Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 May 2025

Union Should Have the Edge

Philadelphia look a good wager to defeat Toronto on the Full-Time Result market. You can secure odds of +125 that the visitors bag a win and this looks like a value proposition based on the information available.

2-1 Win for TFC in Last H2H Battle

Toronto FC lost when they were last in action. In a home game at BMO Field, they were turned over 2-1 by Nashville SC. Robin Fraser's men enjoyed 50% possession and three shots on target, with Jonathan Osorio bagging the goal.

Second-placed Philadelphia Union played Inter Miami at home in their previous game. It was a 3-3 draw at Subaru Park. The Union had just 34% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, with Tai Baribo finding the net twice and Quinn Sullivan scoring one.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toronto have not lost to Philadelphia in the past three meetings. In the last encounter, home team Toronto claimed a 2-1 win at BMO Field. The previous 10 H2H meetings have led to four wins each and two draws.

MLS		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Philadelphia	33	20	6	7	57	33	24	57:33	66
25	Toronto FC	33	5	14	14	33	42	-9	33:42	29

View Full Table

3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 7.9 attempts. TFC have had 46.9% possession and 3.0 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.8 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts, while being awarded 6.7 corners.

Federico Bernardeschi and Theodor Corbeanu are the leading goalscorers with 3, while Jonathan Osorio has 1. Lorenzo Insigne is the leading assists maker on 2.

Philadelphia have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.8 goals from 10.4 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal. Bradley Carnell's team average 43.5% possession, 5.7 corners in their favour and 4.3 corners against, while conceding 1.1 goals from 7.0 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal.

Tai Baribo has scored 7 goals, followed by Quinn Sullivan and Danley Jean Jacques on 2. Mikael Uhre has been top assists provider with 4 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Toronto FC confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Sean Johnson (GK), Henry Wingo, Zane Monlouis, Raoul Petretta, Derrick Etienne, Alonso Coello, Deybi Flores, Jonathan Osorio, Tyrese Spicer, Theodor Corbeanu, Ola Brynhildsen.

Philadelphia Union confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Andre Blake (GK), Francis Westfield, Jakob Glesnes, Nathan Harriel, Kai Wagner, Quinn Sullivan, Jesus Bueno, Jovan Lukic, Indiana Vassilev, Tai Baribo, Bruno Damiani.

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction & Betting Tips

Philadelphia are available at +125 to land a win and we think this price looks far too big. We’re anticipating that the visitors will claim a MLS victory and some nice dividends can be landed.

We’re always aware of the injuries and suspensions for each team before we decide which way to go with our football picks. The form and data also help the experts at Sportsgambler.com when it comes to a betting view on the action.

Key Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union league stats:

• Philadelphia have won 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Philadelphia have won 2 consecutive games on the road.
• TFC have lost 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• TFC have lost 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• TFC have lost their last 2 games at home.

Union to Win Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 44.4% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 50%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

If you’re anticipating a victory for Philly, then look at options to boost your price. There are several Asian Handicap lines, along with the alternative to pair this pick with the total number of goals.

Our Match Prediction

Philadelphia To Win @ +125 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toronto 0 - 1 Philadelphia

Philadelphia are available to back at +700 to secure a 1-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tai Baribo to Score +190

Tai Baribo (Philadelphia) has been among the goals in his past four MLS games. There are odds of +190 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Tai Baribo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+148

First

+390

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-303

Under 0.5

+155

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Corners Prediction

Philadelphia To Have Most Corners -109

There has been an average 6.20 corners for Philadelphia in their past 5 matches, with Toronto averaging 3.00 corners in the last 10 games. Philadelphia might come out on top in terms of corners awarded and odds of -109 make appeal.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toronto

Total

9.70 3.00 6.70

Home

9.30 3.90 5.40

Away

7.90 3.00 4.90

Philadelphia

Total

10.00 5.70 4.30

Home

9.50 6.10 3.40

Away

10.90 5.00 5.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-123

Toronto Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-156

Philadelphia Corners

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+110

Most Corners

1

+140

X

+550

2

-143

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Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest 1x2 Odds Suggest Union Victory

The Philadelphia Union betting odds are -105 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this MLS encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 51% chance of winning. Toronto FC are seen as the most unlikely winner at +260.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 bet means you need your selection to simply win. Philadelphia are -104, although Toronto are +0.5 at -120 and you win with the latter if things end in a draw.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -159.

All of the MLS games see the top betting sites go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

+260

X

+260

2

-105

Half-Time Result

1

+295

X

+133

2

+145

Double Chance

1X

-123

12

-345

X2

-345

Draw No Bet

1

+155

2

-222

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-120

2 Hcp -0.5

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+105

Over 2.5

-133

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-159

No

+114

Tai Baribo Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

There is +148 available that Tai Baribo finds the net, while he is available at +390 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Tai Baribo (Philadelphia)

First

+148

Anytime

+390

Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia)

First

+170

Anytime

+410

Chris Donovan (Philadelphia)

First

+240

Anytime

+575

Deandre Kerr (TFC)

First

+245

Anytime

+575

Mikael Uhre (Philadelphia)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

Ola Brynhildsen (TFC)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Tyrese Spicer (TFC)

First

+335

Anytime

+800

Theo Corbeanu (TFC)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Charlie Sharp (TFC)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Indiana Vassilev (Philadelphia)

First

+390

Anytime

+1050

Jonathan Osorio (TFC)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Quinn Sullivan (Philadelphia)

First

+425

Anytime

+1100

Maxime Dominguez (TFC)

First

+440

Anytime

+1050

Jovan Lukić (Philadelphia)

First

+510

Anytime

+1200

Lorenzo Insigne (TFC)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Derrick Etienne Jr. (TFC)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Danley Jean Jacques (Philadelphia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Nathan Harriel (Philadelphia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Matty Longstaff (TFC)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Richie Laryea (TFC)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Olwethu Makhanya (Philadelphia)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Tai Baribo (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

-303

Under 0.5

+155

Mikael Uhre (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-103

Chris Donovan (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-123

Deandre Kerr (TFC)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-139

Ola Brynhildsen (TFC)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-159

Charlie Sharp (TFC)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-161

Theo Corbeanu (TFC)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-185

Quinn Sullivan (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-192

Tyrese Spicer (TFC)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-204

Lorenzo Insigne (TFC)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-250

Indiana Vassilev (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-263

Derrick Etienne Jr. (TFC)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-244

Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-278

Jovan Lukić (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-294

Danley Jean Jacques (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+188

Under 0.5

-385

Nathan Harriel (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+295

Under 0.5

-769

Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Toronto vs Philadelphia team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

The MLS squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Toronto FC Team Page Philadelphia Union Team Page