Toluca vs Juárez Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Nov 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: Toluca vs Juárez

Toluca take on Juárez at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Wednesday 26 November.

Toluca +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. This involves splitting our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a win against Juárez the desired outcome at betting odds of -102.

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Deportivo Toluca were winners last time out. Landing a 2-0 home victory against Club América at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Los Diablos Rojos recorded four shots on target and had 52% possession, while Paulinho and Helinho each scored one goal.

Juárez secured a 2-1 home win over Pachuca at Estadio Benito Juarez in their previous game. Juárez had 42% possession and five shots on goal, while Madson and Jose Luis Rodriguez were both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toluca have won three on the bounce against Juárez. Their last encounter saw Toluca enjoy a 2-0 away victory at Estadio Benito Juarez. The previous 10 H2H games have featured five Toluca wins, three draws and two Juárez victories.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Toluca	17	11	4	2	43	18	25	43:18	37
8	Juárez	17	6	5	6	27	28	-1	27:28	23

View Full Table

7 wins and 3 draws, averaging 2.7 goals from 11.2 attempts and 5.7 shots on goal. Deportivo Toluca have had 54.1% possession and 5.0 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.8 goals from 8.8 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal, while earning 4.5 corners.

Paulinho is the top scorer with 10 goals, while Jesus Gallardo, Nicolas Castro, Alexis Vega and Jesus Angulo each have 3. Alexis Vega is the leading assists maker with 6.

Bravos de Juárez have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 2.0 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. Martin Varini's side have averaged 44.7% possession, 4.1 corners taken and 4.2 corners against, while conceding 2.1 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 6.6 attempts.

Oscar Estupinan is top of the team’s scoring charts with 6, while Madson and Guilherme Castilho both have 3. Jose Luis Rodriguez is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 4.

Toluca vs Juárez Prediction & Betting Tips

From our key match prediction to corners advice, correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Toluca vs Juárez betting tips covers it all.

Match Prediction

We’re backing Toluca at -102 in this Liga MX game with a +0.25 goal start. We think that the home team will have the edge and we can therefore feel confident of a return with this bet.

We always have a keen eye on team news, while our football experts have their finger on the pulse by knowing the latest form. You will also find a compendium of stats which provide some valuable pointers ahead of the Liga MX action.

Key Toluca vs Juárez league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Toluca in 11 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Toluca in 19 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Juárez in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Juárez in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Toluca in 4 consecutive games against Juárez.

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 50.5% chance of winning. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you’re looking for bigger odds about Toluca covering the line, then why not combine this pick with some of the other available betting markets in a Bet Builder.

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Our Match Prediction

Toluca Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -102 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 1 - 0 Juárez

A 1-0 win in favor of Toluca is available at odds of +800. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nicolas Castro to Score +370

Nicolas Castro (Toluca) has scored three goals in his past five Liga MX home matches. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +370 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Nicolas Castro Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+370

First

+1000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

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Corners Prediction

Toluca To Have Most Corners +108

On average, Toluca have had 5.20 corners in the past 10 home games, with Juárez managing an average of 3.20 corners in the previous 5 matches. The most corners could go to Toluca and you can get an attractive +108.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

9.50 5.00 4.50

Home

8.20 5.20 3.00

Away

9.90 4.90 5.00

Juárez

Total

8.30 4.10 4.20

Home

8.50 4.40 4.10

Away

7.80 3.60 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+104

Under 9.5

-156

Toluca Corners

Over 4.5

-103

Under 4.5

-152

Juárez Corners

Over 4.5

-119

Under 4.5

-132

Most Corners

1

+108

X

+600

2

-104

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Toluca vs Juárez Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The favourites have a 49% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with Juárez chalked up at +104 to land a win in this Liga MX clash. Deportivo Toluca are the underdogs at +225 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

If you fancy Juárez but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -204. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Toluca at +133 on the Draw No Bet market.

Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -167.

Bettors love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every Liga MX game. The best football betting sites ensure that their customers always have plenty of options.

Full-Time Result

1

+225

X

+260

2

+104

Half-Time Result

1

+250

X

+130

2

+150

Double Chance

1X

-152

12

-435

X2

-370

Draw No Bet

1

+133

2

-204

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-102

2 Hcp -0.25

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+102

Over 2.5

-137

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-167

No

+117

Those interested in João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" to find the net anytime can get +112, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +320.

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

+112

Anytime

+320

Óscar Estupiñán (Juárez)

First

+160

Anytime

+450

Ángel Zaldívar (Juárez)

First

+340

Anytime

+900

Robert Morales (Toluca)

First

+360

Anytime

+900

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Madson (Juárez)

First

+380

Anytime

+1050

Israel Larios (Juárez)

First

+390

Anytime

+1050

César Sosa (Juárez)

First

+390

Anytime

+1100

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Jairo Torres (Juárez)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Diego Valoyes (Juárez)

First

+510

Anytime

+1300

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Ricardinho (Juárez)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

José Luis Rodríguez (Juárez)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Jonathan González (Juárez)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Dieter Villalpando (Juárez)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Óscar Estupiñán (Juárez)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

+115

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-167

Ángel Zaldívar (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-172

Robert Morales (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-204

Madson (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-208

Israel Larios (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-213

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

César Sosa (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-233

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-286

José Luis Rodríguez (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-370

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Jairo Torres (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Ricardinho (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-345

Diego Valoyes (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-357

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-417

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-385

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-435

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-417

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Dieter Villalpando (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-714

Jonathan González (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-769

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Toluca have swerved defeat at Estadio Nemesio Diez in the previous seven matches. Los Diablos Rojos have secured seven wins, two draws and one defeat in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.90 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Juárez have finished with five defeats, three draws and two wins in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

Toluca beat Juárez 3-2 when the teams last met at Estadio Nemesio Diez. In the past 6 H2H matches at Estadio Nemesio Diez, we have seen three Juárez wins, two Toluca victories and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Toluca Home Stats		7-2-1	4.10	2.90	1.20	7	3	7	3
Juárez Away Stats		2-3-5	3.00	1.20	1.80	6	4	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Toluca vs Juárez Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Toluca vs Bravos without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Liga MX together with updated injury news.

Toluca Team Page Juárez Team Page

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