St. Pauli vs Union Berlin Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Nov 2025
Bundesliga Betting Preview: St. Pauli vs Union Berlin
St. Pauli welcome Union Berlin to Millerntor-Stadion, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 23 November.
Our stake will be split when taking Union Berlin +0.25 at odds of -133 for this Asian Handicap bet. It means a return in the event of a draw but a bigger payout should the visitors claim a win against St. Pauli.
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St. Pauli have lost their last seven games. Away at Europa-Park Stadion, they recently suffered a 2-1 defeat against Freiburg. The Hamburg outfit had two shots on target and 40% possession, with Louis Oppie bagging the goal.
Union Berlin drew 2-2 in their previous game. This was at home against Bayern Munich at Alten Foersterei. Steffen Baumgart's team enjoyed just 26% possession and had four shots on goal, with Danilho Doekhi scoring twice.
Head-to-Head Statistics
St. Pauli won the last clash between the pair. Enjoying a 3-0 home triumph when facing Union at Millerntor-Stadion. Each team has landed two wins in the previous 4 meetings between them.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |  Union Berlin |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 16 |  St. Pauli |
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 9:20 | 7 |
2 wins, 7 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.9 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts. St. Pauli have had 51.0% possession, 494.9 passes and 5.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 2.0 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 3.6 corners.
Andreas Hountondji is the top goalscorer with 3, Danel Sinani has 2, with Louis Oppie and two other players on 1. Connor Metcalfe, Mathias Pereira Lage and Joel Chima Fujita have recorded the most assists with 1 apiece. Meanwhile, goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj has kept one clean sheet.
Union have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, averaging 3.5 shots on goal, 12.3 attempts and 1.3 goals. The Eisernen average 33.2% possession, 280.8 passes, 5.3 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 14.7 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal.
Danilho Doekhi and Ilyas Ansah have scored 4, followed by Oliver Burke with 3. Andrej Ilic has clocked up 4 assists, with Frederik Roennow keeping 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
St. Pauli predicted lineup (3-4-3): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith, Karol Mets, Arkadiusz Pyrka, James Sands, Joel Chima Fujita, Louis Oppie, Connor Metcalfe, Martijn Kaars, Mathias Pereira Lage.
Union Berlin predicted lineup (3-5-2): Frederik Roennow (GK), Danilho Doekhi, Leopold Querfeld, Diogo Leite, Janik Haberer, Andras Schafer, Aljoscha Kemlein, Rani Khedira, Tom Rothe, Oliver Burke, Ilyas Ansah.
St. Pauli vs Union Berlin Prediction & Betting Tips
This St. Pauli vs Union Berlin betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.
Match Prediction
Union Berlin have a good chance of winning this Bundesliga clash and we’ll wager them on the Asian Handicap. Take the visitors at -133 with a +0.25 goal start in then expectation that they can perform well.
It's essential to know the players who are missing for the next clash along with the form for each of the two sides. If you’re looking for the best Bundesliga stats, we will showcase them and they provide the foundation for our football picks.
Key St. Pauli vs Union Berlin league stats:
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 57.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
Those searching for a different wager to betting Union on the Asian Handicap should consider a Winning Margin bet. Select the right option for you.
Give yourself a head start. Explore the latest free bet promotions and bonus offers in our comprehensive guide.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
1
Union Berlin
Union Berlin are available to back at +700 to secure a 1-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.
Player Prop Picks
Oliver Burke (Union) hasn’t had a shot on goal in seven of the past nine Bundesliga matches. We expect him not to cover the line and this Shots on Target wager can be taken at -125.
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Janik Haberer (Union) is available to find the net at +700. All things considered, we think that the odds are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.
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Corners Prediction
The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Union Berlin in their past six games, while the previous 5 St. Pauli matches have seen them concede an average of 4.40 corners. We think it’s possible that Union will cover the Team Corners line and there are odds of -159 available.
St. Pauli
Union Berlin
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Bet Builder Tips
Check out our same-game multi which has the following: Union Berlin on the Asian Handicap at +0.25, no more than two goals to be scored along with Oliver Burke (Union) to finish without a shot on target.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.
St. Pauli vs Union Berlin Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The bookies have betting odds of +140 for St. Pauli to win this Bundesliga clash, while you could instead opt for Union Berlin at +190, with the draw being the third Full-Time Result option at +225.
St. Pauli and Union can be backed at -143 and +102 respectively on the Draw No Bet market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want to ensure they have money back if the scoreline ends level.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. If you’re betting on Both Teams to Score, you can back Yes at -122 and No at -109.
The best football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Bundesliga games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Those interested in Andrej Ilic to find the net anytime can get +250, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +550.
St. Pauli haven’t triumphed in four straight games at Millerntor-Stadion. The Hamburg outfit have five losses, four draws and one victory in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.90.
Union have finished with four wins, four losses and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.90.
The past meeting at Millerntor-Stadion saw St. Pauli defeat Union 3-0.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli Home Stats |
1-4-5 | 2.80 | 0.90 | 1.90 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
| Union Berlin Away Stats |
4-2-4 | 3.00 | 1.10 | 1.90 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
St. Pauli League Stats
Union Berlin League Stats
- 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded and 2.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 33.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 33.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for St. Pauli this season are Andreas Hountondji (3), Danel Sinani (2), Adam Dzwigala (1)
- Top Assistors for St. Pauli this season are Connor Metcalfe (1), Danel Sinani (1), Joel Chima Fujita (1)
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St. Pauli vs Union Berlin Lineups & Team News
Check the St. Pauli vs Union team news before you place your bets. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga along with the latest injury news.
St Pauli Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Union Berlin Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
St Pauli Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Union Berlin Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Previous St. Pauli Lineups
Previous Union Berlin Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35:6 | 28 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:18 | 15 |
| 9 | FC Koln | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 12 | B. M'gladbach | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | 7 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:20 | 7 |
| 17 | Mainz 05 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11:19 | 6 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:23 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Stuttgart | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 15 |
| 3 | Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 13 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Dortmund | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 10 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 9 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 13 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 14 | B. M'gladbach | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:14 | 5 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 16 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:15 | 3 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 2 |
| 18 | Mainz 05 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | 2 |
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