St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Apr 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich

St. Pauli meet Bayern Munich at Millerntor-Stadion, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Saturday 11 April.

St. Pauli +1.5 on the Asian Handicap look like betting value at -118 considering a win, draw or one-goal defeat for the underdogs will still leave us with a payout. We think they can acquit themselves well against Bayern Munich.

St. Pauli drew on the road in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Union Berlin at Alten Foersterei. The Kiezkickers recorded two shots on target and had 45% possession, while Mathias Pereira Lage was the goalscorer.

Bayern Munich won their previous league game 3-2. This road win at Europa-Park Stadion against Freiburg was their second the Bundesliga victory on the bounce. Vincent Kompany's team had nine shots on goal and boasted 70% possession, while Tom Bischof was on the scoresheet twice and Lennart Karl also found the net.

Four days ago, Bayern travelled to Real Madrid and succeeded 2-1 in the Champions League.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two sides previously met at Allianz Arena, with Bayern landing the home victory. Defeating St. Pauli by a 3-1 scoreline. Bayern have won all of the past 3 H2H meetings.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Bayern Munich	28	23	4	1	100	27	73	100:27	73
16	St. Pauli	28	6	7	15	25	45	-20	25:45	25

View Full Table

St. Pauli have 3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 10.1 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal. Alexander Blessin's side have averaged 41.9% possession, 415.7 passes and 3.4 corners per game, conceding 1.4 goals and 5.2 corners from 11.7 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal.

Danel Sinani is the top goalscorer with 3, Mathias Pereira Lage has 2, with Hauke Wahl and two other players on 1. Leading assistor is Manolis Saliakas with 2, while goalie Nikola Vasilj has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Bayern have won 7, lost 1 and drawn 2, with an average of 8.2 shots on goal, 18.6 attempts and 2.9 goals. The Bavarians average 64.8% possession, 655.1 passes, 6.8 corners awarded and 2.9 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 11.7 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.

Harry Kane has recorded 10 goals, Luis Diaz 6, with Tom Bischof and Serge Gnabry both managing 2. Michael Olise is top assists provider with 5, while Jonas Urbig has recorded one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

St. Pauli predicted lineup (4-4-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Adam Dzwigala, Hauke Wahl, Karol Mets, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Mathias Rasmussen, Connor Metcalfe, Mathias Pereira Lage, Danel Sinani, Joel Chima Fujita, Martijn Kaars.

Bayern Munich predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Manuel Neuer (GK), Josip Stanisic, Min-Jae Kim, Jonathan Tah, Tom Bischof, Joshua Kimmich, Leon Goretzka, Lennart Karl, Raphael Guerreiro, Luis Diaz, Serge Gnabry.

St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips

Our St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, a corners recommendation, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Match Prediction

Let’s try St. Pauli +1.5 on the Asian Handicap for this Bundesliga clash. There’s plenty of value at -118 considering we can afford the home team to lose by one goal and still benefit with our bet.

Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Bundesliga experts sometimes take a data-led approach.

Key St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich league stats:

• The +1.5 line has been covered by St. Pauli in 8 consecutive games at home.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by St. Pauli in 15 of their last 18 games at home.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by St. Pauli in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bayern in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bayern in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Bayern in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by St. Pauli in 2 of their last 3 games against Bayern.

According to the odds, there’s a 54.1% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

We suggest a Bet Builder for anyone looking to back St. Pauli to cover the line along with other selections. This option gives you the chance to secure bigger odds by adding a number of picks on the same game.

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Our Match Prediction

St. Pauli Asian Hcp +1.5 @ -118 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 9, 18:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

St. Pauli 1 - 2 Bayern

We’ve picked out a correct score of 2-1 being landed by Bayern. You can secure odds of +650 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mathias Pereira Lage to Score +525

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli) has netted two goals in his past five Bundesliga games. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +525 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Mathias Pereira Lage Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+525

First

+1600

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Bayern Under 6.5 Corners -120

Bayern Munich have averaged 4.80 corners in the past 5 away matches, with the corner count against St. Pauli going under 6.5 in their previous six home games. Let’s go along with this betting trend and back Bayern to go under the Team Corners line at odds of -120.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

St. Pauli

Total

8.60 3.40 5.20

Home

9.80 5.30 4.50

Away

10.20 3.50 6.70

Bayern

Total

9.70 6.80 2.90

Home

10.30 8.00 2.30

Away

9.10 5.40 3.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-115

St. Pauli Corners

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-103

Bayern Corners

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-120

Most Corners

1

+460

X

+850

2

-556

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Full-Time Result odds suggest that Bayern Munich have a 76% prospect of triumphing which results in the fact that they’re strong -313 favourites to win this Bundesliga encounter. St. Pauli are the +800 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

Bayern can be backed at -125 on the Half-Time Result and you’ll need them to have their noses in front by the break. St. Pauli can be chanced at +550 and the draw is +165.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. BTTS wagering is popular and you can back Yes at -128 on the Both Teams to Score market.

Bettors love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every Bundesliga game. The best football betting sites ensure that their customers always have plenty of options.

Full-Time Result

1

+800

X

+430

2

-313

Half-Time Result

1

+550

X

+165

2

-125

Double Chance

1X

+215

12

-667

X2

-1667

Draw No Bet

1

+475

2

-1111

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.5

-118

2 Hcp -1.5

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+145

Over 2.5

-189

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-128

No

-106

Harry Kane is priced at +290 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of -111 to find the net anytime.

Harry Kane (Bayern)

First

-111

Anytime

+290

Nicolas Jackson (Bayern)

First

+118

Anytime

+360

Luis Díaz (Bayern)

First

+155

Anytime

+450

Michael Olise (Bayern)

First

+170

Anytime

+500

Serge Gnabry (Bayern)

First

+220

Anytime

+650

Jamal Musiala (Bayern)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Lennart Karl (Bayern)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Raphaël Guerreiro (Bayern)

First

+280

Anytime

+800

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

First

+525

Anytime

+1600

Joshua Kimmich (Bayern)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Leon Goretzka (Bayern)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Tom Bischof (Bayern)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Joel Chima Fujita (St. Pauli)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Kim Min-jae (Bayern)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Dayot Upamecano (Bayern)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Jonathan Tah (Bayern)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Aleksandar Pavlovic (Bayern)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Alphonso Davies (Bayern)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Josip Stanisic (Bayern)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Konrad Laimer (Bayern)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Hiroki Ito (Bayern)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

St. Pauli have four draws, three wins and three losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Bayern Munich haven’t tasted defeat in ten consecutive away matches. Vincent Kompany's team have managed seven victories and three draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 3.10 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Bayern enjoyed a 1-0 winning scoreline when last meeting St. Pauli at Millerntor-Stadion.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
St. Pauli Home Stats		3-4-3	2.10	0.90	1.20	5	5	6	4
Bayern Munich Away Stats		7-3-0	4.20	3.10	1.10	9	1	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the St. Pauli vs Bayern team news before betting. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups along with the latest injury developments.

St. Pauli Team Page Bayern Munich Team Page

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