Toulouse vs Marseille Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Mar 2026

Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Toulouse vs Marseille

Toulouse clash with Marseille at Stadium Municipal, with kick-off set for 15:05 on Saturday 7 March.

We’ll back Toulouse +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and split our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they clash with Marseille. A victory delivers a nice payout at -111 although a draw would still mean a return.

Previous H2H Was Toulouse Penalty Shoot-out Win

Toulouse and Marseille met on Wednesday night, with Toulouse triumphing away on penalties (2-2 AET). Marseille enjoyed 63% possession, while Toulouse won the shots on target 6-3. Mason Greenwood and Igor Paixao found the net for Marseille, with Yann Gboho and Charlie Cresswell bagging the goals for Toulouse.

Looking back to the previous 10 H2H meetings, there has been four draws. Marseille have won six games and Toulouse zero.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Marseille	24	13	4	7	51	33	18	51:33	43
11	Toulouse	24	8	7	9	33	28	5	33:28	31

View Full Table

Toulouse have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 12.9 attempts. Le TéFéCé have averaged 43.7% possession, 400.0 passes and 4.8 corners per match, conceding 0.9 goals and 4.4 corners from 3.2 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts.

Top goalscorers are Santiago Hidalgo and Yann Gboho on 3 goals, while Julian Vignolo has bagged 2. Djibril Sidibe is top assists maker with 2, while goalkeeper Guillaume Restes has kept 4 clean sheets.

Marseille have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.6 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts. The Provence outfit have averaged 54.5% possession, 518.2 passes, 3.9 corners awarded and 3.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.9 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts.

Amine Gouiri and Mason Greenwood have top scored with 4, while Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is next on 3. Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg is top assists provider with 4, while Geronimo Rulli has recorded one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Toulouse predicted lineup (3-4-3): Guillaume Restes (GK), Djibril Sidibe, Charlie Cresswell, Mark McKenzie, Warren Kamanzi, Alexis Vossah, Pape Demba Diop, Dayann Methalie, Julian Vignolo, Santiago Hidalgo, Yann Gboho.

Marseille predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Geronimo Rulli (GK), Timothy Weah, Leonardo Balerdi, Nayef Aguerd, Emerson, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg, Mason Greenwood, Tochukwu Nnadi, Hamed Traore, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.

Toulouse vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips

Explore our best Toulouse vs Marseille picks, including our main match prediction, top corners bet, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

Toulouse +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. We think that the hosts have a good chance of recording a win in this Ligue 1 game and it’s therefore a confident selection at -111.

Understanding the injured players situation proves useful when assembling football picks. Once we’ve also considered the form guide, we use the latest stats and provide Ligue 1 betting predictions.

Key Toulouse vs Marseille league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Toulouse in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Toulouse in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Toulouse in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 12 of their last 19 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Toulouse in 2 consecutive games against OM.

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 52.6% chance of landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you’re in the market to boost your price for Toulouse covering the line, then think about adding this selection to a Bet Builder along with other legs that you like.

Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Toulouse Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -111 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 5, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Toulouse 1 - 0 Marseille

There’s the option to wager on Toulouse to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Odds of +750 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mason Greenwood Over 3.5 Shots -115

Mason Greenwood (OM) has covered the 3.5 shots total in three straight Ligue 1 games. If you side with our view that he can cover the Player Shots line, then you are able to secure odds of -115 for this outcome.

Latest Mason Greenwood Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+135

First

+370

Shots

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-

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Julián Vignolo to Score +300

Julián Vignolo (Toulouse) has found the net in his past two Ligue 1 matches on home soil. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +300.

Latest Julián Vignolo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+750

Shots

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 8.5 Corners +104

Each of the previous five Marseille matches have featured under 8.5 corners. We advise betting on the +104 that the sides won’t cover the line, with this Total Corners bet hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toulouse

Total

9.20 4.80 4.40

Home

9.90 5.90 4.00

Away

8.90 4.10 4.80

Marseille

Total

7.70 3.90 3.80

Home

7.70 4.70 3.00

Away

8.40 4.00 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+104

Toulouse Corners

Over 4.5

+114

Under 4.5

-161

Marseille Corners

Over 4.5

-118

Under 4.5

-120

Most Corners

1

+123

X

+600

2

-116

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toulouse vs Marseille Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Marseille are the +118 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 46% chance of triumphing in this Ligue 1 encounter according to the latest odds. Toulouse are the outsiders at +210 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

If you fancy Marseille but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -172. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Toulouse at +120 on the Draw No Bet market.

If you’re looking to bet on more than two goals, then Over 2.5 has the lowest price. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at -164.

When it comes to every Ligue 1 match, you will find hundreds of markets available. Go through the various attractive options which are available at the best football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

+210

X

+255

2

+118

Half-Time Result

1

+250

X

+125

2

+170

Double Chance

1X

-159

12

-370

X2

-294

Draw No Bet

1

+120

2

-172

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-111

2 Hcp -0.25

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-130

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-164

No

+120

Mason Greenwood is available at +135 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +370 to find the net first.

Mason Greenwood (OM)

First

+135

Anytime

+370

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

First

+170

Anytime

+440

Amine Gouiri (OM)

First

+230

Anytime

+575

Emersonn Correia da Silva (Toulouse)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Santiago Hidalgo (Toulouse)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Julián Vignolo (Toulouse)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Frank Magri (Toulouse)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Jacen Russell-Rowe (Toulouse)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Igor Paixão (OM)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Himad Abdelli (OM)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Pape Diop (Toulouse)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Ethan Nwaneri (OM)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Yann Gboho (Toulouse)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Hamed Traorè (OM)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Aron Dönnum (Toulouse)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Mário Sauer (Toulouse)

First

+460

Anytime

+1200

Quinten Timber (OM)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Charlie Cresswell (Toulouse)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (OM)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Nadir Bilal (OM)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Timothy Weah (OM)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Dayann Methalie (Toulouse)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Arthur Vermeeren (OM)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Mason Greenwood (OM)

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-

Amine Gouiri (OM)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-

Pape Diop (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Mário Sauer (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Aron Dönnum (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Hamed Traorè (OM)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Yann Gboho (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Ethan Nwaneri (OM)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Himad Abdelli (OM)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Igor Paixão (OM)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Jacen Russell-Rowe (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Julián Vignolo (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Santiago Hidalgo (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Emersonn Correia da Silva (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Charlie Cresswell (Toulouse)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (OM)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Nadir Bilal (OM)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Timothy Weah (OM)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Dayann Methalie (Toulouse)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Vermeeren (OM)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Toulouse are unbeaten over their previous three games at Stadium Municipal. Carles Martinez's team have racked up five draws, three wins and two losses in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Marseille have not won in the past three away matches. OM have recorded five victories, four defeats and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

When the teams previously met at Stadium Municipal, Marseille defeated Toulouse 3-1. We’ve seen Marseille claim four wins in the past 5 H2H meetings at Stadium Municipal, with one draw also taking place.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Toulouse Home Stats		3-5-2	2.50	1.50	1.00	5	5	4	6
Marseille Away Stats		5-1-4	3.50	1.90	1.60	7	3	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Toulouse vs Marseille Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Toulouse vs Marseille team news before betting. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for Ligue 1 along with up-to-date injury news.

Toulouse Team Page Olympique Marseille Team Page

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