Toluca vs Cruz Azul Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Feb 2026

Liga MX Betting Preview: Toluca vs Cruz Azul

Toluca take on Cruz Azul at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Saturday 7 February.

We believe that Toluca will get the better of Cruz Azul and the favourites are excellent value at -143. The Full-Time Result odds look really attractive and we’re confident of landing a return here.

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Deportivo Toluca faced Club Puebla away when last in action. It was a 0-0 draw at Estadio Cuahutehmoc. Antonio Mohamed's team dominated possession with 70% of the ball and recorded six shots on target.

Cruz Azul won their previous game 4-3. This away win at Estadio Benito Juarez against Juárez was their third on the bounce. La Máquina Celeste had 45% possession and six shots on goal, with Agustin Palavecino, Jose Paradela, Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi and Carlos Rodriguez finding the net.

On Thursday, Cruz Azul travelled to Vancouver FC and succeeded 3-0 in the Champions League.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Cruz Azul are unbeaten in the past four games against Toluca. Their last encounter took place at Olimpico Universitario and Cruz Azul secured a 1-0 home win. The past 10 H2H games have featured five triumphs for Cruz Azul, three for Toluca and two draws.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Cruz Azul	4	3	0	1	8	5	3	8:5	9
5	Toluca	4	2	2	0	4	1	3	4:1	8

View Full Table

5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 11.0 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal. Deportivo Toluca have had 51.6% possession and 6.2 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.5 goals from 5.7 attempts and 2.7 shots on goal, while earning 3.0 corners.

Helinho is the top goalscorer with 4, Paulinho has 3, with Marcel Ruiz and two other players on 1. Helinho and Diego Barbosa are tied for the most assists on 2.

Cruz Azul have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.8 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 53.6% possession, 5.9 corners taken and 4.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 5.7 attempts.

Gabriel Fernandez is the leading scorer with 5 goals, followed by Jose Paradela on 3, with Agustin Palavecino and two others bagging 2. Gabriel Fernandez has been top assists provider with 5 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Hugo Gonzalez (GK), Diego Barbosa, Bruno Méndez, Federico Pereira, Jesús Gallardo, Franco Romero, Marcel Ruíz, Santiago Simón, Jesús Angulo, Nicolas Castro, Paulinho.

Cruz Azul predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Andrés Gudiño (GK), Willer Ditta, Erik Lira, Gonzalo Piovi, Omar Campos, Agustín Palavecino, Ángel Jeremy Márquez, Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi, José Antonio Paradela, Carlos Rodriguez, Mateo Levy.

Toluca vs Cruz Azul Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the best Toluca vs Cruz Azul betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to a sharp corners pick, top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Toluca can’t be ignored when they play this Liga MX clash, especially as odds of -143 are available for this prediction. Head to the Full-Time Result market to back this value selection.

Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest Liga MX form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.

Key Toluca vs Cruz Azul league stats:

• Toluca have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Toluca have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• Toluca have won 3 consecutive games at home.

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 58.8% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this wager.

There’s the chance to secure bigger odds by combining Toluca to win with BTTS No if you think that they’ll not only oblige with a victory but also keep a clean sheet during the ninety minutes.

Tap into great value before you bet. Our guide rounds up today’s best free bets, promo codes and sign-up promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Toluca To Win @ -143 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (00:08, 06 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 2 - 0 Cruz Azul

We’re going for Toluca at +650 to secure a 2-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jesús Gallardo to Score +480

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca) has managed two goals in his past nine Liga MX home matches. We’ll take a chance at +480 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Jesús Gallardo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+480

First

+1300

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Cruz Azul Over 3.5 Corners -123

Cruz Azul have covered the 3.5 corners line in seven consecutive matches. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to Cruz Azul covering the Team Corners line, with odds of -123 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

9.20 6.20 3.00

Home

9.00 5.60 3.40

Away

9.70 5.60 4.10

Cruz Azul

Total

10.20 5.90 4.30

Home

9.90 6.10 3.80

Away

8.20 4.30 3.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

-102

Toluca Corners

Over 5.5

+102

Under 5.5

-161

Cruz Azul Corners

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-135

Most Corners

1

-200

X

+650

2

+200

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toluca vs Cruz Azul Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Favourites Deportivo Toluca are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Liga MX clash. The -143 about them triumphing means a 59% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. For those wanting to back Cruz Azul, you will find +340 about this outsider.

Betting Toluca -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at -111 means splitting stake between -0.5 and -1.0. Therefore, a one-goal win over Cruz Azul means a win and a push, with a 2+ goal victory meaning a full payout.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -172.

The best betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every Liga MX match before making a decision.

Full-Time Result

1

-143

X

+280

2

+340

Half-Time Result

1

+118

X

+135

2

+335

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-476

X2

-102

Draw No Bet

1

-370

2

+215

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-111

2 Hcp +0.75

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+116

Over 2.5

-159

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-172

No

+120

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" is priced at +280 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of -108 to find the net anytime.

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

-108

Anytime

+280

Gabriel Matías Fernández (Cruz Azul)

First

+170

Anytime

+475

Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro "Helinho" (Toluca)

First

+280

Anytime

+800

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+330

Anytime

+900

José Paradela (Cruz Azul)

First

+330

Anytime

+900

Pavel Perez (Toluca)

First

+350

Anytime

+1000

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Agustin Palavecino (Cruz Azul)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+480

Anytime

+1400

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi (Cruz Azul)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Luka Romero (Cruz Azul)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Angel Marquez (Cruz Azul)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Carlos Rodriguez (Cruz Azul)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Amaury García Moreno (Cruz Azul)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Antonio Briseño (Toluca)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Toluca have avoided defeat in their last ten matches at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Antonio Mohamed's team have managed eight wins and two draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 2.80 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Cruz Azul have collected four wins, four draws and two defeats in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Toluca drew 2-2 with Cruz Azul when they last met at Estadio Nemesio Diez. It’s been three Toluca wins, three draws and two Cruz Azul victories in the past 8 H2H meetings at Estadio Nemesio Diez.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Toluca Home Stats		8-2-0	3.80	2.80	1.00	8	2	7	3
Cruz Azul Away Stats		4-4-2	2.50	1.40	1.10	4	6	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Toluca vs Cruz Azul Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Toluca vs Cruz Azul without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Liga MX together with updated injury news.

Toluca Team Page Cruz Azul Team Page

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