Sturm Graz vs Hartberg Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Sep 2025

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Sturm Graz vs Hartberg

Sturm Graz host Hartberg in this Austrian Bundesliga meeting at Merkur-Arena, with kick-off set for 08:30 on Sunday 28 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Hartberg to Keep Things Tight Against Sturm

We’re siding with Hartberg on the Asian Handicap +1 at -118, with a confident feeling that they can win or draw when going up against Sturm Graz. There’s the bonus of a one-goal defeat meaning our stake is refunded.

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2-1 Win for Sturm in Last H2H Battle

Sturm Graz have suffered back-to-back Bundesliga home defeats. In their last league game, they beat Red Bull Salzburg 2-0 on the road at Red Bull Arena. Juergen Saeumel's team enjoyed 48% possession and had nine shots on target, with Tomi Horvat and Seedy Jatta scoring one goal each.

Four days ago, Sturm were beaten 2-0 when visiting FC Midtjylland in the Europa League.

Hartberg drew 2-2 in their previous game. This was at home against Wolfsberger at Profertil Arena Hartberg. The Blue and White had 44% possession and totalled five shots on goal, while Elias Havel and Maximilian Fillafer were both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Sturm have landed wins in their last two clashes against Hartberg. Travelling to Profertil Arena Hartberg, a 2-1 win was achieved following a 2-0 home victory at Merkur-Arena. The previous 10 H2H matches have ended up with six Sturm wins, one Hartberg victory and three draws.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Sturm Graz	6	4	0	2	11	4	7	11:4	12
6	Hartberg	7	3	1	3	11	10	1	11:10	10

View Full Table

6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts. Sturm have had 51.2% possession and 5.1 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.5 corners.

Otar Kiteishvili leads the way with 5 goals, Seedy Jatta has 3, with Tomi Horvat and two others on 2. William Boeving is the leading assists maker on 3.

Hartberg have 5 victories, 4 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.5 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts. Manfred Schmid's side have averaged 39.8% possession, 3.8 corners taken and 5.9 corners against, while conceding 1.4 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts.

The leading goalscorers have been Elias Havel on 4, Jed Drew with 3 and Lukas Fridrikas 2. Benjamin Markus has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Sturm Graz predicted lineup (4-1-2-1-2): Oliver Christensen (GK), Jeyland Mitchell, Tim Oermann, Filip Rozga, Emir Karic, Dimitri Lavalée, Tomi Horvat, Tochi Chukwuani, Emanuel Aiwu, Seedy Jatta, Maurice Malone.

Hartberg predicted lineup (5-3-2): Tom Hülsmann (GK), Jürgen Heil, Dominic Vincze, Lukas Spendlhofer, Fabian Wilfinger, Damjan Kovacevic, Habib Coulibaly, Benjamin Markus, Tobias Kainz, Elias Havel, Marco Hoffmann.

Sturm Graz vs Hartberg Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert Sturm Graz vs Hartberg tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction to a corners pick, a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Hartberg should be able to be competitive as the underdogs and you can get odds of -118 that they win with a +1 goal start. We expect them to play their part in this Bundesliga match.

The Bundesliga injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.

Key Sturm Graz vs Hartberg league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Hartberg in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +1 line has been covered by Hartberg in 14 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +1 line has been covered by Hartberg in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Sturm in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Sturm in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Sturm in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Sturm in 7 of their last 10 games against Hartberg.

Hartberg +1 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.1% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

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Our Match Prediction

Hartberg Asian Hcp +1 @ -118 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Sturm 1 - 1 Hartberg

There are odds of +480 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Corners Prediction

Hartberg Under 3.5 Corners -138

Hartberg have not covered the 3.5 corners line in six straight games, while Sturm Graz have conceded an average of 3.40 corners in the past 5 games. There is value when it comes to going under the Hartberg Team Corners line and this is available at -138.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Sturm

Total

9.60 5.10 4.50

Home

9.00 4.80 4.20

Away

10.10 5.20 4.90

Hartberg

Total

9.70 3.80 5.90

Home

6.30 3.00 3.30

Away

10.20 4.40 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-147

Sturm Corners

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-138

Hartberg Corners

Over 2.5

-163

Under 2.5

+120

Most Corners

1

-370

X

+750

2

+335

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Sturm Graz vs Hartberg Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Sturm Could Have Edge According to Bookies

At betting odds of -182, the bookies make Sturm Graz probable winners and there’s a 65% likelihood that the favourites triumph in this Bundesliga encounter. The market implies that Hartberg are the most unlikely to win at +390.

If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Sturm are +107 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Hartberg are +380 and the draw is priced at +155.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -154.

The top football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest Bundesliga matches. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.

Full-Time Result

1

-182

X

+325

2

+390

Half-Time Result

1

+107

X

+155

2

+380

Double Chance

1X

-769

12

-588

X2

+125

Draw No Bet

1

-455

2

+275

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-115

2 Hcp +1

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+130

Over 2.5

-185

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-154

No

+108

Sturm Have Avoided Defeat in Past Six H2H Merkur-Arena Games

Sturm have recorded six victories, three defeats and one draw in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Hartberg have secured three straight victories on their travels. The Blue and White have racked up six victories, two draws and two defeats in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

When the teams previously met at Merkur-Arena, Sturm defeated Hartberg 2-0. The past 8 H2H meetings at Merkur-Arena have featured five triumphs for Sturm, one for Hartberg along with two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Sturm Graz Home Stats		6-1-3	2.90	1.80	1.10	5	5	6	4
Hartberg Away Stats		6-2-2	2.50	1.60	0.90	4	6	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Sturm Graz vs Hartberg Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Sturm vs Hartberg team news before wagering. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups and the latest on injuries.

Sturm Graz Team Page Hartberg Team Page