Toluca vs Cruz Azul Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Apr 2025

Toluca Worthy Favourites

Toluca look like the real deal against Cruz Azul and we’re happy to take the -108 about them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. We get half our money back if the game ends level.

Teams Drew 1-1 in Last H2H Encounter

Deportivo Toluca have triumphed in their last six games. The latest of these was on the road where Atlético San Luis were beaten 1-0 at Estadio Alfonso Lastras. Los Diablos Rojos enjoyed 49% possession and had five shots on target, with Jesus Gallardo netting the winner in the 16th minute.

Cruz Azul claimed a 2-1 home win over Club León at Estadio Azteca in their previous game. Vicente Sanchez's side had the lion’s share of the ball recording 62% possession and eight shots on goal, while Luka Romero and Gabriel Fernandez were both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Estadio Azteca played host to the most recent head-to-head when home side Cruz Azul drew 1-1 with Toluca. In the previous 10 H2H matches, we have seen five Cruz Azul victories, four Toluca wins and one draw.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Toluca	3	2	0	1	10	7	3	10:7	6
5	Cruz Azul	3	1	2	0	7	4	3	7:4	5

View Full Table

9 wins and 1 loss, averaging 2.8 goals from 7.5 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts. Deportivo Toluca have had 57.7% possession and 5.4 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.1 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts, while being awarded 4.5 corners.

Paulinho is the top scorer with 10 goals, while Alexis Vega has 7 and Jesus Angulo 3. Alexis Vega and Jesus Gallardo are the leading assists makers with 4.

Cruz Azul have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.4 goals from 11.7 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal. La Máquina Celeste average 54.8% possession, 5.4 corners awarded and 5.9 corners against them, while conceding 0.7 goals from 7.0 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.

Ignacio Rivero has recorded 4 goals, Angel Sepulveda 3, with Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi and Andres Montano both managing 2. Mateusz Bogusz is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 3.

Confirmed Lineups

Toluca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Pau Lopez (GK), Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Everardo Del Villar, Jesus Gallardo, Hector Herrera, Marcel Ruiz, Juan Dominguez, Jesus Angulo, Alexis Vega, Paulinho.

Cruz Azul confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Kevin Mier (GK), Willer Ditta, Erik Lira, Jesus Orozco, Jorge Sanchez, Lorenzo Faravelli, Andres Montano, Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi, Luka Romero, Gabriel Fernandez, Alexis Gutierrez.

Toluca vs Cruz Azul Prediction & Betting Tips

There’s a strong case for backing Toluca in this Liga MX game and we’ll take them at -0.25 at -108. This means a good return if they win and we expect the home team to have the edge.

The football betting tips are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable stats.

Key Toluca vs Cruz Azul league stats:

• The -0.25 line has been covered by Toluca in all of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line has been covered by Toluca in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line has been covered by Toluca in 6 consecutive games.

Toluca -0.25 Probability

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 51.9% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

There are plenty of different options to Asian Handicap and that includes the Winning Margin market. Choose whether a team will achieve a close win or something bigger.

Our Match Prediction

Toluca Asian Hcp -0.25 @ -108 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 2 - 1 Cruz Azul

Let’s take a chance on the +700 available that Toluca secure a 2-1 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alexis Vega to Score +340

Alexis Vega (Toluca) has managed six goals in his past five Liga MX matches on home soil. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +340 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Alexis Vega Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+800

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Corners Prediction

Cruz Azul Under 4.5 Corners -138

The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by Cruz Azul in their past four games, with the corner count against Toluca going under 4.5 in their last four home matches. On this basis, we can take a price of -138 that this Cruz Azul Team Corners bet falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

9.90 5.40 4.50

Home

8.50 4.40 4.10

Away

9.30 5.00 4.30

Cruz Azul

Total

11.30 5.40 5.90

Home

11.10 7.30 3.80

Away

10.20 4.80 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-125

Toluca Corners

Over 4.5

-138

Under 4.5

-100

Cruz Azul Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Most Corners

1

-133

X

+550

2

+130

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Toluca vs Cruz Azul Odds

The bookies have Deportivo Toluca at +120 in the Full-Time Result market, implying the market leaders are 45% likely to win this Liga MX match according to the latest betting odds. Cruz Azul are the outsiders at +225 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting match.

To combine various Liga MX selections within the same match, you will find football betting sites offer a Bet Builder. Start adding the picks you fancy until you’re happy with the overall payout.

Full-Time Result

1

+120

X

+240

2

+225

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+137.5

2

+240

Double Chance

1X

-300

12

-333

X2

-150

Draw No Bet

1

-175

2

+125

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-114

2 Hcp +0.25

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+135

Over 2.5

-175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-200

No

+150

João Paulo "Paulinho" Fernandes is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Favourite João Paulo "Paulinho" Fernandes is available at +280 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

João Paulo "Paulinho" Fernandes (Toluca)

First

-105

Anytime

+280

Ángel Sepúlveda (Cruz Azul)

First

+143

Anytime

+390

Giorgos Giakoumakis (Cruz Azul)

First

+165

Anytime

+460

Gabriel Matías Fernández (Cruz Azul)

First

+265

Anytime

+650

Robert Morales (Toluca)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Edgar López (Toluca)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Hélio Júnio "Helinho" Nunes de Castro (Toluca)

First

+295

Anytime

+800

Jesus Angulo (Toluca)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Juan Pablo Domínguez (Toluca)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Luka Romero (Cruz Azul)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+410

Anytime

+1000

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+430

Anytime

+1150

Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi (Cruz Azul)

First

+440

Anytime

+1100

Mateusz Bogusz (Cruz Azul)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Luis Ángel Gutiérrez (Cruz Azul)

First

+480

Anytime

+1150

Andres Montano (Cruz Azul)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Jose Ignacio Rivero (Cruz Azul)

First

+510

Anytime

+1200

Lorenzo Faravelli (Cruz Azul)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Carlos Rodriguez (Cruz Azul)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Amaury García Moreno (Cruz Azul)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Gonzalo Piovi (Cruz Azul)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Alexis Gutierrez (Cruz Azul)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Frankie Amaya (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Brian Garcia (Toluca)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Toluca vs Cruz Azul Lineups & Team News

You’ve found the right place for Toluca vs Cruz Azul team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.

We’ve got details of the Liga MX squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Toluca Team Page Cruz Azul Team Page