Toulouse vs Lorient Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Mar 2026

Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Toulouse vs Lorient

Toulouse take on Lorient at Stadium Municipal, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Saturday 21 March.

We feel confident when it comes to wagering Lorient +0.5 on the Asian Handicap against Toulouse. Securing a price of -114 looks like the way forward and we need a win or draw here.

Toulouse won their last game. It was on the road where Metz were beaten 4-3 at Stade Saint-Symphorien. The Occitania outfit had six shots on target and 50% possession, while Yann Gboho grabbed two goals, with Aron Doennum and Mario Sauer getting one.

Lorient secured a 2-1 home win over Lens at Stade du Moustoir in their previous game. Olivier Pantaloni's team were restricted to just 34% possession and had three shots on goal, with Bamba Dieng and Aiyegun Tosin both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toulouse have not lost to Lorient in the past five meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw at Stade du Moustoir. The past 5 H2H meetings have featured three draws and two Toulouse wins.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Lorient	26	9	10	7	37	40	-3	37:40	37
11	Toulouse	26	9	7	10	37	32	5	37:32	34

View Full Table

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 14.7 attempts. Toulouse have had 47.3% possession, 431.0 passes and 5.1 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.1 corners.

Yann Gboho leads the way with 3 goals, with Julian Vignolo and Santiago Hidalgo getting 2 apiece. Aron Doennum, Santiago Hidalgo and Pape Demba Diop have recorded the most assists with 2 apiece. Meanwhile, goalkeeper Guillaume Restes has kept 2 clean sheets.

Lorient have won 5, lost 1 and drawn 4, with an average of 3.9 shots on goal, 10.9 attempts and 1.8 goals. Les Merlus average 47.3% possession, 449.9 passes, 3.3 corners awarded and 5.5 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 12.4 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Bamba Dieng on 7, followed by Pablo Pagis and Jean-Victor Makengo with 3. Arsene Kouassi and Bamo Meite have both had 2 assists, with Yvon Mvogo notching 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Toulouse predicted lineup (3-4-3): Kjetil Haug (GK), Djibril Sidibe, Mark McKenzie, Rasmus Nicolaisen, Aron Doennum, Alexis Vossah, Pape Demba Diop, Warren Kamanzi, Santiago Hidalgo, Jacen Russell-Rowe, Yann Gboho.

Lorient predicted lineup (4-4-2): Yvon Mvogo (GK), Bamo Meite, Montassar Talbi, Abdoulaye Faye, Theo Le Bris, Noah Cadiou, Arthur Avom, Arsene Kouassi, Jean-Victor Makengo, Dermane Karim, Bamba Dieng.

Toulouse vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips

Head into Toulouse vs Lorient with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, expected scoreline, top corners angle, key player props and a thoughtfully built bet builder.

Match Prediction

Lorient seem like a great wager on the Asian Handicap for this Ligue 1 encounter. Betting the visitors at +0.5 at -114 looks like the path to a return, with plenty of value in this price.

We study the Ligue 1 form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making our football predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Toulouse vs Lorient league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Lorient in 5 consecutive games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Lorient in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Lorient in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toulouse in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toulouse in 13 of their last 18 games at home.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toulouse in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toulouse in 3 of their last 5 games against Lorient.

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you’re looking for a bigger potential return on your stake, there is always the alternative to move the line. Consider the odds and whether each line can be covered.

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Our Match Prediction

Lorient Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -114 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 19, 18:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Toulouse 1 - 1 Lorient

There are odds of +430 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Yann Gboho Over 1.5 Shots -143

Yann Gboho (Toulouse) has fired over 1.5 shots in three consecutive Ligue 1 games on home soil. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Player Shots, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of -143.

