Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Mar 2026
Bundesliga Betting Preview: Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV
Second-placed Borussia Dortmund clash with Hamburger SV at Signal Iduna Park, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Saturday 21 March.
We’re expecting Dortmund to overcome Hamburger SV. Our Asian Handicap wager at -1.25 will produce a nice return at odds of -125 if the favourites win by two goals. Alternatively, half our stake is returned if they win by one.
Borussia Dortmund have recorded back-to-back Bundesliga wins, most recently beating Augsburg 2-0. It was a home triumph at Signal Iduna Park. BVB had five shots on target and enjoyed 61% possession, while Karim Adeyemi and Luca Reggiani scored one goal apiece.
Hamburger SV drew 1-1 in their previous game. This was at home against FC Koln at Volksparkstadion. Merlin Polzin's team had one shot on goal and 45% possession, while Fabio Vieira found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Dortmund were on the road when they last faced HSV, with the teams drawing 1-1 at Volksparkstadion.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dortmund |
32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 65 | 32 | 33 | 65:32 | 67 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV |
32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 36:51 | 34 |
Dortmund have 8 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw, averaging 2.6 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 14.7 attempts. Niko Kovac's side have averaged 53.5% possession, 478.6 passes and 6.0 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.1 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 10.4 attempts and 4.2 corners.
Top goalscorer Serhou Guirassy has found the net 7 times, with Maximilian Beier and Nico Schlotterbeck scoring 3 each. Julian Ryerson is top assists maker with 8, while goalkeeper Gregor Kobel has kept 4 clean sheets.
HSV have won 3, lost 2 and drawn 5, with an average of 11.7 attempts, 4.6 shots on goal and 1.2 goals. The Lower Saxony club average 47.7% possession, 408.9 passes, 3.5 corners awarded and 7.0 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 3.6 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts.
The leading goalscorers have been Fabio Vieira on 4, Ransford Koenigsdoerffer with 3 and Luka Vuskovic 2. William Mikelbrencis is top assists provider with 3, while Daniel Heuer Fernandes has recorded 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Borussia Dortmund confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Gregor Kobel (GK), Luca Reggiani, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck, Julian Ryerson, Marcel Sabitzer, Jobe Bellingham, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Maximilian Beier, Karim Adeyemi.
Hamburger SV confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Daniel Heuer Fernandes (GK), Warmed Omari, Luka Vuskovic, Jordan Torunarigha, William Mikelbrencis, Albert Sambi Lokonga, Nicolai Remberg, Miro Muheim, Fabio Vieira, Ransford-Yeboah Koenigsdoerffer, Philip Otele.
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Betting Tips
Join us as we dissect the best Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to a sharp corners pick, top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
This Bundesliga match has the makings of a one-sided affair and we’re backing Dortmund -1.25 at -125. There’s a large degree of confidence that the hosts can win by a decent margin.
Sportsgambler.com has plenty of Bundesliga insights and that includes getting the team news immediately. The recent form will also help deliver our expert football predictions and we ensure that the most relevant stats are used to good effect.
Key Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV league stats:
If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 55.6% chance of delivering a return. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
If you want a viable alternative to backing BVB on the Asian Handicap, then the Winning Margin market could be up your street. Choose from a range of options.
Explore the best betting offers before you stake your money. Our guide showcases a variety of welcome bonuses worth grabbing.
Correct Score Prediction
You can secure odds of +600 that Dortmund are able to land a 2-0 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.
Player Prop Picks
Maximilian Beier (Dortmund) has finished with over 2.5 shots in three straight Bundesliga games. We are in favour of betting the -109 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Shots wager looking like it might yield dividends.
Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund) has racked up two goals in his past five Bundesliga games on home soil. It’s worth a play on the +185 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The past 5 Dortmund home matches have involved them having an average of 8.20 corners, with HSV conceding over 6.5 corners in their last five games. There’s an opportunity to go over the Dortmund Team Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -118 available.
