Tijuana vs Cruz Azul Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Sep 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: Tijuana vs Cruz Azul

Tijuana host Cruz Azul in this Liga MX fixture at Estadio Caliente, with kick-off set for 23:05 on Sunday 28 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Xolos Look Value for This Clash

We’ll split our stake by backing Tijuana +0.25 at odds of -108 for this Asian Handicap wager. It means we have a return if they draw but a nice payout should the home team claim a victory against Cruz Azul.

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Teams’ Previous H2H Saw 3-2 Cruz Azul Victory

Club Tijuana have secured back-to-back Liga MX home wins. Their last league game was on the road and a 1-0 defeat occurred against Santos Laguna at Estadio Nuevo Corona. Tijuana enjoyed 54% possession and had one shot on target.

Cruz Azul drew 2-2 in their previous game. This was at home against Querétaro at Estadio Azteca. The Mexico City side had an impressive 73% of possession and managed four shots on goal, with Jose Paradela and Gabriel Fernandez finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Cruz Azul have landed wins in their last two clashes against Tijuana. Away at Estadio Caliente, the most recent scoreline was 3-2 which came after a 3-0 home win at Estadio de la Ciudad de los Deportes. The past 10 H2H meetings have included six victories for Cruz Azul, three wins for Tijuana and a single draw.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Cruz Azul	10	7	3	0	21	12	9	21:12	24
7	Tijuana	10	4	4	2	19	11	8	19:11	16

View Full Table

4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts. Xolos have had 47.1% possession and 3.4 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 5.6 corners.

Frank Boya leads the way with 5 goals, Gilberto Mora has 3, with Jackson Porozo and Kevin Castaneda scoring 2. Leading assistor is Ramiro Arciga with 3.

Cruz Azul have won 7 and drawn 3, with an average of 2.1 goals from 13.2 attempts and 6.3 shots on goal. La Máquina Celeste average 60.2% possession, 7.8 corners awarded and 3.6 corners against them, while conceding 1.2 goals from 6.7 attempts and 2.7 shots on goal.

Angel Sepulveda has recorded 5 goals, Gabriel Fernandez 4, with Jose Paradela and Carlos Rodriguez both managing 3. Jose Paradela has been the top assist maker with 4 in the last 10 games.

Tijuana vs Cruz Azul Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Tijuana vs Cruz Azul betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation, corners betting angle and best bet builder insights.

Match Prediction

Tijuana look capable of winning this Liga MX encounter and we’ll take them on the Asian Handicap. Back them at -108 with a +0.25 goal start, with confidence high that they can perform well.

Team news can have a significant impact on the betting odds, and we factor this in alongside recent form and the latest Liga MX stats when making our football predictions.

Key Tijuana vs Cruz Azul league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tijuana in 6 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tijuana in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tijuana in 14 of their last 20 games at home.

Xolos +0.25 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of winning. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

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Our Match Prediction

Tijuana Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -108 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Tijuana 2 - 1 Cruz Azul

We’re going for Tijuana at +850 to secure a 2-1 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gabriel Matías Fernández Over 0.5 Shots On Target -139

Gabriel Matías Fernández (Cruz Azul) can be wagered to have at least one shot on goal at -139. Shots on Target bettors should definitely consider him at the available odds and we’ll have a play.

Latest Gabriel Matías Fernández Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-125

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José Paradela to Score +200

José Paradela (Cruz Azul) has found the net in his past two Liga MX games. We’re content to land the +200 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest José Paradela Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-111

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Corners Prediction

Cruz Azul Under 5.5 Corners -138

Cruz Azul have not covered the 5.5 corners line in three consecutive away games, with Tijuana conceding under 5.5 corners in their past four matches. When it comes to Team Corners, we’re expecting Cruz Azul to fall short and you can get odds of -138.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Tijuana

