Tondela vs Porto Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Dec 2025
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Tondela vs Porto
Tondela welcome Portuguese Primeira Liga leaders Porto to Estadio Joao Cardoso, with kick-off set for 15:30 on Sunday 7 December.
We think there are some great odds when it comes to the BTTS No option for the Tondela vs Porto game. Take the -167 with the confidence that at least one team will fail to score.
Going for our BTTS No pick? Take advantage of the latest BetMGM promo code and read our comprehensive review before you place your bet.
Tondela have suffered back-to-back Primeira Liga home defeats. In their last league game, they beat Gil Vicente 1-0 on the road at Municipal de Barcelos. The Gold and Green enjoyed just 36% possession and had two shots on target, with Pedro Henryque scoring the winning goal in the 35th minute.
Porto have won six consecutive Primeira Liga away games. In their previous league appearance, they recorded a 1-0 home victory over Estoril Praia at Estadio do Dragao. Francesco Farioli's men had 48% possession and recorded six shots on goal, with an early first half strike from William Gomes proving the difference.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was Porto who came out on top when they last played Tondela. At Estadio do Dragao, a 4-0 home win was recorded. In the past 6 games between these teams, Porto have won all of them.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 4 | 36 | 40:4 | 55 |
| 17 | Tondela |
19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 12:33 | 12 |
Tondela have 2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts. Cristiano Bacci's team have averaged 45.6% possession, 330.3 passes and 3.9 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.6 goals from 6.0 shots on goal, 15.7 attempts and 6.2 corners.
Top scorer Pedro Henryque has found the net 3 times, with Rony Lopes, Sphephelo Sithole, Ivan Cavaleiro and Tiago Manso getting 1 goals each. Rony Lopes is top assists maker with 2, while goalkeeper Bernardo Fontes has kept 2 clean sheets.
Porto have won 9 and drawn 1, with an average of 14.2 attempts, 5.7 shots on goal and 2.0 goals. The Dragons average 52.6% possession, 442.5 passes, 5.4 corners awarded and 3.3 corners against them, while 0.3 goals have been conceded from 1.7 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts.
The top scorers have been Samuel Aghehowa on 4, followed by William Gomes and Borja Sainz with 3. Alberto Costa has been chief assist maker on 4, with Diogo Costa recording 7 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Tondela confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bernardo Fontes (GK), Tiago Manso, Christian Marques, Brayan Medina, Emmanuel Maviram, Juan Rodriguez, Sphephelo Sithole, Pedro Henryque, Hugo Felix, Moudjatovic, Jordan Pefok.
Porto confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Diogo Costa (GK), Alberto Costa, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Francisco Moura, Victor Froholdt, Alan Varela, Rodrigo Mora, William Gomes, Samuel Aghehowa, Pepe.
Tondela vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips
Gear up for Tondela vs Porto with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market value, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’re not sold on both teams scoring, with at least one of the sides potentially failing to find the net in this Primeira Liga game. Let’s go for the BTTS No option which is attractively priced at -167.
The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Primeira Liga injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.
Key Tondela vs Porto league stats:
According to the odds, there’s a 62.5% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 70% taking all factors into consideration. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
If you’re anticipating a BTTS No outcome, there’s the option to combine this selection with a Full-Time Result wager on the Result & Both Teams to Score market. Here you predict which team will land a win to nil.
Don’t place another bet without seeing the best betting offers available—free bets and welcome promos included.
Correct Score Prediction
Our prediction for the correct score is Porto to land a 1-0 victory and this is available at +500. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.
Player Prop Picks
William Santos Gomes (Porto) has registered three goals in his past seven Primeira Liga matches. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of +245.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
There’s been a corner average of 10.80 in the past five matches involving Tondela, with the last five Porto away games averaging 9.60. We’re content to wager the -147 for the teams to cover the Total Corners line as this looks appealing.
Tondela
Porto
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Check out our bet builder which has the following: BTTS No, Tondela to cover the +1.5 Asian Handicap and also William Santos Gomes (Porto) to score at any time.
A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. The bookmakers provide this personalised betting facility where you select various picks and the odds are combined.
Tondela vs Porto Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Porto are overwhelming -476 favourites to win this Primeira Liga clash based on the latest betting odds. The bookmakers afford them a 83% probability of claiming the spoils. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +1150 about Tondela.
Porto winning by three goals or more against Tondela means a -1.75 Asian Handicap bet fully pays out at -128. A two-goal margin of victory gets a half stake payout and half a stake refund.
Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. As long as one team or more fails to score, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market will pay out at -175.
You’ll love the hundreds of markets if you want to bet on the Primeira Liga coupon and we advise heading to the top sports betting sites to get the football wager that you think is value.
Samu Omorodion is priced at +170 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of -172 to find the net anytime.
Tondela League Stats
Porto League Stats
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 5 home matches
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 5 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 5 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 5 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 5 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 6.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 5 home matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 5 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 3 of the last 5 home matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 2.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 45.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.80% possession in the last 5 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 5 home matches
- An average of 52.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Tondela this season are Pedro Henryque (3), Ivan Cavaleiro (1), Rony Lopes (1)
- Top Assistors for Tondela this season are Rony Lopes (2)
Tondela vs Porto Lineups & Team News
Make sure to look over the Tondela vs Porto team news before betting. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.
Tondela Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Porto Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Tondela Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Porto Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Tondela Substitutes
- 5Joao Afonso
- 6Andre Ceitil
- 8Helder Tavares
- 10Joe Hodge
- 11Yefrei Rodriguez
- 16Rony Lopes
- 17Ivan Cavaleiro
- 21Remy Vita
- 30Lucas Canizares
Porto Substitutes
- 6Stephen Eustaquio
- 10Gabriel Veiga
- 13Pablo Rosario
- 14Claudio Ramos
- 17Borja Sainz
- 21Dominik Prpic
- 27Deniz Guel
- 47Angel Alarcon
- 52Martim Fernandes
Previous Tondela Lineups
Previous Porto Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Tondela Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Cristiano Bacci
Porto Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 19 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 40:4 | 55 |
| 2 | Sporting | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 52:10 | 48 |
| 3 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 42:11 | 45 |
| 4 | Braga | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 37:18 | 33 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 24:16 | 31 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:26 | 30 |
| 7 | Famalicão | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 24:14 | 29 |
| 8 | Estoril | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 37:31 | 26 |
| 9 | Vitória | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:27 | 25 |
| 10 | Alverca | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 19:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 26:28 | 20 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 22:35 | 20 |
| 13 | Estrela | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 23:36 | 19 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Arouca | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20:44 | 17 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20:38 | 15 |
| 17 | Tondela | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12:33 | 12 |
| 18 | AVS | 19 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 14:47 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19:2 | 25 |
| 2 | Sporting | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 30:3 | 22 |
| 3 | Benfica | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 23:7 | 22 |
| 4 | Moreirense | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Estoril | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:7 | 17 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 8 | Alverca | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9:14 | 16 |
| 9 | Vitória | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 10 | Famalicão | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:8 | 14 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Nacional | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | 9 |
| 15 | Arouca | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Tondela | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:13 | 5 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | 5 |
| 18 | AVS | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7:19 | 3 |
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