Tondela vs Vitória Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Nov 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Tondela vs Vitória

Tondela clash with Vitória at Estadio Joao Cardoso, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Saturday 8 November. Our betting preview features expert Portuguese Primeira Liga predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Under 2.5 Looks the Value Bet

There’s a definite case for backing Under 2.5 when it comes to the Total Goals market. Tondela and Vitória could be set for a low-scoring contest and we’re keen to grab the odds of -147.

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Last H2H Saw Game End 1-1

Tondela played out a 2-2 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Estadio do CD Aves against AVS. Ivo Vieira's team had 45% possession and totalled three shots on target, with Rony Lopes and Pedro Henryque scoring one goal apiece.

Vitória de Guimarães have suffered back-to-back Primeira Liga defeats, recently being beaten at home by Benfica 3-0 at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. The Conquerors had just 34% possession and didn’t record a single shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Estadio Joao Cardoso played host to the last head-to-head when home team Tondela drew 1-1 with Vitória. The past 6 H2H games have involved four Vitória victories, a single draw and one Tondela win.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	Vitória	10	3	2	5	9	17	-8	9:17	11
17	Tondela	10	1	3	6	6	19	-13	6:19	6

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1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts. Tondela have had 45.0% possession, 331.2 passes and 3.7 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.9 goals from 6.5 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts, while being awarded 5.8 corners.

Top scorer Pedro Henryque has found the net 2 times, with Rony Lopes, Sphephelo Sithole, Ivan Cavaleiro and Tiago Manso getting 1 goals each. Rony Lopes is top assists maker with 2, while goalkeeper Bernardo Fontes has kept one clean sheet.

Vitória have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, with an average of 0.9 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 12.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 48.6% possession, 365.0 passes, 4.3 corners awarded and 3.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts.

Alioune Ndoye and Nelson Oliveira have scored 2, followed by Samu with 1. Samu, Gustavo Silva and Rodrigo Abascal have clocked up 1 assists, with Juan Diego Castillo keeping one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Tondela predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Bernardo (GK), Tiago Manso, João Afonso, Brayan Medina, Rémy Vita, Sphephelo Sithole, Helder Tavares, Yarlen, Jordan Siebatcheu, Rony Lopes, Pedro Maranhão.

Vitória predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Juan Castillo (GK), Miguel Maga, Óscar Rivas, Rodrigo Abascal, João Mendes, Beni Mukendi, Diogo Sousa, Telmo Arcanjo, Samu, Fabio Blanco, Oumar Camara.

Tondela vs Vitória Prediction & Betting Tips

Dive into our full Tondela vs Vitória betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.

Match Prediction

We could be set for a low-scoring Primeira Liga encounter. We will therefore bet on Under 2.5 which can be backed at an eye-catching price of -147, with defences set to be on top for the most part.

Our football predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest Primeira Liga data.

Key Tondela vs Vitória league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Vitória games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 18 Vitória games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Vitória games.

Under 2.5 Probability

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 59.5% prospect of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

For those searching for a larger price, a possible option could be backing Under 1.5 Goals. This is a wager that will land a return for a 0-0 draw or a 1-0 victory to either side.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -147 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Tondela 1 - 1 Vitória

There’s the option to bet on the two teams to play out a 1-1 draw. Odds of +425 are on offer and this is a correct score wager that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Telmo Arcanjo to Score +510

Telmo Arcanjo (Vitória) has netted two goals in his past ten Primeira Liga away games. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +510 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Telmo Arcanjo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+510

First

+1100

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -112

There has been under 9.5 corners in three straight Vitória away games. We advise betting on the -112 that the sides won’t cover the line, with this Total Corners bet hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Tondela

Total

9.50 3.70 5.80

Home

8.25 3.00 5.25

Away

10.33 4.17 6.17

Vitória

Total

8.00 4.30 3.70

Home

10.10 6.80 3.30

Away

7.90 4.20 3.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-130

Under 9.5

-112

Tondela Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

Vitória Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-150

Most Corners

1

+138

X

+600

2

-133

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Tondela vs Vitória Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Close Game in the Eyes of the Betting Sites

Tondela are chalked up at betting odds of +175 to defeat Vitória de Guimarães, with their opponents operating at +143 with the bookmakers. If you want to back the draw, it’s available at +225 for this Primeira Liga clash.

If you think Vitória can overcome Tondela, then there’s an Asian Handicap option where the former are +106 with a -0.25 deficit. There’s half your money back in the event of a draw.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. For those anticipating both sides finding the net, then BTTS Yes might prove attractive. Alternatively, you can wager BTTS No.

No matter what Primeira Liga game is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the best football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

+175

X

+225

2

+143

Half-Time Result

1

+240

X

+116

2

+205

Double Chance

1X

-208

12

-357

X2

-270

Draw No Bet

1

-103

2

-137

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-147

2 Hcp -0.25

+106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-147

Over 2.5

+110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-120

No

-118

Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos Heads First Goalscorer Market

Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +650. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +280.

Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos (Tondela)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Gustavo da Silva Cunha (Vitória)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Jordan Siebatcheu (Tondela)

First

+310

Anytime

+600

Xabier Huarte Armendáriz (Tondela)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Yarlen Faustino Augusto (Tondela)

First

+500

Anytime

+950

Telmo Arcanjo (Vitória)

First

+510

Anytime

+1100

Benedito Mukendi (Vitória)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

João Afonso (Tondela)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Tiago Manso (Tondela)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Tony Strata (Vitória)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Sphephelo Sithole (Tondela)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Joe Hodge (Tondela)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

João Miguel Teixeira Mendes (Vitória)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Rémy Vita (Tondela)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Miguel Angelo Magalhaes (Vitória)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

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Tondela vs Vitória Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Tondela vs Vitória team news before placing your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Tondela Team Page Vitória de Guimarães Team Page