Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Nov 2025

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg

Sturm Graz take on Red Bull Salzburg at Merkur-Arena, with kick-off set for 11:00 on Sunday 9 November. Our betting preview features expert Austrian Bundesliga predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Don’t Underestimate the Underdogs

Salzburg have a strong chance against Sturm Graz and we’ll side with the visitors on the Asian Handicap. It’s worth chancing the -149 with a +0.25 goal headstart, meaning that our stake is split between 0 and +0.5.

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Sturm 2-0 Winners in Most Recent H2H

Sturm Graz lost on the road in their last Bundesliga game, making it back-to-back league defeats. Rapid Vienna won 2-1 at Allianz Stadion. The Blackies enjoyed 63% possession and had seven shots on target, with Maurice Malone bagging the goal.

On Thursday night, Sturm played out a 0-0 Europa League home draw against Nottingham Forest.

Red Bull Salzburg made it back-to-back Bundesliga victories after a 4-1 home win over Ried at Red Bull Arena. Thomas Letsch's team recorded 60% possession and had ten shots on goal, with Clement Bischoff, Sota Kitano, Edmund Baidoo and Petar Ratkov on the scoresheet.

The last outing involving Salzburg saw them triumph 2-0 at home to Go Ahead Eagles in the Europa League.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Sturm have racked up three straight victories over Salzburg. In the last clash, Sturm banked a 2-0 win when visiting Red Bull Arena. The previous 10 H2H games have featured four Sturm wins, three draws and three Salzburg victories.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	RB Salzburg	12	7	3	2	28	15	13	28:15	24
4	Sturm Graz	11	7	0	4	20	12	8	20:12	21

View Full Table

6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts. Sturm have had 57.5% possession and 6.2 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.2 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts, while being awarded 3.9 corners.

Otar Kiteishvili is the top scorer with 5 goals, Seedy Jatta has 3, with Maurice Malone and Tomi Horvat on 2. Tomi Horvat and William Boeving have been top assistors with 3.

Salzburg have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, with an average of 2.1 goals from 6.0 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 58.0% possession, 3.7 corners taken and 5.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts.

Petar Ratkov has top scored with 6, while Sota Kitano, Edmund Baidoo and Kerim Alajbegovic are next on 3. Maurits Kjaergaard has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 4.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Sturm Graz predicted lineup (4-3-3): Oliver Christensen (GK), Arjan Malic, Tim Oermann, Dimitri Lavalée, Emir Karic, Jon Gorenc-Stankovic, Tomi Horvat, Tochi Chukwuani, Otar Kiteishvili, Axel Kayombo, Maurice Malone.

Red Bull Salzburg predicted lineup (4-3-3): Alexander Schlager (GK), Aleksa Terzic, Joane Gadou, Jacob Rasmussen, Tim Trummer, Sota Kitano, Lucas Gourna-Douath, Mamady Diambou, Clement Bischoff, Petar Ratkov, Moussa Yeo.

Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the top Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, corners market pick and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Salzburg look a quality wager for this Bundesliga encounter and we can bet the away team at -149 with a +0.25 goal handicap. The latest numbers imply that they can swerve defeat and claim a victory.

We study the Bundesliga form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making our football predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Salzburg in 5 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Salzburg in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Salzburg in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Sturm in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Sturm in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Sturm in 6 of their last 10 games against Salzburg.

Red Bull +0.25 Probability

The top betting apps make it a 59.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

There’s an opportunity to take an alternative bet on Salzburg, with Winning Margin giving you the chance to predict how many goals a team will win by. Choose from a range of fixed intervals.

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Our Match Prediction

Salzburg Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -149 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Sturm 1 - 2 Salzburg

We’re betting on Salzburg to secure a 2-1 winning scoreline. Odds of +540 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Corners Prediction

Sturm Over 4.5 Corners -137

The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Sturm Graz in their past four home games, with the corner count against Red Bull Salzburg going over 4.5 in their last three away matches. We think it’s achievable that Sturm will cover the Team Corners line and odds of -137 can be landed.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Sturm

Total

10.10 6.20 3.90

Home

10.20 5.90 4.30

Away

10.10 5.00 5.10

Salzburg

Total

9.40 3.70 5.70

Home

9.50 5.10 4.40

Away

10.10 4.70 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-104

Under 9.5

-135

Sturm Corners

Over 4.5

-137

Under 4.5

-103

Salzburg Corners

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-147

Most Corners

1

-120

X

+575

2

+130

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Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest a Tight Affair

The bookies have chalked up the draw at +255 on the 1x2 betting, with Sturm Graz available to bet at odds of +140. Red Bull Salzburg are +155 to claim victory in this Bundesliga encounter.

Should you want to back Sturm to win but want money back if the game ends level, then there is -128 available on the Draw No Bet market. Opponents Salzburg have been chalked up at -112.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -200.

Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Bundesliga games, with the best football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.

Full-Time Result

1

+140

X

+255

2

+155

Half-Time Result

1

+190

X

+143

2

+200

Double Chance

1X

-233

12

-417

X2

-208

Draw No Bet

1

-128

2

-112

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+108

2 Hcp +0.25

-149

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+120

Over 2.5

-172

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-200

No

+135

Sturm Have Won Five of Past Ten H2H Merkur-Arena Meetings

Sturm have recorded four victories, four defeats and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Salzburg have managed six victories, three losses and one draw in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Sturm beat Salzburg 4-2 when they last met at Merkur-Arena. The past 10 H2H meetings at Merkur-Arena have seen Sturm triumph five times, one draw and four Salzburg wins.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Sturm Graz Home Stats		4-2-4	2.40	1.20	1.20	5	5	6	4
Red Bull Salzburg Away Stats		6-1-3	3.50	2.00	1.50	9	1	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Sturm vs Salzburg team news before placing your bets. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga along with the latest injury news.

Sturm Graz Team Page Red Bull Salzburg Team Page