Union Berlin vs Mainz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Jan 2026
Bundesliga Betting Preview: Union Berlin vs Mainz
Union Berlin take on bottom-of-the-table Mainz at Alten Foersterei, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 10 January.
Union Berlin could land the money against Mainz and we’ll take this pick on the Full-Time Result market. There are appealing odds of +110 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.
Union Berlin have won two on the spin, triumphing 1-0 in their previous game. This was on the road against FC Koln at RheinEnergieSTADION. Steffen Baumgart's side ended up with just 38% possession and had three shots on target, with a late strike from Andras Schafer proving the difference.
Mainz 05 hosted St. Pauli at MEWA Arena in their previous game, ending in a 0-0 draw. The Rhineland-Palatinate club had 53% possession and recorded one shot on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Union are unbeaten in the past eight games against Mainz. Their last clash was at Alten Foersterei, with Union claiming a 2-1 home victory. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in six Union victories and one Mainz win. There have also been three draws.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Union Berlin |
23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 29:37 | 28 |
| 13 | Mainz 05 |
23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 26:38 | 22 |
Union have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts. The Eisernen have averaged 38.9% possession, 324.4 passes and 5.5 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.2 goals from 3.1 shots on goal, 11.6 attempts and 4.7 corners.
Top goalscorer Danilho Doekhi has found the net 4 times, Rani Khedira 3, with Andras Schafer and two other players on 1. Christopher Trimmel and Andrej Ilic are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Frederik Roennow has kept 3 clean sheets.
Mainz have 6 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 9.2 attempts, 2.2 shots on goal and 0.8 goals. Urs Fischer's team average 42.7% possession, 375.4 passes, 4.2 corners in their favour and 4.3 corners against, while 2.0 goals have been conceded from 6.3 shots on goal and 15.1 attempts.
The top scorers have been Jae-Sung Lee and Nadiem Amiri on 2, with Kacper Potulski getting 1. Stefan Bell, William Boeving and Benedict Hollerbach have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Union Berlin confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Frederik Roennow (GK), Danilho Doekhi, Leopold Querfeld, Diogo Leite, Janik Haberer, Rani Khedira, Aljoscha Kemlein, Derrick Koehn, Oliver Burke, Livan Burcu, Andrej Ilic.
Mainz confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Daniel Batz (GK), Danny da Costa, Stefan Bell, Dominik Kohr, Silvan Widmer, Jae-Sung Lee, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Nikolas Veratschnig, Benedict Hollerbach, Phillip Tietz.
Union Berlin vs Mainz Prediction & Betting Tips
Get set for Union Berlin vs Mainz with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top corners play, player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.
Match Prediction
There’s every chance that Union Berlin can get the upper hand in this Bundesliga game and we’ll therefore back the hosts to claim a victory. The match winner odds of +110 look too good to resist.
Injuries and suspensions are taken into account by the Bundesliga experts at Sportsgambler.com. Our football betting tips are also shaped by the latest form, with the stats playing a big part before predictions are made.
Key Union Berlin vs Mainz league stats:
The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 47.6% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 50-55%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
Those who are looking for bigger odds when backing Union should consider the Asian Handicap. Place a wager on them to cover the line that makes the most appeal.
Our user-friendly bonus guide highlights the newest betting offers, free bets, and sign-up deals in one spot.
Correct Score Prediction
We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +575 and it involves Union Berlin winning 1-0. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.
Player Prop Picks
Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz) hasn’t managed a shot on goal in six straight Bundesliga matches. There’s plenty of evidence that he will go under the line and you can secure odds of -139 for this Shots on Target bet.
Danilho Doekhi (Union) has racked up four goals in his past five Bundesliga home games. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +500 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered in five straight Union Berlin home matches, with the previous five Mainz games averaging 10.80 corners. The amount of corners might be larger than the line implies and that means a bet at odds of -114.
Union Berlin
Mainz
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
There’s everything to like about this same-game multi including Union Berlin to win, two or less goals to be registered along with no shots on target from Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz).
It’s now possible to place a bet builder on each individual football game. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Union Berlin vs Mainz Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a 47% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Union Berlin are favourites to prosper in this Bundesliga encounter and they’re available at +114 with the bookies. For those wanting to back Mainz 05, you will find +265 about this outsider.
