Sturm Graz vs Hartberg Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Sep 2025
Bundesliga Betting Preview: Sturm Graz vs Hartberg
Sturm Graz host Hartberg in this Austrian Bundesliga meeting at Merkur-Arena, with kick-off set for 08:30 on Sunday 28 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
We’re siding with Hartberg on the Asian Handicap +1 at -118, with a confident feeling that they can win or draw when going up against Sturm Graz. There’s the bonus of a one-goal defeat meaning our stake is refunded.
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Sturm Graz have suffered back-to-back Bundesliga home defeats. In their last league game, they beat Red Bull Salzburg 2-0 on the road at Red Bull Arena. Juergen Saeumel's team enjoyed 48% possession and had nine shots on target, with Tomi Horvat and Seedy Jatta scoring one goal each.
Four days ago, Sturm were beaten 2-0 when visiting FC Midtjylland in the Europa League.
Hartberg drew 2-2 in their previous game. This was at home against Wolfsberger at Profertil Arena Hartberg. The Blue and White had 44% possession and totalled five shots on goal, while Elias Havel and Maximilian Fillafer were both on target.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Sturm have landed wins in their last two clashes against Hartberg. Travelling to Profertil Arena Hartberg, a 2-1 win was achieved following a 2-0 home victory at Merkur-Arena. The previous 10 H2H matches have ended up with six Sturm wins, one Hartberg victory and three draws.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sturm Graz |
17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 27:23 | 28 |
| 4 | Hartberg |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 26:22 | 26 |
6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts. Sturm have had 51.2% possession and 5.1 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.5 corners.
Otar Kiteishvili leads the way with 5 goals, Seedy Jatta has 3, with Tomi Horvat and two others on 2. William Boeving is the leading assists maker on 3.
Hartberg have 5 victories, 4 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.5 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts. Manfred Schmid's side have averaged 39.8% possession, 3.8 corners taken and 5.9 corners against, while conceding 1.4 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts.
The leading goalscorers have been Elias Havel on 4, Jed Drew with 3 and Lukas Fridrikas 2. Benjamin Markus has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Sturm Graz confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Oliver Christensen (GK), Tim Oermann, Emanuel Aiwu, Dimitri Lavalee, Emir Karic, Jon Gorenc-Stankovic, Jacob Hodl, Tochi Chukwuani, Tomi Horvat, Seedy Jatta, Leon Grgic.
Hartberg confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Tom Huelsmann (GK), Dominic Vincze, Lukas Spendlhofer, Fabian Wilfinger, Juergen Heil, Maximilian Hennig, Tobias Kainz, Benjamin Markus, Marco Hoffmann, Maximilian Fillafer, Elias Havel.
Sturm Graz vs Hartberg Prediction & Betting Tips
Our expert Sturm Graz vs Hartberg tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction to a corners pick, a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
Hartberg should be able to be competitive as the underdogs and you can get odds of -118 that they win with a +1 goal start. We expect them to play their part in this Bundesliga match.
The Bundesliga injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.
Key Sturm Graz vs Hartberg league stats:
When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.1% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
It’s great to place a Winning Margin wager if you want an alternative to Asian Handicap. Choose whether a team will achieve a close win or something bigger.
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Correct Score Prediction
There are odds of +450 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.
Corners Prediction
Hartberg have not covered the 3.5 corners line in six straight games, while Sturm Graz have conceded an average of 3.40 corners in the past 5 games. There is value when it comes to going under the Hartberg Team Corners line and this is available at -138.
Sturm
Hartberg
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Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder can be a fun wager and we’ve gone for Hartberg with the +1 Asian Handicap, BTTS Yes together with Hartberg to finish with under 3.5 corners.
Placing a bet builder offers a great option for football punters who are looking to focus specifically on one match. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
Sturm Graz vs Hartberg Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
At betting odds of -161, the bookies make Sturm Graz probable winners and there’s a 62% likelihood that the favourites triumph in this Bundesliga encounter. The market implies that Hartberg are the most unlikely to win at +360.
