Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Mar 2026
Bundesliga Betting Preview: Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz clash with Red Bull Salzburg at Merkur-Arena, with kick-off set for 14:30 on Friday 20 March.
We’re of the opinion that Salzburg will have the upper hand against Sturm Graz and they stand out at +105. The Full-Time Result price looks value and we’re bullish when it comes to yielding dividends.
Sturm Graz have now achieved four straight home victories. Their last win was a 5-2 away triumph at Generali Arena against Austria Vienna. The Blackies had 46% of possession and eight shots on target, with Otar Kiteishvili able to score two goals.
Red Bull Salzburg suffered a second consecutive Bundesliga defeat when losing 1-0 in their previous league game. This was at home to Rapid Vienna at Red Bull Arena. Daniel Beichler's side were 51% in the possession stakes and had two shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Sturm are unbeaten in the past four games against Salzburg, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 draw at Merkur-Arena. The past 10 H2H meetings have featured four Sturm victories, four draws and two Salzburg wins.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sturm Graz |
23 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 38:28 | 22 |
| 4 | RB Salzburg |
23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 42:27 | 18 |
Sturm have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.6 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts. Fabio Ingolitsch's team have averaged 49.4% possession and 4.7 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.2 goals from 3.5 shots on goal, 8.3 attempts and 4.7 corners.
Top scorer Otar Kiteishvili has found the net 5 times, with Jacob Hodl and Belmin Beganovic getting 2 apiece. The leading assistors have been Seedy Jatta and Tomi Horvat with 2.
Salzburg have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 9.7 attempts, 5.0 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. The Red Bulls average 63.6% possession, 6.4 corners in their favour and 2.7 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.1 shots on goal and 6.0 attempts.
Kerim Alajbegovic and Karim Konate have scored 3 goals, followed by Petar Ratkov with 2. Frans Kraetzig has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Sturm Graz predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Matteo Bignetti (GK), Albert Vallci, Jeyland Mitchell, Emanuel Aiwu, Emir Karic, Ryan Fosso, Jon Gorenc-Stankovic, Jacob Hodl, Otar Kiteishvili, Filip Rozga, Seedy Jatta.
Red Bull Salzburg predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Alexander Schlager (GK), Tim Drexler, Aleksa Terzic, Jannik Schuster, Frans Krätzig, Mads Bidstrup, Soumaïla Diabaté, Kerim Alajbegović, Oliver Lukic, Damir Redzic, Karim Konaté.
Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction & Betting Tips
Explore our best Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg picks, including our main match prediction, top corners bet, correct score forecast and a value-focused bet builder ready to use.
Match Prediction
There’s plenty of scope for Salzburg to triumph in this Bundesliga encounter and we’ll take them to secure a victory. Take the odds of +105 feeling optimistic that a win can be bagged.
The formbook always proves to be helpful when it comes to providing football betting tips. The latest Bundesliga team news is also vital, with the stats helping to shape our opinion too.
Key Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg league stats:
According to the top bookies, our pick has a 48.8% chance of landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
The Match Result & Total market offers bettors some interesting options at bigger prices. It provides you the opportunity to bet Salzburg along with a specific goal total to be recorded.
Give yourself a head start. Explore the latest free bet promotions and bonus offers in our comprehensive guide.
Correct Score Prediction
There could be merit in backing Salzburg to win 2-1. Odds of +575 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.
Corners Prediction
Red Bull Salzburg have had a corner average of 7.40 in the past 5 matches, with Sturm Graz averaging 3.80 corners in their previous 5 games. Salzburg look worth backing at -108 to triumph in the Corner Match bet.
Sturm
Salzburg
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder always adds excitement and the picks are Red Bull Salzburg to claim a victory, BTTS Yes as well as Red Bull Salzburg having the most corners.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Favourites Red Bull Salzburg are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Bundesliga clash. The +105 about them triumphing means a 49% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +215 about Sturm Graz.
A win for Salzburg would see a full payout on the Asian Handicap -0.25 option. You can get -132 that they overcome Sturm going down this route and half stake refunded if it’s a draw.
The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -200.
The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Bundesliga game. The best football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.
Sturm Graz have won each of their last four games at Merkur-Arena. The Blackies have clocked up five wins, three defeats and two draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 0.90.
Salzburg have five victories, three draws and two defeats in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
Sturm drew 1-1 with Salzburg when they last met at Merkur-Arena. In the past 10 H2H matches at Merkur-Arena, we have seen four wins for each team and two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sturm Graz Home Stats |
5-2-3 | 1.90 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 6 | |
Red Bull Salzburg Away Stats |
5-3-2 | 2.80 | 1.80 | 1.00 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Bundesliga: 09/11 2025 Sturm Graz 1 Salzburg 1
- Bundesliga: 20/09 2025 Salzburg 0 Sturm Graz 2
- Bundesliga: 09/05 2025 Sturm Graz 4 Salzburg 2
- Bundesliga: 13/04 2025 Salzburg 1 Sturm Graz 2
- Bundesliga: 02/03 2025 Salzburg 3 Sturm Graz 1
- Bundesliga: 06/10 2024 Sturm Graz 5 Salzburg 0
- Bundesliga: 28/04 2024 Salzburg 2 Sturm Graz 2
- Bundesliga: 31/03 2024 Sturm Graz 0 Salzburg 1
- Bundesliga: 09/02 2024 Salzburg 1 Sturm Graz 1
- Bundesliga: 16/09 2023 Sturm Graz 2 Salzburg 2
Sturm Graz League Stats
Red Bull Salzburg League Stats
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 2.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 63.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 59.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Sturm Graz this season are Otar Kiteishvili (10), Belmin Beganovic (3), Leon Grgic (3)
- Top Assistors for Sturm Graz this season are Tomi Horvat (5), Otar Kiteishvili (3), William Boeving (3)
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Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for Sturm vs Salzburg before making your bets. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.
Sturm Graz Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Red Bull Salzburg Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Sturm Graz Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Red Bull Salzburg Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Sturm Graz Lineups
Previous Red Bull Salzburg Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Sturm Graz Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Fabio Ingolitsch
Red Bull Salzburg Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 23 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 38:28 | 22 |
| 2 | LASK | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 32:30 | 19 |
| 3 | Rapid Vienna | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 27:25 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Salzburg | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 42:27 | 18 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36:35 | 18 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 29:24 | 17 |
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