St. Pauli vs Freiburg Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Mar 2026
Bundesliga Betting Preview: St. Pauli vs Freiburg
St. Pauli host Freiburg at Millerntor-Stadion, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Sunday 22 March.
St. Pauli look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap 0.0. The beauty of this bet is that we’ll get a return at -123 if they get the better of Freiburg and money back if the game finishes in a draw.
St. Pauli suffered a defeat in their last game. A 2-0 scoreline occurred away from home at Borussia-Park against Borussia Monchengladbach. The Kiezkickers had one shot on target and boasted 56% possession.
Freiburg have been defeated in three straight road games. Their previous contest was a 1-0 home defeat against Union Berlin at Europa-Park Stadion. Julian Schuster's side enjoyed an impressive 73% of possession and managed six shots on goal.
On Thursday night, Freiburg hosted Genk in the Europa League and won 5-1.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Freiburg have won the last two clashes against St. Pauli. There was a 2-1 home triumph at Europa-Park Stadion after winning 1-0 away at Millerntor-Stadion. In the previous 4 H2H matches, we have seen three Freiburg victories and one St. Pauli win.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |  Freiburg |
26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 37:43 | 34 |
| 16 |  St. Pauli |
26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 23:42 | 24 |
St. Pauli have 3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts. The Hamburg team have averaged 40.5% possession, 413.3 passes and 3.9 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.4 goals from 4.5 shots on goal, 10.0 attempts and 5.2 corners.
Top goalscorer Danel Sinani has found the net 2 times, with Mathias Pereira Lage, Hauke Wahl, Joel Chima Fujita and Manolis Saliakas scoring 1 each. Manolis Saliakas and Eric Smith have been top assistors on 2, with goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj keeping 3 clean sheets.
Freiburg have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.0 goals from 11.3 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal. The Breisgau-Brazilians average 43.3% possession, 366.2 passes, 4.5 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against them, while conceding 1.6 goals from 16.2 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal.
Igor Matanovic is top scorer on 3, with Matthias Ginter and Yuito Suzuki next on 2. Christian Guenter, Philipp Treu and Derry Scherhant are top assists providers with 1, while Noah Atubolu has recorded one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
St. Pauli predicted lineup (4-4-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Adam Dzwigala, Hauke Wahl, Tomoya Ando, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Eric Smith, Jackson Irvine, Lars Ritzka, Joel Chima Fujita, Mathias Pereira Lage, Danel Sinani.
Freiburg predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Noah Atubolu (GK), Philipp Treu, Matthias Ginter, Bruno Ogbus, Jordy Makengo, Maximilian Eggestein, Johan Manzambi, Cyriaque Irie, Lucas Hoeler, Derry Scherhant, Igor Matanovic.
St. Pauli vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips
This St. Pauli vs Freiburg betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight, expert player prop picks, corners analysis and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.
Match Prediction
The Asian Handicap offers us the chance to back St. Pauli at 0.0 for this Bundesliga game. The odds of -123 can be taken, with our selection offering plenty of juice when it comes to price.
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest Bundesliga stats.
Key St. Pauli vs Freiburg league stats:
The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 55.2% chance of winning. However, we have this number between 60-65% based on our in-depth research. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
The betting sites give you the chance to buy or sell goals, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.
Get more from your wager using our bonus guide, which highlights top betting offers, free bets, and welcome promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Freiburg
We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +600 and it involves St. Pauli winning 1-0. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.
Player Prop Picks
Igor Matanovic (Freiburg) has had over 2.5 shots in back-to-back Bundesliga games. We think this could be a decisive stat and we’ll bet on him to cover the Player Shots line which is on offer at odds of -119.
Joel Chima Fujita (St. Pauli) can be backed at +475 to score. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager which means we need him to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
There’s been an average of 6.30 corners for St. Pauli in their past 10 home games, with the corner count against Freiburg going over 4.5 in their last five away matches. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the St. Pauli Team Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -133 that they go over.
St. Pauli
Freiburg
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder picks are St. Pauli with an Asian Handicap of 0.0, no more than two goals in total merged with Igor Matanovic (Freiburg) to finish with Over 2.5 shots.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
St. Pauli vs Freiburg Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
St. Pauli are currently available at +170 with the bookmakers to defeat Freiburg, with the latter priced at odds of +180. If you’re siding with the draw in this Bundesliga clash, then it can be backed at +205.
St. Pauli can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting +230. However, Freiburg are +235 and the draw is +106 if you want to take a different option.
For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. The Both Teams to Score market provides some good options, with Yes and No hard to split in terms of odds.
There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred bet when it comes to Bundesliga matches. The leading football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.
Those interested in favourite Igor Matanovic to find the net first can get +510, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +215.
St. Pauli have gone unbeaten at Millerntor-Stadion in the last six games. The Kiezkickers have clocked up four draws, three victories and three defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 0.80 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
Freiburg have suffered a three match losing run away from home. Julian Schuster's side have seven losses, two draws and one victory in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 2.30.
Freiburg enjoyed a 1-0 winning scoreline when last meeting St. Pauli at Millerntor-Stadion.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli Home Stats |
3-4-3 | 2.10 | 0.80 | 1.30 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
| Freiburg Away Stats |
1-2-7 | 3.20 | 0.90 | 2.30 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
St. Pauli League Stats
Freiburg League Stats
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 2.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 40.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 43.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 42.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for St. Pauli this season are Andreas Hountondji (4), Danel Sinani (4), Martijn Kaars (3)
- Top Assistors for St. Pauli this season are Danel Sinani (3), Joel Chima Fujita (3), Manolis Saliakas (3)
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St. Pauli vs Freiburg Lineups & Team News
The St. Pauli vs Freiburg team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga together with updated injury news.
St Pauli Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Freiburg Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
St Pauli Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Freiburg Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous St. Pauli Lineups
Previous Freiburg Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
St. Pauli Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alexander Blessin
Freiburg Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 26 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 93:25 | 67 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 55:26 | 58 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:35 | 50 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 51:34 | 50 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 54:39 | 50 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 49:33 | 45 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 49:49 | 38 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:43 | 34 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 31:45 | 31 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 29:37 | 30 |
| 12 | B. M'gladbach | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 30:43 | 28 |
| 13 | Mainz 05 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31:41 | 27 |
| 14 | FC Koln | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 35:44 | 25 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 29:47 | 25 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23:42 | 24 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 35:56 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 24:58 | 14 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 52:13 | 34 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 30:11 | 32 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 22:12 | 32 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 34:18 | 29 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28:15 | 25 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24:16 | 25 |
| 7 | Leverkusen | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 24 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:18 | 23 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 12 | B. M'gladbach | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | 16 |
| 13 | St. Pauli | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:18 | 16 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:23 | 16 |
| 15 | FC Koln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22:21 | 15 |
| 16 | Mainz 05 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15:31 | 10 |
| 18 | Wolfsburg | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 20:28 | 9 |
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