Stoke vs Middlesbrough Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Jan 2026

Championship Betting Preview: Stoke vs Middlesbrough

Stoke square off against Middlesbrough at bet365 Stadium, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 21 January.

We’re confident that there will be a low goal count when Stoke and Middlesbrough meet. The Total Goals market offers us the chance to bet on Under 2.5 and the odds of -147 look really appealing.

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In the last Stoke City game, they played out a 0-0 draw at home to Queens Park Rangers at bet365 Stadium. Mark Robins' side enjoyed a remarkable 73% of possession and had three shots on target.

Middlesbrough won their previous league game 3-2. This away victory at The Hawthorns against West Bromwich Albion was their second the Championship triumph on the spin. The Teeside team had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 58% possession and three shots on goal, while Charlie Taylor (own goal), Samuel Silvera and Delano Burgzorg found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Middlesbrough have gone unbeaten in their past three games against Stoke, with the last encounter ending 0-0 at Riverside Stadium. The previous 10 H2H games have resulted in four draws and three wins apiece.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Middlesbrough	27	14	7	6	40	28	12	40:28	49
7	Stoke	27	12	5	10	32	23	9	32:23	41

View Full Table

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts. Stoke have had 55.3% possession and 6.0 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.9 corners.

Top scorer Sorba Thomas has found the net 3 times, with Sam Gallagher, Robert Bozenik, Ben Wilmot and Ben Pearson getting 1 goals each. The top assist makers are Sorba Thomas, Million Manhoef and Jun-Ho Bae, all of whom have 1 on the board.

Middlesbrough have 6 victories, 3 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 17.1 attempts, 4.6 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. Kim Hellberg's men average 65.1% possession, 7.6 corners awarded and 4.1 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 3.4 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts.

Morgan Whittaker has scored 6, followed by Samuel Silvera, David Strelec and Riley McGree with 2 goals apiece. Hayden Hackney has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Stoke predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Gavin Bazunu (GK), Maksym Taloverov, Ben Wilmot, Ashley Phillips, Bosun Lawal, Tomas Rigo, Ben Pearson, Lamine Cissé, Joon-ho Bae, Sorba Thomas, Sam Gallagher.

Middlesbrough predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Solomon Brynn (GK), Luke Ayling, Adilson Malanda, Alan Browne, Matthew Targett, Hayden Hackney, Aidan Morris, Sam Silvera, Morgan Whittaker, Alex Gilbert, Tommy Conway.

Stoke vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the best Stoke vs Middlesbrough betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to a sharp corners pick, top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

There’s a definite case for selecting Under 2.5 when it comes to this Championship showdown. The sides could be set to contest an encounter with few goals and we’re looking to snap up the price of -147.

Our Championship experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.

Key Stoke vs Middlesbrough league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Stoke games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Stoke games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Stoke games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Middlesbrough games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Middlesbrough games.

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 59.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Bettors have an opportunity to visit the Result & Total Goals market in the quest for a bigger price. This bet allows you to select Under 2.5 and a particular team to land a victory.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -147 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Stoke 1 - 1 Middlesbrough

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves a 1-1 scoreline. The odds of +425 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sorba Thomas Over 0.5 Shots On Target -154

Sorba Thomas (Stoke) can be wagered to register a minimum of one shot on goal at -154. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Sorba Thomas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-114

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Samuel Silvera to Score +400

Samuel Silvera (Middlesbrough) has managed two goals in his past five Championship games. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +400 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Samuel Silvera Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

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Corners Prediction

Stoke Over 4.5 Corners -143

Stoke have had over 4.5 corners in six straight home matches. The number of Stoke corners might be larger than the line implies and that means a bet at odds of -143.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Stoke

Total

10.90 6.00 4.90

Home

10.70 6.50 4.20

Away

10.60 5.20 5.40

Middlesbrough

Total

11.70 7.60 4.10

Home

12.00 6.80 5.20

Away

9.80 6.70 3.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

-100

Stoke Corners

Over 4.5

-135

Under 4.5

-105

Middlesbrough Corners

Over 4.5

-137

Under 4.5

-104

Most Corners

1

-100

X

+650

2

-100

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Stoke vs Middlesbrough Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The latest Full-Time Result betting odds show that Middlesbrough are +140 for a Championship victory, while Stoke City are +200. The draw is trading at +220 should you think the game will end all square.

There’s the chance to back Middlesbrough at +102 if you want to take them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s a full payout if they beat Stoke but also half stake returned if the scoreline ends level.

A low-scoring contest will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds. When it comes to BTTS betting, the market suggests that Both Teams to Score Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football bet for the latest Championship match. The best betting sites leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Full-Time Result

1

+200

X

+220

2

+140

Half-Time Result

1

+250

X

+112

2

+190

Double Chance

1X

-192

12

-313

X2

-278

Draw No Bet

1

+105

2

-149

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-133

2 Hcp -0.25

+102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-147

Over 2.5

+112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-125

No

-111

Those interested in favourite Sorba Thomas to find the net first are able to get +600. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +240.

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)

First

+250

Anytime

+575

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

David Strelec (Middlesbrough)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Hayden Hackney (Middlesbrough)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Micah Hamilton (Middlesbrough)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Sontje Hansen (Middlesbrough)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Samuel Silvera (Middlesbrough)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Alex Gilbert (Middlesbrough)

First

+460

Anytime

+1100

Delano Burgzorg (Middlesbrough)

First

+475

Anytime

+1150

Riley McGree (Middlesbrough)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Bae Jun-Ho (Stoke)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Alan Browne (Middlesbrough)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Tomás Rigo (Stoke)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Tatsuki Seko (Stoke)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-111

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-114

Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-118

Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-123

David Strelec (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-147

Hayden Hackney (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-189

Micah Hamilton (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-204

Sontje Hansen (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-227

Samuel Silvera (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

Delano Burgzorg (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-250

Alex Gilbert (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-263

Riley McGree (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-286

Bae Jun-Ho (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Tomás Rigo (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-476

Alan Browne (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-455

Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Tatsuki Seko (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-714

Stoke have clocked up five wins, three defeats and two draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

Middlesbrough have clocked up four wins, four defeats and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

The most recent bet365 Stadium meeting saw Middlesbrough claim a 3-1 win over Stoke. In the past 6 H2H matches at bet365 Stadium, we have seen two wins for each team and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Stoke Home Stats		5-2-3	2.10	1.40	0.70	5	5	4	6
Middlesbrough Away Stats		4-2-4	2.50	1.20	1.30	4	6	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Stoke vs Middlesbrough Lineups & Team News

Check the Stoke vs Middlesbrough team news before you place your bets. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Championship along with the latest injury news.

Stoke City Team Page Middlesbrough Team Page

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