Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Mar 2026
Championship Betting Preview: Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday
Derby host Sheffield Wednesday at Pride Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 7 March.
Rather than back Derby to win, we’re going to take the -120 that the favourites overcome -1.5 on the Asian Handicap against Sheffield Wednesday. This means we need them to oblige with a victory of two goals or more.
Derby County triumphed in the last league game. Their 3-1 win against Blackburn Rovers at Pride Park made it back-to-back Championship victories on home soil. John Eustace's side had 49% possession and managed six shots on target, while Ben Brereton Diaz, Matthew Clarke and Rhian Brewster scored one goal apiece.
Sheffield Wednesday have been defeated in twelve consecutive games. They were recently beaten at home to Southampton by a 3-1 scoreline at Hillsborough. The Steel City outfit had just 34% possession and recorded two shots on goal, while Jerry Yates was on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The two teams last clashed at Hillsborough, with Derby recording the away victory. Overcoming Wednesday by a 3-0 scoreline. In the past 10 H2H meetings, we have seen four Wednesday wins, two Derby victories and four draws.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Derby |
43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 62 | 53 | 9 | 62:53 | 66 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed |
43 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 26 | 83 | -57 | 26:83 | -3 |
5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals from 12.5 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. Derby have had 47.4% possession and 4.0 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 11.8 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.2 corners.
Top scorers Rhian Brewster and Patrick Agyemang have found the net 4 times, with Ben Brereton Diaz getting 3. Ben Brereton Diaz has made the most assists with 3.
Wednesday have lost all of their past 10 matches, with an average of 5.5 attempts, 1.3 shots on goal and 0.3 goals. Henrik Pedersen's team average 40.9% possession, 4.2 corners awarded and 7.3 corners against them, while 2.0 goals have been conceded from 5.4 shots on goal and 15.1 attempts.
The top scorers have been Jerry Yates, Charlie McNeill and Jamal Lowe, with 1 goals apiece. Jamal Lowe and Omotayo Adaramola have both managed 1 assists in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Derby confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Josh Vickers (GK), Joe Ward, Dion Sanderson, Matthew Clarke, Derry Murkin, Bobby Clark, Lewis Travis, Ben Brereton Diaz, Sammie Szmodics, Rhian Brewster, Patrick Agyemang.
Sheffield Wednesday confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Pierce Charles (GK), Gabriel Otegbayo, Liam Palmer, Dominic Iorfa, Jaden Heskey, Sean Fusire, Charlie McNeill, Svante Ingelsson, Omotayo Adaramola, Jamal Lowe, Jerry Yates.
Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction & Betting Tips
Approach Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely score outcome, best corners advice, standout player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.
Match Prediction
-1.5 on the Asian Handicap looks like excellent value for this Championship encounter. Odds of -120 offer plenty of appeal and we think Derby can put in a strong performance.
Our Championship experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.
Key Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday league stats:
The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 54.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.
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Correct Score Prediction
We’re predicting Derby to land a 2-0 victory and this is available at +440. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.
Player Prop Picks
Carlton Morris (Derby) is available at +130 to find the net. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
It’s been eight consecutive Derby matches where 10.5 corners has not been covered, while the same outcome has happened in four straight Sheffield Wednesday away games. We’re going to bet on the teams to fall short when it comes to Total Corners and this pick is available at -106.
Derby
Wednesday
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Take a bet builder that incorporates Derby on the Asian Handicap at -1.5, No on the BTTS market accompanied by less than 10.5 corners to be taken.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With an estimated 79% chance of winning, the bookies are taking few chances with their -385 betting odds about Derby County triumphing in this Championship clash. Sheffield Wednesday are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +1050.
If you fancy Derby to be leading at the interval, then you can secure odds of -149. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Wednesday at +700 on the Half-Time Result, with the draw trading at +163.
Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. An alternative approach is playing the BTTS market and going for the -149 about Both Teams to Score No.
There’s lots to like about our recommended football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Championship game. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.
Patrick Agyemang is available at +110 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +310 to find the net first.
Derby have four defeats, three wins and three draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 1.40.
Sheffield Wednesday have been defeated in eight straight away matches. The Steel City outfit have recorded nine defeats and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.30 goals per game and conceding 2.20.
