Toluca vs Querétaro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Oct 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: Toluca vs Querétaro

Toluca host Querétaro in this Liga MX fixture at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with kick-off set for 19:00 on Saturday 18 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

BTTS Yes Looks the Value Bet

The best betting angle could be backing Toluca and Querétaro to both score at least once, especially as odds of -100 are available when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection.

Confident in our BTTS Yes prediction? Use the updated BetMGM promo code and explore our in-depth expert review before placing your bet.

5-0 Victory for Toluca in Pair’s Previous H2H

Deportivo Toluca triumphed in their last game 4-2, making it six on the bounce. This was an away victory at Estadio Nou Camp against Club León. Los Diablos Rojos had 47% of possession and five shots on target, with Paulinho bagging two, while Jesus Angulo and Alexis Vega also scored a goal.

Querétaro claimed a 3-1 home win over Club Puebla at Estadio La Corregidora in their previous game. Benjamin Mora's men enjoyed 51% possession and had four shots on goal, while Ali Avila was on the scoresheet twice and Lucas Rodriguez also found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toluca have won the last two encounters against Querétaro. A 5-0 home success at Estadio Nemesio Diez was preceded by a 1-0 away win at Estadio La Corregidora. We’ve seen the previous 10 H2H meetings include five Toluca triumphs, three draws and two Querétaro wins.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Toluca	13	10	1	2	39	16	23	39:16	31
16	Querétaro	13	3	2	8	14	25	-11	14:25	11

View Full Table

Deportivo Toluca have 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.8 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts. Antonio Mohamed's side have averaged 51.1% possession and 5.0 corners per match, conceding 1.3 goals and 3.9 corners from 3.3 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.

Top scorer Paulinho has found the net 9 times, with Jesus Angulo, Alexis Vega and Jesus Gallardo getting 3 each. Alexis Vega is the top assists maker with 7.

Gallos Blancos de Querétaro have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, averaging 5.7 attempts, 2.8 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. They average 37.1% possession, 3.2 corners awarded and 7.0 corners against them, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 4.4 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts.

Santiago Homenchenko has scored 4 goals, followed by Ali Avila on 3 and Lucas Rodriguez with 2. Angel Zapata, Michael Carcelen and have clocked up 1 assists each in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Toluca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Hugo Gonzalez (GK), Santiago Simon, Bruno Mendez, Everardo Del Villar, Jesus Gallardo, Marcel Ruiz, Franco Romero, Jesus Angulo, Nicolas Castro, Alexis Vega, Paulinho.

Querétaro confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Guillermo Allison (GK), Jaime Valencia Gomez, Diego Reyes, Santiago Homenchenko, Omar Mendoza, Angel Zapata, Lucas Rodriguez, Rodrigo Bogarin, Eduardo Armenta, Jonathan Perlaza, Ali Avila.

Toluca vs Querétaro Prediction & Betting Tips

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Toluca vs Querétaro, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Match Prediction

The teams both have the players to score and it’s for that reason that we’re backing the BTTS Yes option in this Liga MX clash. Odds of -100 look really appealing when it comes to this outcome.

Our job is to consult the latest Liga MX team news in order to produce the best football predictions. Then we crack on with the job of analysing the stats that are going to be the most effective.

Key Toluca vs Querétaro league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 6 straight Toluca games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Toluca games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Toluca games at home.

BTTS Yes Probability

The top betting apps make it a 50% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re looking for bigger odds about BTTS Yes, then why not combine this selection with some of the other available betting markets in a Bet Builder.

Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -100 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 3 - 1 Querétaro

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Toluca winning 3-1. Odds of +850 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jesús Gallardo to Score +350

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca) has registered two goals in his past four Liga MX games. There are odds of +350 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Jesús Gallardo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+1100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-222

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Corners Prediction

Querétaro Over 2.5 Corners -110

The 2.5 corners line has been covered by Querétaro in four straight away matches, while the previous 5 Toluca games have seen them concede an average of 4.20 corners. We think that the value can be landed by betting on Team Corners and you can get -110 that Querétaro go over the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

8.90 5.00 3.90

Home

8.10 4.90 3.20

Away

9.80 4.50 5.30

Querétaro

Total

10.20 3.20 7.00

Home

9.00 3.20 5.80

Away

11.60 4.20 7.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-133

Under 9.5

-112

Toluca Corners

Over 6.5

-138

Under 6.5

-100

Querétaro Corners

Over 2.5

-138

Under 2.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-625

X

+850

2

+525

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Toluca vs Querétaro Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Have Toluca as Heavy Favourites

With a proposed 86% probability of securing a victory, the bookmakers are taking few risks with their -625 odds about Deportivo Toluca coming out on top in this Liga MX encounter. If you want to wager on the underdog, Querétaro have been priced up at +1200.

Toluca -2.25 can be backed at -100 to beat Querétaro. This Asian Handicap wager will pay out if there’s a 3+ goal win. Half your stake comes back if they manage to win by exactly two goals.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. If you’re expecting at least one team to draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is available at -137.

Bettors love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every Liga MX game. The best football betting sites ensure that their customers always have plenty of options.

Full-Time Result

1

-625

X

+650

2

+1200

Half-Time Result

1

-204

X

+210

2

+750

Draw No Bet

1

-2500

2

+750

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -2.25

-100

2 Hcp +2.25

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+200

Over 2.5

-294

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-104

No

-137

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" Heads First Goalscorer Market

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +220 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at -200.

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

-200

Anytime

+220

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

+112

Anytime

+380

Robert Morales (Toluca)

First

+220

Anytime

+700

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+220

Anytime

+700

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+270

Anytime

+800

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

First

+310

Anytime

+1000

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+320

Anytime

+1100

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+340

Anytime

+1100

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+350

Anytime

+1100

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+360

Anytime

+1150

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

First

+410

Anytime

+1400

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+420

Anytime

+1400

Mateo Coronel (Querétaro)

First

+480

Anytime

+1400

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+525

Anytime

+1700

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1800

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1800

Lucas Rodríguez (Querétaro)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Jonathan Perlaza (Querétaro)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Eduardo Armenta (Querétaro)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Rodrigo Bogarín (Querétaro)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Robert Morales (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-122

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-172

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

Over 2.5

+117

Under 2.5

-204

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-189

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-204

Mateo Coronel (Querétaro)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-208

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-222

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-222

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-250

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-313

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Jonathan Perlaza (Querétaro)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-345

Lucas Rodríguez (Querétaro)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-417

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-417

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-455

Eduardo Armenta (Querétaro)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-455

Rodrigo Bogarín (Querétaro)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-455

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-455

Toluca Enjoying Strong Home Form

Toluca have now managed three wins on the bounce at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Los Diablos Rojos have clocked up seven wins, two draws and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.80 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Querétaro have finished with six losses, three victories and one draw in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Toluca enjoyed a 5-0 winning scoreline when last meeting Querétaro at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The past 6 H2H games at Estadio Nemesio Diez have involved four Toluca wins, one Querétaro victory and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Toluca Home Stats		7-2-1	4.10	2.80	1.30	8	2	8	2
Querétaro Away Stats		3-1-6	2.30	0.90	1.40	4	6	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Toluca vs Querétaro Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Toluca vs Gallos Blancos, check the team news first. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Toluca Team Page Querétaro Team Page