Tigres vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Dec 2025

Liga MX Apertura Final Betting Preview: Tigres vs Toluca

The first leg of the Liga MX Apertura final sees Tigres UANL welcome Deportivo Toluca to El Volcán at 21:00 on Thursday 11 December.

We can’t pass up the opportunity to back Tigres considering they are +102 to record a victory over Toluca. We’ll take this Full-Time Result bet with confidence based on the current form and stats.

Ready to back Tigres? Grab the most up-to-date BetMGM promo code and check our detailed review for everything you need to know before betting.

Tigres UANL booked their spot in the final after a tense 1–1 draw when hosting Cruz Azul at El Volcán, progressing on away goals (2-2 on aggregate). Guido Pizarro's side managed one shot on target and had 42% possession, while Juan Brunetta scored the goal.

Deportivo Toluca earned a 3–2 home win over Monterrey in the second leg of their semi-final and also progressed to the final via the away goals rule (3-3 on aggregate). Los Diablos Rojos were 53% in the possession stakes and had five shots on goal, while Federico Pereira, Paulinho and Helinho were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Tigres who were victorious when they last faced Toluca. At Estadio Nemesio Diez, a 4-3 away victory was recorded. We’ve seen the past 10 H2H games involve five Toluca wins. There have also been two draws and three Tigres victories.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Toluca	3	2	1	0	4	1	3	4:1	7
11	Tigres	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	2:2	4

View Full Table

Tigres UANL have 5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts. The Monterrey outfit have averaged 53.7% possession and 4.5 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.2 goals from 3.9 shots on goal, 8.3 attempts and 4.0 corners.

Top scorer Juan Brunetta has found the net 8 times, Angel Correa 5, with Marco Farfan and Diego Lainez both scoring 2. The leading assistors have been Juan Brunetta and Angel Correa with 3.

Deportivo Toluca have 5 victories, 1 defeat and 4 draws, with an average of 1.7 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts. Antonio Mohamed's team have averaged 50.3% possession, 5.5 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.8 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 7.3 attempts.

Paulinho has top scored with 7, while Helinho, Alexis Vega and Jesus Angulo are next on 2. Diego Barbosa, Nicolas Castro and Jesus Angulo have clocked up 2 assists each in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Tigres confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Nahuel Guzman (GK), Jesus Garza, Joaquim, Jesus Angulo, Marco Farfan, Romulo, Fernando Gorriaran, Diego Lainez, Juan Brunetta, Angel Correa, Andre-Pierre Gignac.

Toluca confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Hugo Gonzalez (GK), Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Everardo Del Villar, Santiago Simon, Jesus Gallardo, Jesus Angulo, Marcel Ruiz, Franco Romero, Nicolas Castro, Paulinho.

Tigres vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Tigres vs Toluca with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners angle, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Match Prediction

It could be beneficial to back Tigres in the first leg of this Liga MX Apertura final. There’s loads of value in the +102 that the home team get the job done and we think a victory could be on the cards.

Current team news and the latest form provide useful pieces of information when it comes to making Liga MX recommendations. It’s also vital to have access to all available stats so that we make the most informed football picks.

Key Tigres vs Toluca league stats:

• Tigres have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Tigres have won 13 of their last 20 games at home.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 49.5% likelihood of our pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

There’s an opportunity to back Tigres at bigger odds on the Asian Handicap. The betting sites will create a series of lines and you can choose the one that makes the most appeal.

Before you make your picks, explore our detailed betting guide filled with free bets, the latest promo codes and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Tigres To Win @ +102 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (03:07, 10 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Tigres 1 - 0 Toluca

We’re going for Tigres at +600 to secure a 1-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Juan Brunetta to Score +250

Juan Brunetta (Tigres) has racked up six goals in his past five Liga MX home matches. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +250 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Juan Brunetta Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-100

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Toluca Over 3.5 Corners -114

Toluca have had over 3.5 corners in eight consecutive matches, with Tigres conceding over 3.5 corners in the previous two games. There’s everything to like about the Toluca Team Corners line which looks low and we’d expect them to go over at -114.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Tigres

Total

10.30 6.40 3.90

Home

10.00 7.10 2.90

Away

9.70 4.70 5.00

Toluca

Total

9.80 5.90 3.90

Home

9.00 5.60 3.40

Away

9.90 5.30 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+102

Under 9.5

-152

Tigres Corners

Over 5.5

-111

Under 5.5

-143

Toluca Corners

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-139

Most Corners

1

-222

X

+650

2

+220

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tigres vs Toluca Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have Tigres UANL at +102 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 50% chance of winning this Liga MX clash based on the betting odds. Deportivo Toluca are regarded as the least likely winner at +245.

There are different ways to bet on Tigres including the Asian Handicap -0.5 market. This option is -100, although Toluca +0.5 is a viable alternative at -132 and you can cheer on the draw with the latter.

If you’re looking to bet on more than two goals, then Over 2.5 has the lowest price. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -159 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

There’s lots to like about our recommended football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Liga MX game. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.

Full-Time Result

1

+102

X

+235

2

+245

Half-Time Result

1

+150

X

+125

2

+265

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-385

X2

-149

Draw No Bet

1

-222

2

+143

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-100

2 Hcp +0.5

-132

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-106

Over 2.5

-127

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-159

No

+110

The First Goalscorer favourite is Ángel Correa at +390. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Ángel Correa (Tigres)

First

+150

Anytime

+390

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

+160

Anytime

+410

Andre-Pierre Gignac (Tigres)

First

+205

Anytime

+510

Juan Brunetta (Tigres)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Ozziel Herrera (Tigres)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Juan Pablo Vigón (Tigres)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Robert Morales (Toluca)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Diego Sanchez (Tigres)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Diego Lainez (Tigres)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Marcelo Flores (Tigres)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Jesus Garza (Tigres)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Fernando Gorriarán (Tigres)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Andre-Pierre Gignac (Tigres)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

+125

Juan Brunetta (Tigres)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-100

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-200

Ángel Correa (Tigres)

Over 1.5

+117

Under 1.5

-204

Ozziel Herrera (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-263

Robert Morales (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-250

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Diego Sanchez (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-303

Marcelo Flores (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-313

Diego Lainez (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-333

Juan Pablo Vigón (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-370

Jesus Garza (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-400

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-455

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-455

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-476

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-455

Fernando Gorriarán (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-500

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-769

Tigres are unbeaten in the last eight games at El Volcán. Guido Pizarro's side have secured six wins, three draws and one defeat in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.70 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

Toluca have collected six wins, two draws and two defeats in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

When Tigres last played Toluca at El Volcán, they drew 1-1. Tigres have six wins from the previous 9 H2H matches at El Volcán, with two draws and one Toluca triumph also happening.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Tigres Home Stats		6-3-1	2.70	2.00	0.70	3	7	4	6
Toluca Away Stats		5-2-3	2.00	1.30	0.70	4	6	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Tigres vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Tigres vs Toluca team news. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Tigres Team Page Toluca Team Page

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