St. Pauli vs Union Berlin Prediction, Lineups & Odds
A Low-Scoring Encounter Could Be On the Cards
We’re not convinced that St. Pauli and Union Berlin score three or more goals between them. As a result, we’ll visit the Total Goals market and bet on Under 2.5 which is priced at odds of -163.
1-0 Triumph for Union in Last H2H
St. Pauli have been handed two home losses in a row. In their last game, they beat Heidenheim away by a 2-0 scoreline at Voith-Arena. The Hamburg club managed four shots on target and had 41% possession, while Johannes Eggestein and Morgan Guilavogui each scored one goal.
Union Berlin have suffered five straight losses on the road. Their most recent appearance was a 2-1 home victory over Mainz 05 at Alte Foersterei. The Eisernen recorded just 33% possession and had four shots on goal, while Benedict Hollerbach and Robert Skov were both on target.
Union have won the last two encounters against St. Pauli, landing winning home scorelines of 1-0 and 2-1 at Alte Foersterei. In the previous 3 H2H matches, there have been two Union victories and one St. Pauli win.
Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | ![]() |
22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21:29 | 24 |
14 | ![]() |
22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18:25 | 21 |
St. Pauli have 4 wins and 6 losses, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts. The Kiezkickers have averaged 41.1% possession, 394.3 passes and 3.8 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.0 goals from 4.1 shots on goal, 11.5 attempts and 6.0 corners.
Johannes Eggestein and Morgan Guilavogui lead the way with 3 goals, while Manolis Saliakas has 1. Jackson Irvine has the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj has 3 clean sheets.
Union Berlin – Last 10 League GamesUnion have won 1, lost 8 and drawn 1, with an average of 0.6 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts. Steffen Baumgart's team have averaged 42.8% possession, 391.3 passes, 4.9 corners taken and 4.1 corners against, while conceding 2.0 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts.
Robert Skov and Benedict Hollerbach have top scored with 2, while Andras Schafer is next on 1. Tom Rothe, Robert Skov and Andras Schafer have clocked up 1 assists each in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
St. Pauli (confirmed lineup): Nikola Vasilj, David Nemeth, Hauke Wahl, Lars Ritzka, Manolis Saliakas, Jackson Irvine, James Sands, Philipp Treu, Morgan Guilavogui, Johannes Eggestein, Noah Weisshaupt.
Union Berlin (confirmed lineup): Alexander Schwolow, Danilho Doekhi, Leopold Querfeld, Diogo Leite, Josip Juranovic, Andras Schafer, Janik Haberer, Aljoscha Kemlein, Robert Skov, Jordan Pefok, Benedict Hollerbach.
Expert Bundesliga Analysis
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our betting tips along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.
Key St. Pauli vs Union Berlin league stats:
St. Pauli vs Union Berlin Prediction
We’re not expecting the teams to combine to reach the three-goal mark and that leads us to wager Under 2.5 Goals. We’ll happily take the -163 when it comes to a low-scoring Bundesliga clash.
In the quest to secure bigger odds, then a particular route could be selecting Under 2.5 Goals in a Total Goals & Both Teams to Score wager. A bigger potential return can be landed by including BTTS No.
Under 2.5 Probability
The betting sites are estimating that there is a 61.9% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 70%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
Our Pick
Under 2.5 Goals @ -163
Correct Score Prediction
Let’s take a chance on the +550 available that St. Pauli secure a 1-0 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.
Latest Correct Score Odds
St. Pauli vs Union Berlin Odds
The bookies have priced up the draw at +220, with St. Pauli available to back at betting odds of +135. Union Berlin are +220 to win this Bundesliga match.
A tight game could be on the cards and that is reflected in the short odds about Under 2.5 Goals being scored. The Both Teams to Score market is intriguing, with Yes and No evenly-matched.
Many customers enjoy placing a Bundesliga Bet Builder where you can combine different betting selections with the football betting sites. The more picks means that the odds get bigger.
-
Full Time Result
1
+135
X
+220
2
+220
-
Half Time Result
1
+210
X
+105
2
+275
-
Double Chance
1X
-275
12
-275
X2
-175
-
Both Teams to Score
Yes
-125
No
-105
-
Draw No Bet
1
-163
2
+120
-
Asian Handicap
1 Hcp -0.25
+106
2 Hcp +0.25
-115
-
Total Goals
Under 2.5
-138
Over 2.5
+110
-
Total Corners
Under 9.5
-125
Over 9.5
-110
Best Betting Offers
Team Stats
St. Pauli Stats
Union Berlin Stats
Full time Result
- 4 wins, 6 defeats and 0 draws in previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full time Results
- 1 wins, 8 defeats and 1 draws in previous 10 matches
- 1 wins, 7 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 6.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 5.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 41.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 42.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 39.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
St. Pauli vs Union Berlin Lineups
St Pauli Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Union Berlin Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
St Pauli Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Union Berlin Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
St Pauli Substitutes
- 1Ben Alexander Voll
- 9Abdoulie Ceesay
- 10Danel Sinani
- 14Fin Stevens
- 16Carlo Boukhalfa
- 17Oladapo Afolayan
- 18Scott Banks
- 26Elias Saad
- 36Emil Staugaard
Union Berlin Substitutes
- 7Yorbe Vertessen
- 8Rani Khedira
- 10Kevin Volland
- 15Tom Rothe
- 20Laszlo Benes
- 21Tim Skarke
- 25Carl Klaus
- 28Christopher Trimmel
- 29Lucas Tousart
Previous St. Pauli Lineups
Previous Union Berlin Lineups
Bundesliga Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bayern Munich | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65:19 | 55 |
2 | Leverkusen | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 49:27 | 47 |
3 | Frankfurt | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 49:29 | 42 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36:29 | 37 |
5 | Freiburg | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 29:36 | 36 |
6 | Mainz 05 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 35:24 | 35 |
7 | Stuttgart | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
8 | B. M'gladbach | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 35:32 | 34 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 45:36 | 33 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:42 | 30 |
11 | Dortmund | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 37:38 | 29 |
12 | Augsburg | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24:35 | 28 |
13 | Union Berlin | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21:29 | 24 |
14 | St. Pauli | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 18:25 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 29:45 | 21 |
16 | Heidenheim | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 25:45 | 14 |
17 | Bochum | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 21:46 | 14 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 34:57 | 13 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bayern Munich | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 37:9 | 31 |
2 | Leverkusen | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 29:15 | 27 |
3 | Frankfurt | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 29:14 | 24 |
4 | Freiburg | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:13 | 22 |
5 | Dortmund | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25:15 | 21 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:11 | 21 |
7 | Stuttgart | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 26:17 | 20 |
8 | B. M'gladbach | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 20 |
9 | Mainz 05 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 18 |
10 | Augsburg | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 18 |
11 | Union Berlin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11:11 | 16 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 21:21 | 13 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:20 | 13 |
14 | Bochum | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:18 | 12 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:26 | 11 |
16 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:27 | 10 |
17 | St. Pauli | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7:12 | 9 |
18 | Heidenheim | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | 7 |
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