Toluca vs América Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Nov 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: Toluca vs América

Toluca go head-to-head with América at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with kick-off set for 20:00 on Saturday 8 November. Our betting preview features expert Liga MX predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Take Toluca to Land Victory

Toluca can’t be ignored when they meet América, especially as betting odds of +105 are available for this prediction. Head to the Full-Time Result market to back this value selection.

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Toluca Beat América When Teams Last Met

Deportivo Toluca drew on the road in their last game. A 0-0 scoreline was played out against Atlas at Estadio Jalisco. Los Diablos Rojos had 50% possession and seven shots on target.

Club América claimed a home win in their previous game. A 2-0 victory occurred against Club León at Estadio de la Ciudad de los Deportes. Andre Jardine's team recorded eight shots on goal and had 46% possession, while Allan Saint-Maximin and Rodrigo Aguirre found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toluca have landed victories in their last two encounters against América. A 3-1 win on their travels at Dignity Health Sports Park came after a 2-0 home success at Estadio Nemesio Diez. América have landed four victories, Toluca have three wins and there’s been three draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Toluca	16	10	4	2	41	18	23	41:18	34
3	América	16	10	4	2	33	16	17	33:16	34

View Full Table

Deportivo Toluca have 7 wins and 3 draws, averaging 2.8 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts. Antonio Mohamed's men have averaged 53.6% possession and 5.4 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.9 goals from 3.0 shots on goal, 8.4 attempts and 4.0 corners.

Paulinho is the top goalscorer with 9, Alexis Vega has 4, with Jesus Gallardo and two other players on 3. Leading assistor is Alexis Vega with 6.

Club América have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 2.0 goals from 12.6 attempts and 6.2 shots on goal. Las Águilas average 54.9% possession, 8.2 corners in their favour and 2.4 corners against, while conceding 1.0 goals from 4.6 attempts and 2.6 shots on goal.

The leading scorers have been Brian Rodriguez and Alex Zendejas with 4, while Rodrigo Aguirre has 3. Look no further than Alex Zendejas for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Toluca predicted lineup (5-3-2): Luis García (GK), Santiago Simón, Bruno Méndez, Federico Pereira, Everardo del Villar, Jesús Gallardo, Franco Romero, Marcel Ruíz, Nicolas Castro, Jesús Angulo, Paulinho.

América predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis Malagón (GK), Kevin Alvarez, Sebastián Cáceres, Cristian Borja, Israel Reyes Romero, Igor Lichnovsky, Álvaro Fidalgo, Brian Rodríguez, Erick Sánchez, Allan Saint-Maximin, Rodrigo Aguirre.

Toluca vs América Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ahead of the game with our Toluca vs América betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, corners betting edge, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Match Prediction

We believe there’s a strong case for siding with Toluca. That’s because we think they could prove too strong in this Liga MX encounter and odds of +105 are highly attractive.

Our job is to consult the latest Liga MX team news in order to produce the best football predictions. Then we crack on with the job of analysing the stats that are going to be the most effective.

Key Toluca vs América league stats:

• Toluca have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Toluca have won 7 of their last 10 games.
• Toluca have won the last 2 games between these teams.

Toluca to Win Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 48.8% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you think the odds for Toluca to triumph are a touch too skinny, then why not boost your price by combining this pick with both teams to find the net on the Result & BTTS market.

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Our Match Prediction

Toluca To Win @ +105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 2 - 1 América

We’re taking a chance on Toluca to achieve a 2-1 winning scoreline. Odds of +700 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rodrigo Aguirre Over 0.5 Shots On Target -152

Rodrigo Aguirre (América) can be wagered to have a minimum of one shot on goal at -152. He looks like an attractive wager on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop bet selection.

Latest Rodrigo Aguirre Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-116

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Jesús Gallardo to Score +550

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca) has racked up two goals in his past four Liga MX home matches. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +550 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Jesús Gallardo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+550

First

+1700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-417

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -115

All of the past four Toluca home matches have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line not covered, with the same thing happening in the previous three  América away games. We’re expecting the teams to fall short of the line, with this Total Corners wager available at -115.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

9.40 5.40 4.00

Home

7.90 5.00 2.90

Away

9.90 4.90 5.00

América

Total

10.60 8.20 2.40

Home

10.30 7.50 2.80

Away

8.20 4.70 3.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-128

Under 9.5

-115

Toluca Corners

Over 4.5

-138

Under 4.5

-100

América Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

Most Corners

1

-143

X

+600

2

+150

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Toluca vs América Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Giving Toluca Plenty of Respect

The bookmakers have Deportivo Toluca as +105 favourites for this Liga MX encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 49% likely to triumph. The market implies that Club América are the most unlikely to win at +200.

If Toluca and América play out a draw, then an Asian Handicap -0.25 on the former means a half stake refund. However, a victory for the favourites would mean a full payout at -120.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -192 for the BTTS Yes option.

The best football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Liga MX games. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+105

X

+285

2

+200

Half-Time Result

1

+150

X

+143

2

+230

Double Chance

1X

-313

12

-476

X2

-154

Draw No Bet

1

-189

2

+123

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-120

2 Hcp +0.25

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+130

Over 2.5

-179

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-192

No

+135

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" Favourite to Find the Net First

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" is the market leader at +350 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

+115

Anytime

+350

Rodrigo Aguirre (América)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Patricio Salas (América)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Paul Brian Rodríguez (América)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Robert Morales (Toluca)

First

+350

Anytime

+1000

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+360

Anytime

+1050

Álex Zendejas (América)

First

+380

Anytime

+1100

Javairô Dilrosun (América)

First

+400

Anytime

+1150

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+420

Anytime

+1200

Allan Saint-Maximin (América)

First

+460

Anytime

+1300

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

First

+510

Anytime

+1400

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+525

Anytime

+1600

Erick Sanchez (América)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1700

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1700

Aarón Arredondo (América)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Jonathan dos Santos (América)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Rodrigo Aguirre (América)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-116

Patricio Salas (América)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-161

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-175

Paul Brian Rodríguez (América)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-185

Robert Morales (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-200

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-208

Álex Zendejas (América)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-213

Javairô Dilrosun (América)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-270

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-294

Allan Saint-Maximin (América)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-385

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-435

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-417

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-385

Erick Sanchez (América)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-370

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-417

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-625

Aarón Arredondo (América)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-556

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-909

Jonathan dos Santos (América)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-769

Toluca Unbeaten at Home in Past Six Games

Toluca have not tasted defeat at Estadio Nemesio Diez in six straight matches. Los Diablos Rojos have recorded seven victories, two draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 3.00 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

América have collected four draws, three wins and three defeats in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Toluca won 2-0 when they last played América at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The previous 10 H2H games at Estadio Nemesio Diez have ended in six Toluca victories, two draws and two América wins.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Toluca Home Stats		7-2-1	4.20	3.00	1.20	8	2	7	3
América Away Stats		3-4-3	2.90	1.50	1.40	5	5	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Toluca vs América Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Toluca vs América team news before betting. Get the predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Toluca Team Page América Team Page