Latest Yann Gboho Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+750

Shots

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

---

Jean Victor Makengo to Score +650

Jean Victor Makengo (Lorient) has netted two goals in his past five Ligue 1 games on the road. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +650 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Jean Victor Makengo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1700

Shots

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Lorient Under 3.5 Corners -147

In their past three matches, Lorient have not covered the 3.5 corners line, with Toulouse conceding 3.20 corners on average in their last 5 games. We’re going to bet on Lorient to fall short for Team Corners and this selection is available at -147.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toulouse

Total

9.20 5.10 4.10

Home

10.00 6.20 3.80

Away

9.00 4.10 4.90

Lorient

Total

8.80 3.30 5.50

Home

8.20 2.70 5.50

Away

9.10 4.20 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-135

Under 8.5

-105

Toulouse Corners

Over 5.5

+104

Under 5.5

-147

Lorient Corners

Over 3.5

+104

Under 3.5

-147

Most Corners

1

-222

X

+650

2

+220

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toulouse vs Lorient Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a roughly 52% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their -109 betting odds for Toulouse winning this Ligue 1 clash. If you’re interested in wagering Lorient, you can get +335 for the underdog.

As the name suggests, the Half-Time Result market is settled at the break. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Toulouse at +150, Lorient at +360 or the draw at +106.

A low-scoring contest will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds. For those wanting to bet on Both Teams to Score, you won’t find much between Yes and No.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Ligue 1 coupon and we recommend visiting the best betting sites to find the football wager that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

-109

X

+215

2

+335

Half-Time Result

1

+150

X

+106

2

+360

Double Chance

1X

-526

12

-313

X2

-123

Draw No Bet

1

-286

2

+190

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-109

2 Hcp +0.5

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-152

Over 2.5

+116

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-114

No

-119

Those interested in Julián Vignolo to find the net anytime can get +220, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +510.

Julián Vignolo (Toulouse)

First

+220

Anytime

+510

Emersonn Correia da Silva (Toulouse)

First

+220

Anytime

+550

Jacen Russell-Rowe (Toulouse)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Bamba Dieng (Lorient)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Santiago Hidalgo (Toulouse)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Sambou Soumano (Lorient)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Pape Diop (Toulouse)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Yann Gboho (Toulouse)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Mário Sauer (Toulouse)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Aron Dönnum (Toulouse)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Aiyegun Tosin (Lorient)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Dermane Karim (Lorient)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Alexis Vossah (Toulouse)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Jean Victor Makengo (Lorient)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Dayann Methalie (Toulouse)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Cristian Cásseres (Toulouse)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Panos Katseris (Lorient)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Theo Le Bris (Lorient)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Noah Cadiou (Lorient)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Djibril Sidibé (Toulouse)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Warren Kamanzi (Toulouse)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Julián Vignolo (Toulouse)

Over 2.5

+107

Under 2.5

-

Emersonn Correia da Silva (Toulouse)

Over 2.5

+104

Under 2.5

-

Jacen Russell-Rowe (Toulouse)

Over 2.5

+107

Under 2.5

-

Bamba Dieng (Lorient)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Santiago Hidalgo (Toulouse)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Sambou Soumano (Lorient)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Pape Diop (Toulouse)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Jean Victor Makengo (Lorient)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Dermane Karim (Lorient)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

Aron Dönnum (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

+117

Under 1.5

-

Aiyegun Tosin (Lorient)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Mário Sauer (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Yann Gboho (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Alexis Vossah (Toulouse)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Dayann Methalie (Toulouse)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-

Panos Katseris (Lorient)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Theo Le Bris (Lorient)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Noah Cadiou (Lorient)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-

Toulouse have not triumphed at Stadium Municipal in three straight matches. The Occitania outfit have four draws, three wins and three losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

Lorient have failed to win in their last three matches on their travels. Olivier Pantaloni's team have recorded four draws, four losses and two wins in the previous 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

When the sides last met at Stadium Municipal, Toulouse drew 1-1 with Lorient.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Toulouse Home Stats		3-4-3	2.20	1.30	0.90	4	6	3	7
Lorient Away Stats		2-4-4	2.50	1.00	1.50	3	7	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Toulouse vs Lorient Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Toulouse vs Lorient team news beforehand. Receive the predicted and confirmed Ligue 1 lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Toulouse Team Page Lorient Team Page

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