Toluca vs Tigres Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Dec 2025

Liga MX Apertura final Betting Preview: Toluca vs Tigres

Toluca welcome Tigres to Estadio Nemesio Diez in the second leg of the Liga MX Apertura final, with kick-off set for 20:00 on Sunday 14 December.

It wouldn’t be surprising to see Toluca come out on top against Tigres. We will therefore back Los Diablos Rojos at -115 on the Full-Time Result market and get a nice return if the hosts manage to land a victory.

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Tigres Edged First Leg 1–0

Tigres UANL and Deportivo Toluca met in the first leg on Thursday night, with Tigres winning 1-0 at home. The hosts finished with 51% possession and were 3-1 winners in term of shots on target, with Angel Correa scoring the winner.

The H2H over 10 games makes for interesting reading, two draws and four wins apiece for each team.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Toluca	3	2	1	0	4	1	3	4:1	7
11	Tigres	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	2:2	4

View Full Table

Deportivo Toluca have 4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts. Antonio Mohamed's side have averaged 50.5% possession and 5.3 corners per match, conceding 0.7 goals and 4.3 corners from 2.7 shots on goal and 7.2 attempts.

Paulinho is the top goalscorer with 5, Helinho has 2, with Federico Pereira and two other players on 1. The top assist makers are Nicolas Castro, Diego Barbosa and Jesus Angulo, all of whom have 2 on the board.

Tigres UANL have 6 victories, 1 defeat and 3 draws, with an average of 2.1 goals from 9.9 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 53.8% possession, 5.0 corners in their favour and 3.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 7.6 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.

Juan Brunetta has recorded 7 goals, Angel Correa 6, with Marco Farfan and Diego Lainez both managing 2. Diego Lainez and Juan Brunetta have had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Toluca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis Garcia (GK), Santiago Simon, Federico Pereira, Everardo Del Villar, Jesus Gallardo, Franco Romero, Marcel Ruiz, Helinho, Jesus Angulo, Nicolas Castro, Paulinho.

Tigres confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Nahuel Guzman (GK), Jesus Garza, Joaquim, Juan Jose Purata, Marco Farfan, Romulo, Fernando Gorriaran, Diego Lainez, Angel Correa, Juan Brunetta, Andre-Pierre Gignac.

Toluca vs Tigres Prediction & Betting Tips

Head into Toluca vs Tigres with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, expected scoreline, top corners angle, key player props and a thoughtfully built bet builder.

Match Prediction

It’s great to get attractive odds of -115 for a home win in the second leg of the Liga MX Apertura final. We think that Toluca will have the upper hand and this could be the best way of getting value.

Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the Liga MX form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.

Key Toluca vs Tigres league stats:

• Toluca have won 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• Toluca have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you want to pimp the odds about Toluca to win on the Full-Time Result market, you might consider going down the Bet Builder route and combine this pick with other selections.

Get more from your wager using our bonus guide, which highlights top betting offers, free bets, and welcome promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Toluca To Win @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (02:07, 13 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 1 - 0 Tigres

Toluca are available at +600 to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Andre-Pierre Gignac Over 0.5 Shots On Target -118

Andre-Pierre Gignac (Tigres) can be backed at -118 to register a minimum of one shot on goal. He looks like an attractive wager on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop bet selection.

Latest Andre-Pierre Gignac Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-167

---

Jesús Gallardo to Score +550

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca) has scored three goals in his past nine Liga MX home games. We’ll take a chance at +550 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Jesús Gallardo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+500

First

+1400

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-400

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Toluca Under 4.5 Corners +102

Toluca have had under 4.5 corners in two consecutive games, while Tigres have had an average of 3.40 corners against them in their last 5 matches. There are odds of +102 when it comes to this Team Corners bet and we can see Toluca fall short of the line here.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

9.60 5.30 4.30

Home

8.10 5.20 2.90

Away

10.40 5.10 5.30

Tigres

Total

8.70 5.00 3.70

Home

9.10 6.00 3.10

Away

9.70 5.40 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-119

Under 9.5

-125

Toluca Corners

Over 5.5

-152

Under 5.5

-104

Tigres Corners

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-154

Most Corners

1

-294

X

+750

2

+275

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toluca vs Tigres Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a roughly 58% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their -141 betting odds for Deportivo Toluca winning this Liga MX Apertura showdown. Tigres UANL are regarded as the least likely winner at +340.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -149 on the Both Teams to Score market.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Liga MX coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the football bet that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

-141

X

+275

2

+340

Half-Time Result

1

+120

X

+132

2

+330

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-476

X2

-104

Draw No Bet

1

-357

2

+215

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-109

2 Hcp +0.75

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+102

Over 2.5

-139

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-149

No

+105

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +300 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is -100.

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

-100

Anytime

+300

Ángel Correa (Tigres)

First

+220

Anytime

+575

Andre-Pierre Gignac (Tigres)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Robert Morales (Toluca)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Juan Brunetta (Tigres)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+510

Anytime

+1400

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+540

Anytime

+1500

Ozziel Herrera (Tigres)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Juan Pablo Vigón (Tigres)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Marcelo Flores (Tigres)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Diego Sanchez (Tigres)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Diego Lainez (Tigres)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Fernando Gorriarán (Tigres)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Jesus Garza (Tigres)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Ángel Correa (Tigres)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-102

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-133

Andre-Pierre Gignac (Tigres)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-167

Robert Morales (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-192

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-213

Juan Brunetta (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-217

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-345

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-333

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-400

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-345

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Ozziel Herrera (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-435

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-455

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-476

Marcelo Flores (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-556

Juan Pablo Vigón (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-588

Diego Sanchez (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-556

Diego Lainez (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-588

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-909

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Jesus Garza (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-1111

Fernando Gorriarán (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1250

Toluca haven’t lost any of their past nine games at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Los Diablos Rojos have racked up six victories, three draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 2.70 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Tigres are winless in the last three away games. Guido Pizarro's team have five draws, four wins and one loss in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

When the teams previously met at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Tigres defeated Toluca 4-3. The past 9 H2H games at Estadio Nemesio Diez have seen Toluca claim seven wins and Tigres triumphing two times.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Toluca Home Stats		6-3-1	4.00	2.70	1.30	7	3	7	3
Tigres Away Stats		4-5-1	2.60	1.40	1.20	4	6	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Toluca vs Tigres Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Toluca vs Tigres team news before you bet. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Toluca Team Page Tigres Team Page

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