Total

9.00 3.40 5.60

Home

10.60 5.00 5.60

Away

8.90 2.90 6.00

Cruz Azul

Total

11.40 7.80 3.60

Home

10.70 7.50 3.20

Away

8.50 3.40 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

-108

Tijuana Corners

Over 3.5

-163

Under 3.5

+120

Cruz Azul Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Most Corners

1

+138

X

+600

2

-130

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Tijuana vs Cruz Azul Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Cruz Azul Have the Shortest Odds to Win

With a 48% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Cruz Azul are favourites to prosper in this Liga MX encounter and they’re available at +110 with the bookies. The +205 means that Club Tijuana are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

You can back Cruz Azul at -172 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Tijuana are +125 and this could be an attractive option for those who want some insurance.

If you’re anticipating a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -189.

You’ll love the hundreds of markets if you want to bet on the Liga MX coupon and we advise heading to the top sports betting sites to get the football wager that you think is value.

Full-Time Result

1

+205

X

+270

2

+110

Half-Time Result

1

+240

X

+138

2

+155

Double Chance

1X

-161

12

-455

X2

-333

Draw No Bet

1

+125

2

-172

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-108

2 Hcp -0.25

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+120

Over 2.5

-164

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-189

No

+130

Ángel Sepúlveda Top of First Goalscorer List

Favourite Ángel Sepúlveda is +400 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Ángel Sepúlveda (Cruz Azul)

First

+140

Anytime

+400

José Paradela (Cruz Azul)

First

+200

Anytime

+575

Jose Ignacio Rivero (Cruz Azul)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Gabriel Matías Fernández (Cruz Azul)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Shamar Nicholson (Tijuana)

First

+240

Anytime

+700

Vitor Samuel Arantes "Vitinho" (Tijuana)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Kevin Castañeda (Tijuana)

First

+300

Anytime

+900

Luka Romero (Cruz Azul)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Ezequiel Bullaude (Tijuana)

First

+370

Anytime

+1100

Domingo Blanco (Tijuana)

First

+380

Anytime

+1100

Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi (Cruz Azul)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Ivan Tona (Tijuana)

First

+420

Anytime

+1100

Angel Marquez (Cruz Azul)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Joe Corona (Tijuana)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Carlos Rodriguez (Cruz Azul)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Lorenzo Faravelli (Cruz Azul)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Amaury García Moreno (Cruz Azul)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Gonzalo Piovi (Cruz Azul)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Cristian Jiménez (Cruz Azul)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Francisco Contreras (Tijuana)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Ángel Sepúlveda (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+145

Jose Ignacio Rivero (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-100

José Paradela (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-111

Gabriel Matías Fernández (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-125

Shamar Nicholson (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-130

Vitor Samuel Arantes "Vitinho" (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-149

Kevin Castañeda (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-182

Ezequiel Bullaude (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-227

Domingo Blanco (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-233

Ivan Tona (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-270

Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Joe Corona (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-417

Angel Marquez (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-435

Carlos Rodriguez (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-455

Lorenzo Faravelli (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-526

Amaury García Moreno (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+275

Under 0.5

-556

Gonzalo Piovi (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-625

Cristian Jiménez (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-714

Tijuana Bidding to Continue Unbeaten Home Run

Tijuana have swerved defeat at Estadio Caliente in the previous six matches. Tijuana have five wins, three losses and two draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 2.40 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

Cruz Azul have secured three straight victories on their travels. Nicolas Larcamon's men have secured five wins, four draws and one defeat in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

The most recent Estadio Caliente meeting saw Cruz Azul claim a 3-2 win over Tijuana. The past 7 H2H matches at Estadio Caliente have involved three wins apiece along with a draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Tijuana Home Stats		5-2-3	3.90	2.40	1.50	8	2	7	3
Cruz Azul Away Stats		5-4-1	2.80	1.60	1.20	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Tijuana vs Cruz Azul Lineups & Team News

Check the Xolos vs Cruz Azul team news before you place your bets. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Liga MX and the newest injury information.

Tijuana Team Page Cruz Azul Team Page