Toluca vs Tigres Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Jul 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: Toluca vs Tigres

Toluca host Tigres in this Liga MX match at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with kick-off set for 21:00 on Saturday 26 July 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Toluca to Get the Job Done

There’s a strong case for siding with Toluca when it comes to the Full-Time Result betting market. We think the favourites could prove too strong for Tigres and odds of -111 are attractive.

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Toluca 3-0 to the Good in Previous H2H

Deportivo Toluca have won two on the spin, triumphing 4-2 in their previous game. This was on the road against Santos Laguna at Estadio Nuevo Corona. Los Diablos Rojos had the majority of the ball boasting 55% possession and nine shots on target, while Helinho and Robert Morales scored two goals each.

Tigres UANL won their previous game, beating Juárez at home. It was a 1-0 victory at El Volcán. Guido Pizarro's team had ten shots on goal and enjoyed 66% possession, with Jonathan Herrera on target in the 69th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toluca have avoided defeat against Tigres in the past three meetings. In their last encounter, Toluca enjoyed a 3-0 victory when hosting at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in five Toluca wins, two draws and three Tigres successes.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Toluca	2	2	0	0	7	3	4	7:3	6
7	Tigres	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	1:0	3

View Full Table

Deportivo Toluca have 6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts. Antonio Mohamed's men have averaged 48.7% possession and 4.4 corners per match, conceding 1.0 goals and 4.6 corners from 3.0 shots on goal and 7.3 attempts.

Top goalscorer Alexis Vega has found the net 4 times, Helinho 3, with Robert Morales and two other players on 2. The leading assistor is Alexis Vega with 5.

Tigres UANL have won 3, lost 2 and drawn 5, with an average of 0.8 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts. There’s been an average of 55.9% possession, 5.4 corners taken and 5.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts.

Nicolas Ibanez and Fernando Gorriaran have top scored with 2, while Jonathan Herrera is next on 1. Juan Brunetta has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis García (GK), Diego Barbosa, Luan, Federico Pereira, Jesús Gallardo, Franco Romero, Marcel Ruíz, Juan Pablo Domínguez, Jesús Angulo, Ernesto Alexis Vega, Paulinho.

Tigres predicted lineup (4-4-2): Nahuel Guzman (GK), Javier Aquino, Joaquim, Juan José Purata, Jesús Ángel Garza, Diego Laínez, Juan Francisco Brunetta, Fernando Gorriarán, Jonathan Ozziel Herrera, Nicolás Ibáñez, Ángel Correa.

Toluca vs Tigres Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the best Toluca vs Tigres betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to a sharp corners pick and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re confident with our selection of Toluca to land a victory, with odds of -111 looking really generous. We think they have the ability to claim a win in this Liga MX game.

Our Liga MX experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.

Key Toluca vs Tigres league stats:

• Toluca have won 4 consecutive games at home.
• Toluca have won 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• Toluca have won 15 of their last 20 games at home.

Toluca to Win Probability

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 52.6% chance of landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

You can choose an alternative if you want bigger odds about a win for Toluca. The Double Result market allows you to wager on them to lead at the halfway stage too.

Maximize your first bet with the latest betting promotions. Our guide covers all the top welcome bonuses out there.

Our Match Prediction

Toluca To Win @ -111 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 1 - 0 Tigres

Toluca are available at +650 to secure a 1-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Corners Prediction

Tigres Over 4.5 Corners -100

Tigres have had over 4.5 corners in four straight matches. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Team Corners and you can secure -100 that Tigres go over the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

9.00 4.40 4.60

Home

8.20 4.50 3.70

Away

9.50 5.10 4.40

Tigres

Total

10.40 5.40 5.00

Home

9.90 6.00 3.90

Away

10.40 5.40 5.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-120

Toluca Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Tigres Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Most Corners

1

-161

X

+700

2

+175

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Toluca vs Tigres Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest 1x2 Odds Suggest Toluca Victory

With the bookmakers affording them a 56% chance of winning, Deportivo Toluca might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are -125 when it comes to this Liga MX encounter. For those wanting to back Tigres UANL, you will find +350 about this outsider.

You can choose Toluca -0.5 or Tigres +0.5 at respective Asian Handicap odds of -125 and -100. The former is the same as betting the favourites to win, with the latter giving you a return if it’s a draw.

You’re able to bet on Under 2.5 Goals or Over 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now. The Both Teams to Score market is always popular and BTTS Yes can be backed at -143.

If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any Liga MX game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-125

X

+250

2

+350

Half-Time Result

1

+137.5

X

+130

2

+350

Double Chance

1X

-549

12

-350

X2

-105

Draw No Bet

1

-300

2

+225

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-125

2 Hcp +0.5

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

+105

Toluca Claimed Victory in Last Seven H2H Estadio Nemesio Diez Games

Toluca have gone unbeaten at Estadio Nemesio Diez in the last ten games. Los Diablos Rojos have recorded nine victories and one draw in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.90 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

Tigres haven’t tasted victory in the previous five away matches. Guido Pizarro's team have clocked up four draws, four losses and two wins in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 0.60 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

In the last meeting at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca defeated Tigres by a 3-0 scoreline. Toluca have triumphed in seven of the previous 8 H2H meetings at Estadio Nemesio Diez, while Tigres have won once.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Toluca Home Stats		9-1-0	3.90	2.90	1.00	9	1	7	3
Tigres Away Stats		2-4-4	1.70	0.60	1.10	4	6	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Toluca vs Tigres Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Toluca vs Tigres team news before betting. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups and the latest on injuries.

Toluca Team Page Tigres Team Page