Tigres vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Jan 2026

Liga MX Betting Preview: Tigres vs Toluca

Tigres host Toluca at El Volcán, with kick-off set for 20:00 on Saturday 17 January.

Tigres and Toluca might play out a low-scoring contest, with Under 2.5 looking like the best pick. We can head to the Total Goals market and secure odds of -106 for this selection.

Tigres UANL lost when last in action. In a home game at El Volcán, they were turned over 1-0 by Pumas UNAM. The Monterrey club dominated possession with 68% of the ball and had seven shots on target.

Deportivo Toluca claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 3-1 triumph against Santos Laguna at Estadio Nemesio Diez made it three straight wins. Antonio Mohamed's team enjoyed an impressive 73% of possession and managed nine shots on goal, while Oscar Ortega (own goal), Marcel Ruiz and Helinho found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a penalty shootout home win (2-1 AET) for Toluca at Estadio Nemesio Diez when they last played Tigres. The previous 10 H2H matches have included five wins for Toluca, three victories for Tigres along with two draws.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Toluca	9	6	3	0	14	4	10	14:4	21
6	Tigres	8	4	1	3	15	9	6	15:9	13

View Full Table

Tigres UANL have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts. Guido Pizarro's side have averaged 52.7% possession and 6.4 corners per match, conceding 2.0 goals and 3.9 corners from 4.2 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts.

Angel Correa leads the way with 4 goals, Juan Brunetta has 3, with Marcelo Flores and Marco Farfan scoring 2. Leading assistor is Andre-Pierre Gignac with 3.

Deportivo Toluca have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, with an average of 11.0 attempts, 5.3 shots on goal and 2.2 goals. Los Diablos Rojos average 50.1% possession, 5.9 corners in their favour and 3.9 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 2.6 shots on goal and 6.3 attempts.

Helinho is the leading scorer with 5 goals, followed by Paulinho on 4, with Marcel Ruiz and two others bagging 1. Helinho, Nicolas Castro and Diego Barbosa have clocked up 2 assists each in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Tigres confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Nahuel Guzman (GK), Jesus Garza, Joaquim, Juan Jose Purata, Osvaldo Rodriguez, Fernando Gorriaran, Romulo, Diego Lainez, Juan Brunetta, Angel Correa, Nicolas Ibanez.

Toluca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Hugo Gonzalez (GK), Diego Barbosa, Federico Pereira, Everardo Lopez, Jesus Gallardo, Franco Romero, Marcel Ruiz, Santiago Simon, Jesus Angulo, Pavel Perez, Paulinho.

Tigres vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

From our main match prediction to correct score advice, a corners pick, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Tigres vs Toluca betting preview covers it all.

Match Prediction

We can’t resist the opportunity to back Under 2.5 for this Liga MX encounter. This wager gives us the opportunity to land odds of -106 and we feel confident of securing a return.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Liga MX team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Tigres vs Toluca league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Tigres games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Tigres games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Tigres games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Toluca games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Toluca games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Toluca games on the road.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 51.5% chance of landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

There’s the chance to back Under 2.5 Goals and BTTS No if you want to get more bang for your buck, with bettors able to take this selection through the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market.

Find top value before betting. Our guide includes the latest free bets and sign-up bonuses from trusted sites.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 16, 02:08). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Tigres 1 - 1 Toluca

Let’s go for the game to end in a 1-1 scoreline, a wager which is available at +475. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alexis Vega Over 0.5 Shots On Target -152

Alexis Vega (Toluca) can be wagered to have at least one shot on goal at -152. He stands out as a value pick when it comes to Shots on Target, with the recommendation being to wager this player prop pick.

Latest Alexis Vega Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-122

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Juan Brunetta to Score +280

Juan Brunetta (Tigres) has managed seven goals in his past ten Liga MX matches on home soil. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +280 which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Juan Brunetta Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-120

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Tigres To Have Most Corners -161

Tigres have won the Corner Match Bet in five straight home games. Tigres are capable of having the most corners and -161 looks attractive.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Tigres

Total

10.30 6.40 3.90

Home

10.00 7.10 2.90

Away

9.70 4.70 5.00

Toluca

Total

9.80 5.90 3.90

Home

9.00 5.60 3.40

Away

9.90 5.30 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-118

Under 9.5

-127

Tigres Corners

Over 5.5

-105

Under 5.5

-149

Toluca Corners

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-172

X

+650

2

+175

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tigres vs Toluca Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favourites are 48% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Tigres UANL being priced at +107 to come away with a victory in this Liga MX encounter. Deportivo Toluca are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +235.

For those wanting some insurance backing Tigres, taking the -0.25 Asian Handicap option means a half stake return if it’s a draw. There’s -125 that they manage to beat Toluca on this market.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -161.

The best football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Liga MX games. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+107

X

+245

2

+235

Half-Time Result

1

+155

X

+130

2

+255

Double Chance

1X

-370

12

-400

X2

-156

Draw No Bet

1

-204

2

+133

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-125

2 Hcp +0.25

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-104

Over 2.5

-130

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-161

No

+112

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +400 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +150.

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

+150

Anytime

+400

Ángel Correa (Tigres)

First

+155

Anytime

+400

Andre-Pierre Gignac (Tigres)

First

+200

Anytime

+525

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Juan Brunetta (Tigres)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro "Helinho" (Toluca)

First

+340

Anytime

+900

Ozziel Herrera (Tigres)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Marcelo Flores (Tigres)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Juan Pablo Vigón (Tigres)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Diego Lainez (Tigres)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Diego Sanchez (Tigres)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Jesus Garza (Tigres)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Fernando Gorriarán (Tigres)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Andre-Pierre Gignac (Tigres)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+112

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-122

Juan Brunetta (Tigres)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-120

Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro "Helinho" (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-200

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-213

Ángel Correa (Tigres)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-244

Ozziel Herrera (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-278

Diego Sanchez (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Marcelo Flores (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Juan Pablo Vigón (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-345

Diego Lainez (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-370

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-370

Jesus Garza (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-455

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-526

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Fernando Gorriarán (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-556

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Tigres have managed six victories, three draws and one loss in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 0.70.

Toluca have five wins, three losses and two draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

Tigres enjoyed a 1-0 winning scoreline when last meeting Toluca at El Volcán. Tigres have secured seven wins, Toluca boast a win and there have been two draws in the past 10 H2H meetings at El Volcán.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Tigres Home Stats		6-3-1	2.70	2.00	0.70	3	7	4	6
Toluca Away Stats		5-2-3	2.00	1.30	0.70	4	6	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Tigres vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

The Tigres vs Toluca team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Liga MX together with updated injury news.

Tigres Team Page Toluca Team Page

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