Tijuana vs Monterrey Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: Tijuana vs Monterrey

Tijuana host Monterrey in this Liga MX fixture at Estadio Caliente, with kick-off set for 23:05 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Tijuana +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at -133. They should be able to avoid defeat against Monterrey, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5, meaning a victory is the desired outcome.

Confident in our Asian Handicap pick? Unlock the best BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the site before jumping in.

Club Tijuana won their last league game 2-0, making it three Liga MX home victories on the spin. This was recorded at Estadio Caliente against Cruz Azul. Sebastian Abreu's men boasted 62% possession and recorded five shots on target, with Domingo Blanco and Mourad Daoudi scoring one goal each.

Monterrey secured a 1-0 home win over Santos Laguna at Estadio BBVA in their previous game. Monterrey racked up four shots on goal and boasted 67% possession, with Lucas Ocampos finding the net in the 36th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Tijuana boast an unbeaten record in the past three games with Monterrey. In the last encounter, away team Tijuana landed a 2-1 win at Estadio BBVA. The past 10 H2H games have featured five draws, four wins for Monterrey and just one for Tijuana.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Monterrey	17	9	4	4	33	29	4	33:29	31
7	Tijuana	17	6	6	5	29	23	6	29:23	24

View Full Table

4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts. Xolos have had 47.3% possession and 2.9 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.1 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts, while being awarded 5.5 corners.

Frank Boya leads the way with 5 goals, Gilberto Mora has 3, with Jackson Porozo and Kevin Castaneda scoring 2. The leading assistors have been Kevin Castaneda and Ramiro Arciga with 3.

Rayados have 8 victories, 1 defeat and 1 draw, with an average of 2.3 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts. There’s been an average of 58.2% possession, 4.5 corners taken and 5.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 6.6 attempts.

German Berterame and Sergio Canales have scored 6, followed by Lucas Ocampos with 5. Lucas Ocampos has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 4.

Confirmed Lineups

Tijuana confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Antonio Rodriguez (GK), Rafael Fernandez, Jackson Porozo, Jesus Gomez, Jesus Vega, Ramiro Arciga, Ivan Tona, Frank Boya, Adonis Preciado, Mourad Daoudi, Kevin Castaneda.

Monterrey confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Santiago Mele (GK), Ricardo Chavez, Victor Guzman, Hector Moreno, Gerardo Arteaga, John Medina, Fidel Ambriz, Jorge Rodriguez, Oliver Torres, Lucas Ocampos, German Berterame.

Tijuana vs Monterrey Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Tijuana vs Monterrey preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to corners advice, player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

When Tijuana line up for this Liga MX game, we will back them at -133 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. We think the hosts are more than capable of avoiding defeat and might be able to land a win.

We’re always monitoring the Liga MX team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.

Key Tijuana vs Monterrey league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tijuana in 7 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tijuana in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tijuana in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Monterrey in 12 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tijuana in 3 consecutive games against Monterrey.

According to the latest odds, there’s a 57.1% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There are larger odds available for bettors who want to move the line. If you have a strong view on a team performing well, then you can get more juice from your bet.

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Our Match Prediction

Tijuana Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -133 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Tijuana 2 - 1 Monterrey

Our correct score prediction is a 2-1 win for Tijuana which is available at odds of +800. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kevin Castañeda Over 0.5 Shots On Target -114

Kevin Castañeda (Tijuana) is available to finish with one or more shots on goal at -114. It’s difficult to pass up such an appealing price for this Shots on Target pick and we’ll have a play.

Latest Kevin Castañeda Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-137

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Lucas Ocampos to Score +280

Lucas Ocampos (Monterrey) has netted five goals in his past nine Liga MX games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +280 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Lucas Ocampos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-114

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -114

We’ve not seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered in three consecutive Tijuana home games. It stands to reason that the line won’t be reached and you can secure odds of -114 for this Total Corners bet.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Tijuana

Total

8.40 2.90 5.50

Home

10.00 4.60 5.40

Away

8.90 2.90 6.00

Monterrey

Total

9.50 4.50 5.00

Home

8.40 3.80 4.60

Away

9.20 4.80 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-127

Under 9.5

-116

Tijuana Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Monterrey Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Most Corners

1

+108

X

+600

2

-102

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Tijuana vs Monterrey Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Monterrey are currently available at +132 with the bookmakers to defeat Club Tijuana, with the latter priced at odds of +165. If you’re siding with the draw in this Liga MX clash, then it can be backed at +275.

Monterrey can be backed alternatively on the Draw No Bet market and that means getting -133. However, if you want insurance on the underdogs instead, Tijuana are -102.

For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -204.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to Liga MX games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+165

X

+275

2

+132

Half-Time Result

1

+210

X

+138

2

+170

Double Chance

1X

-192

12

-455

X2

-250

Draw No Bet

1

-102

2

-133

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-132

2 Hcp -0.25

+106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+132

Over 2.5

-182

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-204

No

+140

You will find Germán Berterame at +400 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get +140 that he finds the net at anytime.

Germán Berterame (Monterrey)

First

+140

Anytime

+400

Sergio Canales (Monterrey)

First

+200

Anytime

+600

Shamar Nicholson (Tijuana)

First

+220

Anytime

+650

Lucas Ocampos (Monterrey)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Vitor Samuel Arantes "Vitinho" (Tijuana)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Roberto De La Rosa (Monterrey)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Kevin Castañeda (Tijuana)

First

+270

Anytime

+800

Ezequiel Bullaude (Tijuana)

First

+340

Anytime

+1050

Domingo Blanco (Tijuana)

First

+360

Anytime

+1050

Sergio Ramos (Monterrey)

First

+370

Anytime

+1050

Jesús Corona (Monterrey)

First

+370

Anytime

+1100

Ivan Tona (Tijuana)

First

+380

Anytime

+1050

Joe Corona (Tijuana)

First

+525

Anytime

+1600

Érick Aguirre (Monterrey)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Fidel Ambriz (Monterrey)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Oliver Torres (Monterrey)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Shamar Nicholson (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-112

Lucas Ocampos (Monterrey)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-114

Vitor Samuel Arantes "Vitinho" (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-130

Kevin Castañeda (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-137

Roberto De La Rosa (Monterrey)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-147

Ezequiel Bullaude (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-200

Domingo Blanco (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-217

Jesús Corona (Monterrey)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-222

Germán Berterame (Monterrey)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-250

Sergio Ramos (Monterrey)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-233

Ivan Tona (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-238

Joe Corona (Tijuana)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-385

Érick Aguirre (Monterrey)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-400

Fidel Ambriz (Monterrey)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-526

Oliver Torres (Monterrey)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Tijuana haven’t been beaten in seven straight games at Estadio Caliente. Sebastian Abreu's men have secured six wins, two draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.50 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Monterrey have racked up six wins and four losses in the past 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

When Tijuana last played Monterrey at Estadio Caliente, they drew 2-2. The past 7 H2H meetings at Estadio Caliente have witnessed three draws along with two wins each.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Tijuana Home Stats		6-2-2	3.80	2.50	1.30	7	3	6	4
Monterrey Away Stats		6-0-4	3.50	1.80	1.70	7	3	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Tijuana vs Monterrey Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Xolos vs Rayados team news before wagering. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Liga MX and all current injury news.

Tijuana Team Page Monterrey Team Page

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