer
  • 23Samuel Edozie
  • 24Shea Charles
  • 27Kuryu Matsuki
  • 38Elias Jelert

Watford Substitutes

  • 3Saba Goglichidze
  • 7Thomas Ince
  • 9Luca Kjerrumgaard
  • 12Nathan Baxter
  • 18Vivaldo Semedo
  • 27Formose Mendy
  • 29Jeremy Petris
  • 34Kwadwo Baah
  • 43Jack Grieves

Previous Southampton Lineups

31 Jan Championship
Stoke 0-2 Southampton
25 Jan Championship
Portsmouth 1-1 Southampton
21 Jan Championship
Southampton 1-0 Sheffield Utd
17 Jan Championship
Southampton 1-2 Hull
10 Jan FA Cup
Doncaster 2-3 Southampton
04 Jan Championship
Middlesbrough 4-0 Southampton

Previous Watford Lineups

03 Feb Championship
Hull 0-0 Watford
31 Jan Championship
Watford 0-2 Swansea
24 Jan Championship
Blackburn 1-1 Watford
21 Jan Championship
Watford 1-1 Portsmouth
17 Jan Championship
Watford 0-2 Millwall
10 Jan FA Cup
Bristol City 5-1 Watford

Injuries & Suspensions

Southampton Injury Table
Type Name Info
Gavin Bazunu Muscle
Leo Scienza Muscle
Welington Muscle
Jay Robinson Muscle
Mads Roerslev Knee
Alex McCarthy Wrist
Watford Injury Table
Type Name Info
Jeremy Petris Shoulder
Jeremy Petris Shoulder
Jeremy Ngakia Hamstring
Kwadwo Baah Injury
Othmane Maamma Muscle
Hector Kyprianou Hand
Rocco Vata Hamstring
Pierre Dwomoh Thigh
Daniel Bachmann Muscle
Team Squads

Southampton Player Stats & Squad

Manager: Tonda Eckert

Player # Pos GP MIN ST BE G A Y R
Taylor Harwood-Bellis 21 D 25 2250 25 4 4 1 6 0
Ryan Manning 3 M 28 2062 22 8 4 2 4 0
Nathan Wood 15 D 24 2048 23 7 1 1 5 0
Caspar Jander 20 M 25 1934 23 2 2 0 4 0
James Bree 14 D 23 1851 21 2 2 3 7 0

Watford Player Stats & Squad

Manager: Charlie Daniels

Player # Pos GP MIN ST BE G A Y R
Marc Bola 16 D 26 2245 25 5 1 3 2 0
Imran Louza 10 M 26 2234 26 0 6 6 6 1
Jeremy Ngakia 2 D 26 2118 24 2 2 4 3 0
Egil Selvik 1 G 24 2115 24 0 0 0 1 0
Hector Kyprianou 5 M 25 1911 22 5 0 1 8 0
England FlagChampionship Table
2025/2026 Season
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Coventry 39 24 8 7 81:40 80
2 Middlesbrough 39 20 11 8 59:37 71
3 Ipswich 38 19 12 7 67:39 69
4 Millwall 39 20 9 10 53:44 69
5 Hull 39 20 6 13 62:57 66
6 Southampton 39 17 12 10 63:48 63
7 Wrexham 39 17 12 10 60:51 63
8 Derby 39 17 9 13 56:48 60
9 Watford 39 14 14 11 50:46 56
10 Norwich 39 16 6 17 52:46 54
11 Birmingham 39 14 11 14 48:49 53
12 QPR 39 15 8 16 55:61 53
13 Preston 39 13 13 13 45:49 52
14 Swansea 39 15 7 17 44:49 52
15 Stoke 39 14 9 16 46:43 51
16 Bristol City 39 14 9 16 49:50 51
17 Sheffield Utd 39 15 5 19 54:54 50
18 Charlton 39 12 12 15 36:46 48
19 Blackburn 39 11 10 18 36:49 43
20 West Brom 39 11 10 18 40:54 43
21 Portsmouth 38 10 10 18 37:54 40
22 Leicester 39 11 12 16 51:60 39
23 Oxford 39 9 12 18 36:51 39
24 Sheffield Wed 39 1 9 29 24:79 -6
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Coventry 19 14 3 2 40:15 45
2 Ipswich 20 12 7 1 36:14 43
3 Southampton 19 10 6 3 29:14 36
4 Middlesbrough 19 10 6 3 27:14 36
5 Watford 20 10 6 4 29:20 36
6 Millwall 20 11 3 6 28:23 36
7 Birmingham 19 9 8 2 33:19 35
8 Swansea 20 10 5 5 28:22 35
9 Wrexham 20 9 6 5 36:30 33
10 Hull 20 10 3 7 32:32 33
11 Derby 20 8 6 6 27:25 30
12 Preston 20 8 6 6 26:24 30
13 Stoke 19 8 5 6 29:21 29
14 QPR 19 9 2 8 35:31 29
15 West Brom 19 7 7 5 23:23 28
16 Charlton 19 8 4 7 18:19 28
17 Sheffield Utd 19 8 3 8 30:23 27
18 Bristol City 20 7 4 9 28:27 25
19 Norwich 19 8 1 10 23:23 25
20 Leicester 19 7 4 8 26:28 25
21 Portsmouth 19 6 4 9 19:20 22
22 Oxford 19 5 7 7 17:24 22
23 Blackburn 20 4 7 9 18:25 19
24 Sheffield Wed 20 0 5 15 10:41 5