If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Sturm are +118 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Hartberg are +370 and the draw is priced at +143.
The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -139.
The top football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest Bundesliga matches. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.
Sturm have recorded six victories, three defeats and one draw in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.10.
Hartberg have secured three straight victories on their travels. The Blue and White have racked up six victories, two draws and two defeats in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 0.90.
When the teams previously met at Merkur-Arena, Sturm defeated Hartberg 2-0. The past 8 H2H meetings at Merkur-Arena have featured five triumphs for Sturm, one for Hartberg along with two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sturm Graz Home Stats |
6-1-3 | 2.90 | 1.80 | 1.10 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
Hartberg Away Stats |
6-2-2 | 2.50 | 1.60 | 0.90 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Bundesliga: 09/11 2024 Hartberg 1 Sturm Graz 2
- Bundesliga: 11/08 2024 Sturm Graz 2 Hartberg 0
- Bundesliga: 05/05 2024 Sturm Graz 1 Hartberg 1
- Bundesliga: 14/04 2024 Hartberg 1 Sturm Graz 3
- Bundesliga: 10/03 2024 Hartberg 1 Sturm Graz 1
- Bundesliga: 21/10 2023 Sturm Graz 2 Hartberg 1
- Bundesliga: 18/02 2023 Hartberg 1 Sturm Graz 2
- Bundesliga: 03/09 2022 Sturm Graz 0 Hartberg 0
- Bundesliga: 27/02 2022 Sturm Graz 3 Hartberg 0
- Bundesliga: 03/10 2021 Hartberg 3 Sturm Graz 2
Sturm Graz League Stats
Hartberg League Stats
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 39.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Sturm Graz this season are Otar Kiteishvili (4), Seedy Jatta (3), Tomi Horvat (2)
- Top Assistors for Sturm Graz this season are William Boeving (3), Emir Karic (1), Maurice Malone (1)
Sturm Graz vs Hartberg Lineups & Team News
Be prepared — check the Sturm vs Hartberg team news before wagering. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups and the latest on injuries.
Sturm Graz Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Hartberg Confirmed Lineup 5-3-2
Sturm Graz Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Hartberg Confirmed Lineup 5-3-2
Sturm Graz Substitutes
- 2Jeyland Mitchell
- 14Kristjan Bendra
- 22Julius Beck
- 25Stefan Hierlaender
- 26Belmin Beganovic
- 35Niklas Geyrhofer
- 40Matteo Bignetti
- 77Maurice Malone
Hartberg Substitutes
- 1Ammar Helac
- 6Habib Coulibaly
- 8Julian Halwachs
- 9Patrik Mijic
- 10Dominik Prokop
- 16Julian Peter Goelles
- 17Jonas Karner
- 30Lukas Fridrikas
- 95Damjan Kovacevic
Previous Sturm Graz Lineups
Previous Hartberg Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Sturm Graz Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Juergen Saeumel
Hartberg Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB Salzburg | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 36:21 | 32 |
| 2 | LASK | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 24:21 | 29 |
| 3 | Sturm Graz | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 27:23 | 28 |
| 4 | Hartberg | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 26:22 | 26 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 25:26 | 26 |
| 6 | Ried | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Rapid Vienna | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 21:21 | 25 |
| 8 | Wolfsberger | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25:21 | 24 |
| 9 | SCR Altach | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | 21 |
| 10 | WSG Tirol | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 11 | Grazer | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17:29 | 15 |
| 12 | BW Linz | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 15:29 | 11 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB Salzburg | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22:12 | 17 |
| 2 | LASK | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 16 |
| 3 | Ried | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 4 | Wolfsberger | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 5 | SCR Altach | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 6 | Austria Vienna | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | 13 |
| 7 | WSG Tirol | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Hartberg | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 9 | Rapid Vienna | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Grazer | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:14 | 10 |
| 11 | BW Linz | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 12 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | 7 |
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