Toluca vs Tigres Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Dec 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: Toluca vs Tigres

Toluca clash with Tigres at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with kick-off set for 20:00 on Sunday 14 December.

It wouldn’t be surprising to see Toluca come out on top against Tigres. We will therefore back them at -115 on the Full-Time Result market and get a nice return if the hosts manage to land a victory.

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1-0 Win for Tigres in Pair’s Last Encounter

Tigres UANL and Deportivo Toluca last met on Thursday night, with Tigres UANL winning 1-0 at home. Tigres finished with 51% possession and were 3-1 winners in term of shots on target, with Angel Correa scoring the winner.

The H2H over 10 games makes for interesting reading, two draws and four wins apiece for each team.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Toluca	17	11	4	2	43	18	25	43:18	37
2	Tigres	17	10	6	1	35	16	19	35:16	36

View Full Table

Deportivo Toluca have 4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts. Antonio Mohamed's side have averaged 50.5% possession and 5.3 corners per match, conceding 0.7 goals and 4.3 corners from 2.7 shots on goal and 7.2 attempts.

Paulinho is the top goalscorer with 5, Helinho has 2, with Federico Pereira and two other players on 1. The top assist makers are Nicolas Castro, Diego Barbosa and Jesus Angulo, all of whom have 2 on the board.

Tigres UANL have 6 victories, 1 defeat and 3 draws, with an average of 2.1 goals from 9.9 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 53.8% possession, 5.0 corners in their favour and 3.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 7.6 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.

Juan Brunetta has recorded 7 goals, Angel Correa 6, with Marco Farfan and Diego Lainez both managing 2. Diego Lainez and Juan Brunetta have had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Toluca predicted lineup (5-4-1): Hugo Gonzalez (GK), Santiago Simón, Bruno Méndez, Everardo del Villar, Federico Pereira, Jesús Gallardo, Jesús Angulo, Marcel Ruíz, Franco Romero, Nicolas Castro, Paulinho.

Tigres predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Nahuel Guzman (GK), Jesús Ángel Garza, Joaquim, Jesús Angulo, Marco Farfan, Fernando Gorriarán, Romulo, Diego Laínez, Juan Francisco Brunetta, Ángel Correa, Andre Pierre Gignac.

Toluca vs Tigres Prediction & Betting Tips

Head into Toluca vs Tigres with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, expected scoreline, top corners angle, key player props and a thoughtfully built bet builder.

Match Prediction

It’s great to get attractive odds of -115 for a home win in this Liga MX encounter. We think that Toluca will have the upper hand and this could be the best way of getting value.

Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the Liga MX form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.

Key Toluca vs Tigres league stats:

• Toluca have won 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• Toluca have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you want to pimp the odds about Toluca to win on the Full-Time Result market, you might consider going down the Bet Builder route and combine this pick with other selections.

Get more from your wager using our bonus guide, which highlights top betting offers, free bets, and welcome promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Toluca To Win @ -115 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 1 - 0 Tigres

Toluca are available at +600 to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Andre-Pierre Gignac Over 0.5 Shots On Target -118

Andre-Pierre Gignac (Tigres) can be backed at -118 to register a minimum of one shot on goal. He looks like an attractive wager on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop bet selection.

Latest Andre-Pierre Gignac Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-147

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Jesús Gallardo to Score +550

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca) has scored three goals in his past nine Liga MX home games. We’ll take a chance at +550 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Jesús Gallardo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+550

First

+1500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-345

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Corners Prediction

Toluca Under 4.5 Corners +102

Toluca have had under 4.5 corners in two consecutive games, while Tigres have had an average of 3.40 corners against them in their last 5 matches. There are odds of +102 when it comes to this Team Corners bet and we can see Toluca fall short of the line here.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

9.60 5.30 4.30

Home

8.10 5.20 2.90

Away

10.40 5.10 5.30

Tigres

Total

8.70 5.00 3.70

Home

9.10 6.00 3.10

Away

9.70 5.40 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-154

Under 8.5

+104

Toluca Corners

Over 5.5

-128

Under 5.5

-122

Tigres Corners

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-172

Most Corners

1

-294

X

+700

2

+275

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Toluca vs Tigres Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With a roughly 53% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their -115 betting odds for Deportivo Toluca winning this Liga MX clash. Tigres UANL are regarded as the least likely winner at +295.

There are different ways to bet on Toluca including the Asian Handicap -0.5 market. This option is -115, although Tigres +0.5 is a viable alternative at -112 and you can cheer on the draw with the latter.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -152 on the Both Teams to Score market.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Liga MX coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the football bet that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

-115

X

+245

2

+295

Half-Time Result

1

+138

X

+125

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-500

12

-400

X2

-127

Draw No Bet

1

-278

2

+175

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-115

2 Hcp +0.5

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-105

Over 2.5

-130

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-152

No

+106

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +310 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +108.

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

+108

Anytime

+310

Ángel Correa (Tigres)

First

+210

Anytime

+540

Andre-Pierre Gignac (Tigres)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Juan Brunetta (Tigres)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Robert Morales (Toluca)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+540

Anytime

+1500

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Ozziel Herrera (Tigres)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Juan Pablo Vigón (Tigres)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Diego Sanchez (Tigres)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Marcelo Flores (Tigres)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Diego Lainez (Tigres)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Jesus Garza (Tigres)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Fernando Gorriarán (Tigres)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Ángel Correa (Tigres)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

+105

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-130

Andre-Pierre Gignac (Tigres)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-147

Robert Morales (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-182

Juan Brunetta (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-200

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-200

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-250

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-345

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-333

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-345

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-417

Ozziel Herrera (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-417

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-500

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-476

Juan Pablo Vigón (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-625

Diego Lainez (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-500

Diego Sanchez (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-476

Marcelo Flores (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-526

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

Jesus Garza (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

Mauricio Isais (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Fernando Gorriarán (Tigres)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-1000

Toluca haven’t lost any of their past nine games at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Los Diablos Rojos have racked up six victories, three draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 2.70 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Tigres are winless in the last three away games. Guido Pizarro's team have five draws, four wins and one loss in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

When the teams previously met at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Tigres defeated Toluca 4-3. The past 9 H2H games at Estadio Nemesio Diez have seen Toluca claim seven wins and Tigres triumphing two times.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Toluca Home Stats		6-3-1	4.00	2.70	1.30	7	3	7	3
Tigres Away Stats		4-5-1	2.60	1.40	1.20	4	6	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Toluca vs Tigres Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Toluca vs Tigres team news before you bet. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Toluca Team Page Tigres Team Page

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