Wednesday enjoyed a 2-1 winning scoreline when last meeting Derby at Pride Park. The past 5 H2H games at Pride Park have involved four draws and one Wednesday win.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Derby Home Stats |
3-3-4 | 2.70 | 1.30 | 1.40 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 2 | |
Sheffield Wednesday Away Stats |
0-1-9 | 2.50 | 0.30 | 2.20 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Championship: 15/12 2025 Wednesday 0 Derby 3
- Championship: 01/01 2025 Wednesday 4 Derby 2
- Championship: 01/12 2024 Derby 1 Wednesday 2
- League One: 07/05 2023 Wednesday 1 Derby 0
- League One: 03/12 2022 Derby 0 Wednesday 0
- Championship: 08/05 2021 Derby 3 Wednesday 3
- Championship: 01/01 2021 Wednesday 1 Derby 0
- Championship: 29/02 2020 Wednesday 1 Derby 3
- Championship: 11/12 2019 Derby 1 Wednesday 1
- Championship: 09/03 2019 Derby 1 Wednesday 1
Derby League Stats
Sheffield Wednesday League Stats
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 10 defeats have been inflicted in the previous 10 matches.
- 9 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.30 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.30 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 7.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 47.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 40.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Derby this season are Carlton Morris (10), Patrick Agyemang (10), Rhian Brewster (6)
- Top Assistors for Derby this season are Joe Ward (6), Callum Elder (5), Andreas Weimann (3)
Derby vs Sheffield Wednesday Lineups & Team News
The Derby vs Wednesday team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.
Derby Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Sheffield Wednesday Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Derby Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Sheffield Wednesday Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Derby Substitutes
- 3Craig Forsyth
- 9Carlton Morris
- 12Richard O'Donnell
- 18David Ozoh
- 29Oscar Fraulo
- 34Jaydon Banel
- 37Owen Eames
- 44Isaac Gordon
- 54Cruz Allen
Sheffield Wednesday Substitutes
- 11Ike Ugbo
- 18Marvelous Nakamba
- 21Joel Ndala
- 25Logan Stretch
- 27Reece Johnson
- 28Cole McGhee
- 31William Grainger
- 32Joe Emery
- 37Jarvis Thornton
Previous Derby Lineups
Previous Sheffield Wednesday Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Derby Player Stats & Squad
Manager: John Eustace
Sheffield Wednesday Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 43 | 25 | 11 | 7 | 85:43 | 86 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 73:44 | 76 |
| 3 | Millwall | 43 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 58:47 | 76 |
| 4 | Southampton | 43 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 75:51 | 75 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 43 | 20 | 13 | 10 | 64:44 | 73 |
| 6 | Hull | 43 | 20 | 9 | 14 | 65:61 | 69 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 65:60 | 67 |
| 8 | Derby | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 62:53 | 66 |
| 9 | Norwich | 43 | 18 | 7 | 18 | 59:52 | 61 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 43 | 16 | 10 | 17 | 54:55 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 43 | 16 | 10 | 17 | 58:65 | 58 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 43 | 17 | 6 | 20 | 61:59 | 57 |
| 13 | Watford | 43 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 52:53 | 57 |
| 14 | Birmingham | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 52:53 | 57 |
| 15 | Swansea | 43 | 16 | 9 | 18 | 51:56 | 57 |
| 16 | Preston | 43 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 50:55 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 43 | 15 | 10 | 18 | 49:48 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 44:57 | 51 |
| 19 | Charlton | 43 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 40:52 | 50 |
| 20 | West Brom | 43 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 44:56 | 49 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 39:54 | 49 |
| 22 | Oxford | 43 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 41:55 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 54:65 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 43 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 26:83 | -3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 40:17 | 47 |
| 3 | Southampton | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 34:15 | 42 |
| 4 | Millwall | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 31:25 | 39 |
| 5 | Birmingham | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 38 |
| 6 | Watford | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 30:23 | 37 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 28:17 | 36 |
| 8 | Swansea | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 36 |
| 9 | Derby | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 30:25 | 36 |
| 10 | Wrexham | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 39:35 | 36 |
| 11 | Hull | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 33:33 | 35 |
| 12 | Stoke | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 32:22 | 33 |
| 13 | QPR | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37:32 | 33 |
| 14 | Sheffield Utd | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35:27 | 31 |
| 15 | Preston | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 27:27 | 31 |
| 16 | West Brom | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25:25 | 30 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 24:22 | 29 |
| 18 | Bristol City | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 31:31 | 28 |
| 19 | Charlton | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 20:23 | 28 |
| 20 | Norwich | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 24:26 | 26 |
| 21 | Leicester | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 28:31 | 26 |
| 22 | Oxford | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 23 | Blackburn | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 19:26 | 21 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 22 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 12:43 | 7 |
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