Louisville vs North Carolina Prediction, Picks & Odds | 23 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Louisville vs North Carolina

The Louisville Cardinals battle the North Carolina Tar Heels, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Monday, February 23.

We’re not convinced Louisville and North Carolina are cumulatively going to produce enough points in relation to the total line. Therefore, we’re aiming to go Under 162.5 at -105.

Louisville Cardinals won their previous game, beating Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at home. It was a 87-70 win.

North Carolina Tar Heels won their last game 77-64. This was a road victory against Syracuse Orange.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 83-70 win for Louisville when they last played North Carolina. In the past 10 games between the teams, North Carolina have won seven.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
North Carolina	24-8	2553	2282	271	19-1	5-7	2L
Louisville	23-10	2797	2382	415	16-2	7-8	1L

View Full Standings

Louisville vs North Carolina Prediction & Picks

Get ahead of the game with our Louisville vs North Carolina betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’ve identified a betting angle for this college matchup on the totals. Our pick is Under 162.5 points which can currently be backed at odds of -105.

The college hoops handicappers at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any basketball picks. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our predictions.

Key Louisville vs North Carolina stats:

• The 162.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Louisville games on the road.
• The 162.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Louisville games.
• The 162.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 UNC games.
• The 162.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 UNC games at home.
• The 162.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 UNC games at home.
• The 162.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

Under 162.5 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this college basketball bet.

The top sportsbooks will allow you to shoot for bigger odds on your Under wager. By moving the line and going for a lower Total, there’s the chance to get more juice.

Before you place your bets, explore our updated guide packed with the latest free bets and betting bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Under 162.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 22, 23:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Seth Trimble Under 1.5 Assists +128

Seth Trimble (North Carolina) is available at +128 to total Under 1.5 assists. There are a number of reasons that suggest he will fall short of the Player Assists line, making this an appealing wager.

Latest Seth Trimble Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-111

Under 14.5

-116

Assists

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

+128

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

+108

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Ryan Conwell Under 17.5 Points -110

Ryan Conwell (Louisville) can be wagered to record Under 17.5 points at -110. Should you agree with our verdict that he doesn’t reach this total, you can go under the line.

Latest Ryan Conwell Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 18.5

+103

Under 18.5

-133

Assists

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-114

Rebounds

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-154

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Louisville 78 - 77 North Carolina

We’ll roll the dice and go for Louisville to register a 78-77 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the massive odds.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Louisville vs North Carolina Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Louisville are -192 favorites and that means a 66% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +158 about North Carolina.

3.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 162.5 right now. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 162.5 at -110.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college hoops matchup, visit the top basketball betting sites and check out the many available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Louisville

-192

UNC

+158

Point Spread

Louisville -3.5

-122

UNC +3.5

-100

Total Points

Under 162.5

-110

Over 162.5

-110

The favorite to land the most baskets is Mikel Brown Jr.. Odds of -103 can be found for him scoring Over 21.5 points and there is -125 for him to go Under.

Mikel Brown Jr. (Louisville)

Over 21.5

-103

Under 21.5

-125

Henri Veesaar (UNC)

Over 19.5

+122

Under 19.5

-159

Ryan Conwell (Louisville)

Over 18.5

+103

Under 18.5

-133

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 14.5

-111

Under 14.5

-116

Luka Bogavac (UNC)

Over 12.5

+103

Under 12.5

-133

J'Vonne Hadley (Louisville)

Over 11.5

-105

Under 11.5

-123

Isaac McKneely (Louisville)

Over 9.5

-109

Under 9.5

-119

Sananda Fru (Louisville)

Over 8.5

-103

Under 8.5

-125

Mikel Brown Jr. (Louisville)

Over 3.5

-182

Under 3.5

+139

Ryan Conwell (Louisville)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-114

Luka Bogavac (UNC)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-185

Henri Veesaar (UNC)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

+128

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

+128

Henri Veesaar (UNC)

Over 9.5

+112

Under 9.5

-145

J'Vonne Hadley (Louisville)

Over 6.5

+144

Under 6.5

-189

Sananda Fru (Louisville)

Over 6.5

-112

Under 6.5

-115

Ryan Conwell (Louisville)

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-154

Mikel Brown Jr. (Louisville)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-112

Seth Trimble (UNC)

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

+108

Luka Bogavac (UNC)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-143

Isaac McKneely (Louisville)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college basketball and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Louisville Stats

North Carolina Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 160.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 159.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 162.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 162.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 86.10 pts and allowed 74.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.20 pts and allowed 78.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 149.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 162.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 162.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.30 pts and allowed 73.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.10 pts and allowed 66.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	32-2	2798	2147	651	21-0	11-2	11W
Virginia	29-5	2742	2326	416	19-1	10-4	1L
Miami	25-8	2704	2349	355	16-4	9-4	1L
North Carolina	24-8	2553	2282	271	19-1	5-7	2L
Clemson	24-10	2521	2269	252	16-3	8-7	1L
Louisville	23-10	2797	2382	415	16-2	7-8	1L
California	21-11	2492	2344	148	17-4	4-7	2L
Stanford	20-12	2431	2326	105	12-7	8-5	1L
NC State	20-13	2762	2525	237	13-7	7-6	1L
SMU	20-13	2779	2561	218	17-3	3-10	1L
Virginia Tech	19-13	2521	2396	125	15-4	4-9	2L
Florida State	18-15	2652	2572	80	12-8	6-7	1L
Wake Forest	17-16	2602	2543	59	12-6	5-10	1L
Syracuse	15-17	2400	2376	24	12-6	3-11	6L
Notre Dame	13-18	2308	2335	-27	11-7	2-11	2L
Pittsburgh	13-20	2327	2370	-43	8-10	5-10	1L
Boston College	11-20	2090	2191	-101	10-10	1-10	1W
Georgia Tech	11-20	2287	2400	-113	10-10	1-10	12L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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