Toluca vs Juárez Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Nov 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: Toluca vs Juárez

Toluca take on Juárez at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with kick-off set for 20:05 on Saturday 29 November.

We’ll back Toluca +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and split our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they clash with Juárez. A victory delivers a nice payout at -104 although a draw would still mean a return.

Betting on our Asian Handicap pick? Explore our review of BetMGM first, then grab the newest promo code available to get the best value.

Teams’ Last Battle Saw 2-1 Toluca Victory

Deportivo Toluca and Juárez last met on Wednesday night, with Deportivo Toluca winning 2-1 away. Toluca had the majority of possession with 61% and won the shots on target 8-1. Antonio Briseno and Paulinho was among the goals, with Jesus Murillo bagging for Juárez.

Toluca have triumphed in their previous four meetings against Juárez. On the head-to-head front, it has been 5 wins out of 10.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Toluca	17	11	4	2	43	18	25	43:18	37
8	Juárez	17	6	5	6	27	28	-1	27:28	23

View Full Table

7 wins and 3 draws, averaging 2.6 goals from 6.0 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts. Deportivo Toluca have had 53.8% possession and 5.4 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.8 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts, while being awarded 4.4 corners.

Top goalscorer Paulinho has found the net 11 times, with Nicolas Castro, Alexis Vega and Jesus Angulo scoring 3 each. Alexis Vega is the leading assists maker with 5.

Bravos de Juárez have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, averaging 9.0 attempts, 4.3 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. Martin Varini's side average 43.9% possession, 4.0 corners in their favour and 4.9 corners against, while 2.2 goals have been conceded from 4.0 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts.

Oscar Estupinan got 5 goals, Madson notched 3, while Jesus Murillo and two other players scored 2. Jose Luis Rodriguez has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Toluca vs Juárez Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert Toluca vs Juárez tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop picks to corners guidance, a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

When Toluca line up for this Liga MX game, we will back them at -104 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. We think the hosts are more than capable of avoiding defeat and might be able to land a win.

Our team of experts monitor the current Liga MX injuries and suspensions. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Toluca vs Juárez league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Toluca in 12 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Toluca in 19 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Juárez in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Juárez in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Toluca in 5 consecutive games against Juárez.

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 51% chance of winning. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

There’s an opportunity to take an alternative bet on Toluca, with Winning Margin giving you the chance to predict how many goals a team will win by. Choose from a range of fixed intervals.

Get more from your bets—review the most up-to-date betting promo codes and sign-up offers in our exclusive bonus guide.

Our Match Prediction

Toluca Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -104 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 1 - 0 Juárez

Let’s go for Toluca to win 1-0, a bet which is available at +750. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nicolas Castro to Score +390

Nicolas Castro (Toluca) has registered three goals in his past five Liga MX home matches. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +390 which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Nicolas Castro Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+390

First

+1000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-270

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Toluca To Have Most Corners +108

There has been an average 6.40 corners for Toluca in their past 5 matches, with Juárez averaging 3.20 corners in the last 5 games. Toluca look value at +108 to rack up the most corners.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

9.80 5.40 4.40

Home

8.20 5.20 3.00

Away

9.90 5.00 4.90

Juárez

Total

8.90 4.00 4.90

Home

9.10 4.50 4.60

Away

7.80 3.60 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-143

Under 8.5

-103

Toluca Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-159

Juárez Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-143

Most Corners

1

+108

X

+600

2

-103

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Toluca vs Juárez Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Juárez are forecasted to have a 48% chance of triumphing in this Liga MX encounter according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being +107. The market suggests that Deportivo Toluca are least likely to win at +230.

Should you want to back Juárez to win but want money back if the game ends level, then there is -204 available on the Draw No Bet market. Opponents Toluca have been chalked up at +132.

Under and Over 2.5 Goals backers are able to get similar odds on the Total Goals market. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -152.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred bet when it comes to Liga MX matches. The leading football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+230

X

+245

2

+107

Half-Time Result

1

+260

X

+123

2

+150

Double Chance

1X

-156

12

-400

X2

-370

Draw No Bet

1

+132

2

-204

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-104

2 Hcp -0.25

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-112

Over 2.5

-120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-152

No

+107

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" is the market leader at +330 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

+125

Anytime

+330

Óscar Estupiñán (Juárez)

First

+170

Anytime

+450

Ángel Zaldívar (Juárez)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Robert Morales (Toluca)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Madson (Juárez)

First

+380

Anytime

+1050

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+390

Anytime

+1000

Israel Larios (Juárez)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

César Sosa (Juárez)

First

+410

Anytime

+1100

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Jairo Torres (Juárez)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Diego Valoyes (Juárez)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Ricardinho (Juárez)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

José Luis Rodríguez (Juárez)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Dieter Villalpando (Juárez)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Jonathan González (Juárez)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Óscar Estupiñán (Juárez)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

+125

Ángel Zaldívar (Juárez)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-175

Madson (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-200

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-200

Israel Larios (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-222

César Sosa (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-222

Robert Morales (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-233

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-270

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-303

Diego Valoyes (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-345

Ricardinho (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Jairo Torres (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

José Luis Rodríguez (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-370

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-435

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-400

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-476

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-455

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-455

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Dieter Villalpando (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Jonathan González (Juárez)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-769

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-1111

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-1111

Toluca are unbeaten over their previous seven games at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Los Diablos Rojos have recorded seven victories, two draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.90 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Juárez have five losses, three draws and two victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

Toluca overcame Juárez 3-2 when the sides last met at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The 6 H2H games most recently played at Estadio Nemesio Diez have included three Juárez victories, one draw and two triumphs for Toluca.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Toluca Home Stats		7-2-1	4.10	2.90	1.20	7	3	7	3
Juárez Away Stats		2-3-5	3.00	1.20	1.80	6	4	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Watch Liga MX live streaming through your Android or Apple device simply by having a funded sportsbook account or placing a bet within the past 24 hours.

You’re never short of viewing opportunities. Check out the daily list of sporting events that are being covered through this service.

Deportivo Toluca vs Juárez Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Toluca vs Juárez Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Toluca vs Bravos team news before wagering. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups and the latest injury reports.

Toluca Team Page Juárez Team Page

Top Football Pages