If you fancy Union to win, then the -120 for them on the Asian Handicap -0.25 is a potential wager. You get a full payout if they beat Mainz and half your stake back if it ends in a draw.
The Total Goals price implies that Under 2.5 is the most likely result in this contest. The latest Both Teams to Score betting suggests that there’s exactly the same chance of BTTS Yes and No happening, with -115 available.
Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Bundesliga games, with the best football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.
There’s the chance to back Ilyas Ansah at +450 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.
Union have recorded four victories, three draws and three defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.50.
Mainz have gone without an away win in the last five games. The Rhineland-Palatinate club have clocked up six losses, two wins and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 2.10.
When the sides last met at Alten Foersterei, Union beat Mainz 2-1. Aside from one draw, Union have dominated the previous 6 H2H matches at Alten Foersterei with five wins.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Union Berlin Home Stats |
4-3-3 | 3.10 | 1.60 | 1.50 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 2 | |
Mainz Away Stats |
2-2-6 | 3.30 | 1.20 | 2.10 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Bundesliga: 19/01 2025 Union Berlin 2 Mainz 1
- Bundesliga: 24/08 2024 Mainz 1 Union Berlin 1
- Bundesliga: 07/02 2024 Mainz 1 Union Berlin 1
- Bundesliga: 20/08 2023 Union Berlin 4 Mainz 1
- Bundesliga: 04/02 2023 Union Berlin 2 Mainz 1
- Bundesliga: 14/08 2022 Mainz 0 Union Berlin 0
- Bundesliga: 26/02 2022 Union Berlin 3 Mainz 1
- Bundesliga: 03/10 2021 Mainz 1 Union Berlin 2
- Bundesliga: 06/02 2021 Mainz 1 Union Berlin 0
- Bundesliga: 02/10 2020 Union Berlin 4 Mainz 0
Union Berlin League Stats
Mainz League Stats
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 38.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 37.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 42.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Union Berlin this season are Ilyas Ansah (5), Danilho Doekhi (4), Oliver Burke (4)
- Top Assistors for Union Berlin this season are Andrej Ilic (6), Christopher Trimmel (2), Ilyas Ansah (1)
Union Berlin vs Mainz Lineups & Team News
Be smart with your bets — check the Union vs Mainz team news beforehand. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga along with up-to-date injury news.
Union Berlin Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Mainz 05 Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Union Berlin Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Mainz 05 Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Union Berlin Substitutes
- 10Ilyas Ansah
- 11Woo-Yeong Jeong
- 13Andras Schafer
- 18Josip Juranovic
- 27Marin Ljubicic
- 28Christopher Trimmel
- 31Matheo Raab
- 33Alex Kral
- 34Stanley N'Soki
Mainz 05 Substitutes
- 1Lasse Riess
- 8Paul Nebel
- 9Arnaud Nordin
- 11Armindo Sieb
- 14William Boeving
- 15Lennard Maloney
- 24Sota Kawasaki
- 44Nelson Weiper
- 48Kacper Potulski
Previous Union Berlin Lineups
Previous Mainz Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Union Berlin Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Steffen Baumgart
Mainz Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 85:21 | 60 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 49:22 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 49:30 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 44:32 | 43 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 44:32 | 41 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 43:28 | 39 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 34:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 46:49 | 31 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:37 | 28 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 28:41 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 25:32 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Koln | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 33:39 | 24 |
| 13 | Mainz 05 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26:38 | 22 |
| 14 | B. M'gladbach | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26:39 | 22 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 33:49 | 20 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 22:40 | 20 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:44 | 19 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 22:51 | 14 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 48:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 26:8 | 29 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 17:12 | 26 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 27:13 | 24 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27:17 | 23 |
| 7 | Leverkusen | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24:10 | 22 |
| 8 | Hamburger SV | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 19 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 10 | Frankfurt | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:18 | 17 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:17 | 17 |
| 12 | FC Koln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:19 | 15 |
| 13 | St. Pauli | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:21 | 13 |
| 16 | B. M'gladbach | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:27 | 10 |
| 18 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 19:26 | 9 |
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