Missouri State vs Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Mar 2026
College Basketball Betting Preview: Missouri State vs Liberty
The Missouri State Bears go up against the Liberty Flames, with tip-off scheduled for 17:30 on Wednesday, March 11.
The best betting angle could be wagering on the totals when Missouri State clash with Liberty. Our prediction is for Over 143.5 points to be scored at odds of -110.
Missouri State Bears got the win in their previous game. A 75-72 triumph occurred on the road when playing Florida International Panthers.
Liberty Flames were winners last time out. It was a 79-72 home victory against Sam Houston Bearkats.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 79-76 win for Liberty when they last played Missouri State.
| NCAAB | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberty
|
25-7 | 2501 | 2253 | 248 | 14-4 | 11-3 | 1L |
Missouri State
|
16-18 | 2551 | 2502 | 49 | 11-7 | 5-11 | 1L |
Missouri State vs Liberty Prediction & Picks
We’ve lined up expert Missouri State vs Liberty betting tips, from our main match prediction and correct score call to bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.
Game Prediction
The teams are capable of exceeding the set points total line which leads us to predict Over 143.5 as a great pick at -110 for this college matchup.
The basketball picks at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant stats to confidently recommend every college hoops pick.
Key Missouri State vs Liberty stats:
Over 143.5 Probability
The top betting apps imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
The sportsbooks give you the option to get bigger odds for your Overs selection by combining this pick on the Match Result & Total lines. Predict a team to win as part of the deal.
Get extra value on your next wager with our list of betting offers—featuring welcome bonuses, free bets, and promotions.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Over 143.5, Missouri State +6.5 and both teams to score 60 points and Missouri State to win on the Result & BTTS lines.
A same game parlay is a fantastic option for basketball bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Correct Score Prediction
Missouri State vs Liberty Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Liberty as -208 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 68% likely to win. At +172, Missouri State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
The current spread is 5.5 and the total points line is 142.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you’re going for Over 142.5, then the odds are -110.
The top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to most college games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
If you have a view on Rebounds, Steals, Blocks, Assists or Points, then the player props could be an option. It’s a fantastic way of betting on a player to perform well and the gambling sites provide lots of choice.
Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Missouri State Stats
Liberty Stats
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 152.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 153.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 143.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 143.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.10 pts and allowed 77.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.40 pts and allowed 77.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 153.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 151.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 143.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
- Over 143.5 at Home: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.30 pts and allowed 76.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 77.10 pts and allowed 74.00 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAB Table Select Season
| Conference USA | Overall | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberty
|
25-7 | 2501 | 2253 | 248 | 14-4 | 11-3 | 1L |
Sam Houston
|
22-11 | 2714 | 2447 | 267 | 14-2 | 8-9 | 1L |
Kennesaw State
|
21-13 | 2834 | 2587 | 247 | 14-3 | 7-10 | 3W |
Louisiana Tech
|
20-14 | 2375 | 2210 | 165 | 16-4 | 4-10 | 1L |
Western Kentucky
|
18-14 | 2537 | 2436 | 101 | 13-6 | 5-8 | 3L |
Middle Tennessee
|
17-15 | 2414 | 2329 | 85 | 12-5 | 5-10 | 1L |
New Mexico State
|
16-16 | 2403 | 2303 | 100 | 11-6 | 5-10 | 1L |
Missouri State
|
16-18 | 2551 | 2502 | 49 | 11-7 | 5-11 | 1L |
Jacksonville State
|
15-17 | 2325 | 2188 | 137 | 10-9 | 5-8 | 1L |
FIU
|
15-17 | 2580 | 2492 | 88 | 12-7 | 3-10 | 1L |
UTEP
|
11-20 | 2149 | 2244 | -95 | 9-8 | 2-12 | 1L |
Delaware
|
10-21 | 2098 | 2293 | -195 | 6-11 | 4-10 | 1L |
- Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
- PF = Total Points For
- PA = Total Points Against
- N. Pts = Point Differential
- Home = Home Record
- Away = Away Record
- Strk = Current Streak
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Sam Houston
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Delaware