Tigres vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Jan 2026

Liga MX Betting Preview: Tigres vs Toluca

Tigres host Toluca at El Volcán, with kick-off set for 20:00 on Saturday 17 January.

Tigres and Toluca might play out a low-scoring contest, with Under 2.5 looking like the best pick. We can head to the Total Goals market and secure odds of -106 for this selection.

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Tigres UANL lost when last in action. In a home game at El Volcán, they were turned over 1-0 by Pumas UNAM. The Monterrey club dominated possession with 68% of the ball and had seven shots on target.

Deportivo Toluca claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 3-1 triumph against Santos Laguna at Estadio Nemesio Diez made it three straight wins. Antonio Mohamed's team enjoyed an impressive 73% of possession and managed nine shots on goal, while Oscar Ortega (own goal), Marcel Ruiz and Helinho found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a penalty shootout home win (2-1 AET) for Toluca at Estadio Nemesio Diez when they last played Tigres. The previous 10 H2H matches have included five wins for Toluca, three victories for Tigres along with two draws.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Toluca	2	2	0	0	4	1	3	4:1	6
11	Tigres	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	2:2	3

View Full Table

Tigres UANL have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts. Guido Pizarro's side have averaged 52.7% possession and 6.4 corners per match, conceding 2.0 goals and 3.9 corners from 4.2 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts.

Angel Correa leads the way with 4 goals, Juan Brunetta has 3, with Marcelo Flores and Marco Farfan scoring 2. Leading assistor is Andre-Pierre Gignac with 3.

Deportivo Toluca have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, with an average of 11.0 attempts, 5.3 shots on goal and 2.2 goals. Los Diablos Rojos average 50.1% possession, 5.9 corners in their favour and 3.9 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 2.6 shots on goal and 6.3 attempts.

Helinho is the leading scorer with 5 goals, followed by Paulinho on 4, with Marcel Ruiz and two others bagging 1. Helinho, Nicolas Castro and Diego Barbosa have clocked up 2 assists each in the previous 10 games.

Tigres vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

From our main match prediction to correct score advice, a corners pick, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Tigres vs Toluca betting preview covers it all.

Match Prediction

We can’t resist the opportunity to back Under 2.5 for this Liga MX encounter. This wager gives us the opportunity to land odds of -106 and we feel confident of securing a return.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Liga MX team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Tigres vs Toluca league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Tigres games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Tigres games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Tigres games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Toluca games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Toluca games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Toluca games on the road.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 51.5% chance of landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

There’s the chance to back Under 2.5 Goals and BTTS No if you want to get more bang for your buck, with bettors able to take this selection through the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market.

Find top value before betting. Our guide includes the latest free bets and sign-up bonuses from trusted sites.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -106 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Tigres 1 - 1 Toluca

Let’s go for the game to end in a 1-1 scoreline, a wager which is available at +450. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Juan Brunetta to Score +280

Juan Brunetta (Tigres) has registered seven goals in his past ten Liga MX home matches. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +280.

Latest Juan Brunetta Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-130

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Corners Prediction

Tigres To Have Most Corners -161

Tigres have won the Corner Match Bet in five straight home games. Tigres are capable of having the most corners and -161 looks attractive.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Tigres

Total

10.30 6.40 3.90

Home

10.00 7.10 2.90

Away

9.70 4.70 5.00

Toluca

Total

9.80 5.90 3.90

Home

9.00 5.60 3.40

Away

9.90 5.30 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-108

Under 9.5

-139

Tigres Corners

Over 5.5

+106

Under 5.5

-167

Toluca Corners

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-161

X

+650

2

+165

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Tigres vs Toluca Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The favourites are 44% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Tigres UANL being priced at +125 to come away with a victory in this Liga MX encounter. Deportivo Toluca are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +200.

For those wanting some insurance backing Tigres, taking the -0.25 Asian Handicap option means a half stake return if it’s a draw. There’s -105 that they manage to beat Toluca on this market.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -161.

The best football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Liga MX games. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+125

X

+235

2

+200

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

+125

2

+230

Double Chance

1X

-313

12

-385

X2

-185

Draw No Bet

1

-164

2

+112

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-105

2 Hcp +0.25

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-106

Over 2.5

-127

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-161

No

+112

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +380 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +145.

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

+145

Anytime

+380

Ángel Correa (Tigres)

First

+170

Anytime

+420

Andre-Pierre Gignac (Tigres)

First

+210

Anytime

+550

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Juan Brunetta (Tigres)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Ozziel Herrera (Tigres)

First

+440

Anytime

+1100

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Juan Pablo Vigón (Tigres)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Diego Sanchez (Tigres)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Marcelo Flores (Tigres)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Diego Lainez (Tigres)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Jesus Garza (Tigres)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Fernando Gorriarán (Tigres)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Andre-Pierre Gignac (Tigres)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+105

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-115

Juan Brunetta (Tigres)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-130

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-192

Ángel Correa (Tigres)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-250

Ozziel Herrera (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-278

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-286

Marcelo Flores (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-385

Diego Sanchez (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Juan Pablo Vigón (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-370

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-370

Diego Lainez (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-385

Jesus Garza (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-476

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-500

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-476

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

Fernando Gorriarán (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-769

Tigres have managed six victories, three draws and one loss in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 0.70.

Toluca have five wins, three losses and two draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

Tigres enjoyed a 1-0 winning scoreline when last meeting Toluca at El Volcán. Tigres have secured seven wins, Toluca boast a win and there have been two draws in the past 10 H2H meetings at El Volcán.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Tigres Home Stats		6-3-1	2.70	2.00	0.70	3	7	4	6
Toluca Away Stats		5-2-3	2.00	1.30	0.70	4	6	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Tigres vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

The Tigres vs Toluca team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Liga MX together with updated injury news.

Tigres Team Page Toluca Team Page

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