Dortmund
Hamburger SV
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you fancy a same-game multi, then why not take Dortmund with the -1.25 Asian Handicap, both teams to score No and also Dortmund to rack up over 6.5 corners.
It’s now the case that you can wager a bet builder on a specific football match. Many bettors like to create a personalised bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest Full-Time Result odds give Borussia Dortmund a 74% chance of triumphing which means that they’re overwhelming -278 favourites to win this Bundesliga clash. If you’re interested in wagering Hamburger SV, you can get +650 for the underdog.
Dortmund can be backed at -119 on the Half-Time Result and you’ll need them to have their noses in front by the break. HSV can be chanced at +510 and the draw is +165.
If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -143.
You’ll be blown away by the hundreds of markets available for Bundesliga games. Head to one of our recommended betting sites and take your pick from the various football options available.
Those interested in Sehrou Guirassy to find the net anytime can get -118, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +290.
Dortmund have seven wins, two losses and one draw in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 2.30 goals per match and conceding 1.10.
Hamburger SV haven’t lost any of their past four away games. Merlin Polzin's team have recorded five losses, three draws and two wins in the previous 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Borussia Dortmund Home Stats |
7-1-2 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.10 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | |
Hamburger SV Away Stats |
2-3-5 | 2.40 | 0.90 | 1.50 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Borussia Dortmund League Stats
Hamburger SV League Stats
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.60 corners awarded and 3.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 7.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 53.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 47.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Borussia Dortmund this season are Serhou Guirassy (12), Maximilian Beier (8), Julian Brandt (6)
- Top Assistors for Borussia Dortmund this season are Julian Ryerson (12), Fabio Silva (5), Maximilian Beier (4)
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Lineups & Team News
Before placing any bets on Dortmund vs HSV, check the team news first. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups and the latest on injuries.
Borussia Dortmund Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Hamburger SV Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Borussia Dortmund Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Hamburger SV Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Borussia Dortmund Substitutes
- 2Yan Couto
- 5Ramy Bensebaini
- 6Salih Ozcan
- 9Serhou Guirassy
- 10Julian Brandt
- 17Carney Chukwuemeka
- 21Fabio Silva
- 25Niklas Suele
- 33Alexander Meyer
Hamburger SV Substitutes
- 7Jean-Luc Dompe
- 8Daniel Elfadli
- 12Sander Tangvik
- 14Rayan Philippe
- 16G. Gocholeishvili
- 19Damion Downs
- 23Albert Groenbaek
- 45Fabio Balde
- 49Otto Stange
Previous Borussia Dortmund Lineups
Previous Hamburger SV Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Borussia Dortmund Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Niko Kovac
Hamburger SV Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 116:35 | 83 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 65:32 | 67 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 63:42 | 62 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 66:43 | 58 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 66:46 | 58 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 64:48 | 58 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 45:53 | 44 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 57:60 | 43 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 42:56 | 40 |
| 10 | Mainz 05 | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:50 | 37 |
| 11 | B. M'gladbach | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 37:50 | 35 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 36:51 | 34 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 37:57 | 33 |
| 14 | FC Koln | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 47:55 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37:57 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 42:67 | 26 |
| 17 | St. Pauli | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 27:55 | 26 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:69 | 23 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 63:18 | 41 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 37:14 | 38 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 27:15 | 36 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 38:19 | 35 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 37:18 | 30 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 34:21 | 29 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29:21 | 29 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:25 | 24 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 22:27 | 23 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 21 |
| 11 | B. M'gladbach | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:24 | 21 |
| 12 | FC Koln | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 29:27 | 19 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 22:26 | 19 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:29 | 19 |
| 15 | Mainz 05 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 20:22 | 17 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23:35 | 17 |
| 17 | St. Pauli | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:28 | 17 |
| 18 | Wolfsburg | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 21:31 | 10 |
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