Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Jan 2025

Take Over 2.5 Goals With Confidence

There’s a strong case for goals to be scored when Toluca and Monterrey lock horns. Therefore, we’re going to back Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market, especially at attractive odds of -154.

Toluca Beat Rayados When Teams Last Met

Deportivo Toluca won their last game 4-2. This was an away victory at Estadio Caliente against Club Tijuana. Antonio Mohamed's team ended up with just 28% possession and had ten shots on target, while Alexis Vega grabbed two goals, with Helio Junio and Paulinho getting one.

Monterrey drew 1-1 in their previous game. This was at home at Estadio BBVA against Club Puebla. Monterrey enjoyed 69% possession and had two shots on goal, with Jorge Rodriguez on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toluca have gone unbeaten in their past three meetings with Monterrey. Their last clash took place at Estadio BBVA, with Toluca winning 2-1 away. The past 10 H2H games have featured four triumphs for Monterrey, three for Toluca and three draws.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Monterrey	7	6	0	1	17	9	8	17:9	18
5	Toluca	7	4	1	2	16	10	6	16:10	13

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts. Deportivo Toluca have had 55.3% possession and 3.6 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.2 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts, while being awarded 4.1 corners.

Top goalscorer is Paulinho on 8 goals, while Jesus Angulo has bagged 4 and Alexis Vega 3. Alexis Vega is the leading assists maker with 4.

Rayados have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 11.7 attempts, 4.9 shots on goal and 2.2 goals. Martin Demichelis' side average 54.8% possession, 6.0 corners awarded and 4.5 corners against them, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 4.7 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts.

The top scorers have been Sergio Canales and German Berterame on 5, with Oliver Torres getting 3. Sergio Canales has managed 5 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Toluca confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Tiago Volpi (GK), Diego Barbosa, Bruno Mendez, Luan Garcia, Brian Garcia, Jesus Angulo, Marcel Ruiz, Victor Arteaga, Alexis Vega, Robert Morales, Helinho.

Monterrey confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Esteban Andrada (GK), Ricardo Chavez, John Medina, Hector Moreno, Gerardo Arteaga, Jorge Rodriguez, Nelson Deossa, Oliver Torres, Sergio Canales, Jesus Corona, German Berterame.

Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction & Betting Tips

There’s a strong chance that we’ll see at least three goals scored for this Liga MX game. As a result, we’ll go for Over 2.5 Goals and the available odds of -154 look really attractive.

We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.

Key Toluca vs Monterrey league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Toluca games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Toluca games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Monterrey games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Monterrey games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Monterrey games on the road.

Over 2.5 Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 60.6% likelihood of our pick winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

An Over 2.5 Goals selection can be included in a Bet Builder with a number of other picks. There’s the chance to get a larger price although there’s clearly more risk involved.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -154 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 2 - 1 Monterrey

One bet that has caught our eye is Toluca to claim a 2-1 correct score win. This selection is available at +650 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Corners Prediction

Monterrey Over 3.5 Corners -125

In their past four matches, Monterrey have covered the 3.5 corners line, with Toluca conceding 4.10 corners on average in their last 10 games. We’re anticipating that there will be plenty of Monterrey corners and that the Team Corners line will be covered, with odds of -125 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

9.40 5.20 4.20

Home

8.40 4.30 4.10

Away

9.00 5.00 4.00

Monterrey

Total

7.60 3.80 3.80

Home

8.80 4.80 4.00

Away

9.70 5.00 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-102

Under 9.5

-147

Toluca Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Monterrey Corners

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-208

X

+575

2

+195

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Toluca vs Monterrey Odds

Bookies favourites Deportivo Toluca are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Liga MX game and the -137 about them triumphing means a 58% chance of winning based on their current betting odds. The market suggests that Monterrey are least likely to win at +320.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now.

To combine various Liga MX selections within the same match, you will find football betting sites offer a Bet Builder. Start adding the picks you fancy until you’re happy with the overall payout.

Full-Time Result

1

-137

X

+290

2

+320

Half-Time Result

1

+120

X

+148

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-455

12

-417

X2

+102

Draw No Bet

1

-294

2

+215

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-106

2 Hcp +0.75

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+148

Over 2.5

-204

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-204

No

+140

Toluca vs Monterrey Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Toluca vs Rayados team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

The Liga MX squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Toluca Team Page Monterrey Team Page