Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Aug 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream
The Phoenix Mercury go up against the Atlanta Dream at Gateway Center Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, August 5.
Bet on the Dream against the spread, with an attractive line of -5.5 that they overcome the Mercury. There are odds of -110 that are currently on offer for this selection.
Phoenix Mercury got the win in their previous game. A 106-101 triumph occurred on the road at Wintrust Arena when playing Chicago Sky.
Atlanta Dream were defeated last time out. Gateway Center Arena saw them beaten at home to Las Vegas Aces by a 109-87 scoreline.
Head-to-Head Statistics
These two teams last met at Gateway Center Arena, with the Dream claiming the win. Beating the Mercury by a 82-80 scoreline. The Dream have four straight wins against the Mercury. They have won 6 of the 10 previous head-to-head meetings.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6
Dream
|
18 | 11 | 2590 | 2496 | 94 | 10-5 | 8-6 | 1L |
10
Mercury
|
12 | 19 | 2612 | 2707 | -95 | 5-10 | 7-9 | 1W |
Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Prediction & Picks
Join us as we dissect the best Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
Dream should be taken against the spread at -5.5 with our pick being for the favorites to achieve a comfortable margin of victory in this WNBA contest. Back them at the odds of -110 that are available.
Tracking injury updates is a big part of our analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our basketball predictions. We combine this with recent form and the most important WNBA stats to get a complete picture.
Key Mercury vs Dream stats:
Dream -5.5 Probability
The best basketball sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This WNBA wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
A Bet Builder provides you with the chance to combine the Dream on the spread with other picks. For every additional selection, the odds are boosted.
Don’t place another bet without seeing the best betting offers available—free bets and welcome promos included.
Player Prop Picks
Angel Reese (Dream) can be wagered to rack up Over 15.5 points at -115. We are going to choose a Player Points prop bet which will hopefully see her cover the line.
Latest Angel Reese Player Prop Odds
Rhyne Howard (Dream) can be backed to have Under 3.5 assists at -169. Should you agree with our verdict that the total is too high, you can bet this Player Assists wager.
Latest Rhyne Howard Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Dream -5.5, Over 181.5 and Angel Reese (Dream) to score Over 15.5 points.
The betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual game. It means that you can create a personalised basketball wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of selections.
Correct Score Prediction
Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
For this WNBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Atlanta Dream are -213 favorites to win and that means a 68% chance of landing a victory. For those wanting to back Phoenix Mercury, you will find +172 about the underdogs.
The spread is 5.5 and the total points line is currently 181.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. The Over 181.5 selection is available to back at -110.
You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every women's basketball contest, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.
The favorite to hit the most buckets is Kahleah Copper. Odds of -123 can be found for her scoring Over 20.5 points and there is -104 for her to go Under.
- WNBA: 24/05 2026 Mercury 80 Dream 82
- WNBA: 11/08 2025 Dream 74 Mercury 66
- WNBA: 02/08 2025 Mercury 72 Dream 95
- WNBA: 24/07 2025 Dream 90 Mercury 79
- WNBA: 04/09 2024 Dream 66 Mercury 74
- WNBA: 24/08 2024 Mercury 82 Dream 80
- WNBA: 22/08 2024 Mercury 63 Dream 72
- WNBA: 19/05 2024 Dream 85 Mercury 88
- WNBA: 30/08 2023 Mercury 76 Dream 94
- WNBA: 04/08 2023 Dream 71 Mercury 91
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Phoenix Mercury Stats
Atlanta Dream Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 174.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 176.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 181.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 181.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.30 pts and allowed 90.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 85.60 pts and allowed 91.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 181.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 187.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 181.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 181.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 91.20 pts and allowed 90.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 94.00 pts and allowed 93.60 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
25 | 6 | 2874 | 2584 | 290 | 12-4 | 13-2 | 10W |
2
Aces
|
21 | 9 | 2760 | 2598 | 162 | 9-5 | 12-4 | 1W |
3
Valkyries
|
20 | 9 | 2396 | 2232 | 164 | 12-4 | 8-5 | 1W |
4
Wings
|
19 | 11 | 2675 | 2553 | 122 | 9-5 | 10-6 | 1W |
5
Fever
|
19 | 11 | 2895 | 2720 | 175 | 11-5 | 8-6 | 1L |
6
Dream
|
18 | 11 | 2590 | 2496 | 94 | 10-5 | 8-6 | 1L |
7
Liberty
|
18 | 13 | 2791 | 2715 | 76 | 9-5 | 9-8 | 2W |
8
Mystics
|
16 | 12 | 2273 | 2320 | -47 | 8-6 | 8-6 | 4W |
9
Sparks
|
11 | 17 | 2510 | 2641 | -131 | 5-9 | 6-8 | 1W |
10
Mercury
|
12 | 19 | 2612 | 2707 | -95 | 5-10 | 7-9 | 1W |
11
Sky
|
11 | 19 | 2642 | 2700 | -58 | 7-8 | 4-11 | 1L |
12
Fire
|
11 | 19 | 2586 | 2762 | -176 | 6-9 | 5-10 | 5L |
13
Tempo
|
10 | 19 | 2545 | 2716 | -171 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 6L |
14
Sun
|
7 | 23 | 2395 | 2620 | -225 | 4-10 | 3-13 | 5L |
15
Storm
|
6 | 26 | 2642 | 2822 | -180 | 4-11 | 2-15 | 9L |
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