Vasco da Gama vs Vitória Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Vasco da Gama vs Vitória

Vasco da Gama host Vitória in this Brazilian Série A fixture, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Vitória To Have No Joy

We’re heading to the Full-Time Result market and selecting Vasco da Gama to land a victory, with odds of -152 looking generous. We think they should be able to overcome Vitória over ninety minutes.

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Vitória Won 2-1 When Teams Last Met

Vasco da Gama have enjoyed two successive Série A home victories. They were defeated by Palmeiras in their last league game, losing 3-0 on the road. Fernando Diniz's side boasted 63% possession and recorded three shots on target.

Vitória have lost four consecutive games on the road. The previous contest saw a 1-0 home triumph against Ceará. Barra's Lion were restricted to 40% possession and had two shots on goal, with Ze Marcos on target in the 19th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 2-1 home victory for Vitória when they last faced Vasco. There have been three Vasco triumphs and two Vitória wins in the previous 5 games involving these sides.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Vasco da Gama	26	8	6	12	38	38	0	38:38	30
17	Vitória	26	5	10	11	21	38	-17	21:38	25

View Full Table

Vasco have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 10.7 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal. The Rio de Janeiro club have averaged 58.0% possession and 4.4 corners per game, conceding 1.5 goals and 4.7 corners from 9.9 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

Top goalscorer Philippe Coutinho has found the net 5 times, with Rayan and Pablo Vegetti scoring 4 and 3 respectively. Nuno Moreira has made the most assists with 4.

Vitória have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.8 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 44.3% possession, 4.2 corners taken and 4.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.1 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts.

Renato Kayzer has landed 3 goals, Erick 2, with Ze Marcos and two others scoring 1. Lucas Halter, Osvaldo and Aitor Cantalapiedra have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Vasco da Gama predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Léo Jardim (GK), Paulo Henrique, Hugo Moura, Robert Renan, José Luis Rodríguez, Tchê Tchê, Cauan Barros, Rayan Vitor, Philippe Coutinho, Nuno Moreira, Pablo Vegetti.

Vitória predicted lineup (3-5-2): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Camutanga, Lucas Halter, Zé Marcos, Raúl Cáceres, Gabriel Baralhas, Ronald, Aitor Cantalapiedra, Maykon Jesus, Erick, Renato Kayzer.

Vasco da Gama vs Vitória Prediction & Betting Tips

Make the most of Vasco da Gama vs Vitória with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, corners advice, key player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

It could be beneficial to back Vasco da Gama for this Série A clash. There’s loads of value in the -152 that the home team get the job done and we think a victory could be on the cards.

We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football tipsters also studying the latest Série A form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable predictions ahead of the action.

Key Vasco da Gama vs Vitória league stats:

• Vasco have won 2 consecutive games at home.
• Vitória have lost their last 4 games on the road.
• Vitória have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Vasco have won 3 of their last 5 games against Vitória.

Vasco to Win Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 60.2% likelihood of our pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

The Asian Handicap provides you with the chance to get more juice on your wagers. You can move the line for Vasco and choose the odds to suit you.

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Our Match Prediction

Vasco To Win @ -152 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Vasco 2 - 0 Vitória

Vasco are available to back at +575 to secure a 2-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pablo Vegetti Under 1.5 Shots On Target -154

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco) can be backed to fail to cover the shots on goal line at -154. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.

Latest Pablo Vegetti Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+114

First

+300

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-154

Shots

Over 4.5

+108

Under 4.5

-

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Philippe Coutinho to Score +290

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco) has netted five goals in his past ten Série A matches. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +290 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Philippe Coutinho Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

+102

Shots

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -102

It has now been five straight Vitória away matches where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, while we’ve seen an average of 8.00 corners in the last five Vasco da Gama games. We can use these numbers for our gain, with odds of -102 that the sides fall short when it comes to the Total Corners line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vasco

Total

9.10 4.40 4.70

Home

11.10 5.60 5.50

Away

8.90 4.00 4.90

Vitória

Total

8.60 4.20 4.40

Home

10.60 5.70 4.90

Away

8.20 4.00 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-141

Under 9.5

-102

Vasco Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Vitória Corners

Over 3.5

-163

Under 3.5

+120

Most Corners

1

-208

X

+700

2

+230

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Vasco da Gama vs Vitória Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Vasco Favourites to Win According to Bookies

For this Série A encounter, the bookmakers have Vasco da Gama as the -152 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 60% chance of triumphing. If you’re interested in wagering Vitória, you can get +425 for the underdog.

Betting Vasco -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at -115 means splitting stake between -0.5 and -1.0. Therefore, a one-goal win over Vitória means a win and a push, with a 2+ goal victory meaning a full payout.

Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. If you anticipate that a minimum of one side can manage a clean sheet, you might want to take the -149 about Both Teams to Score No.

The top sports betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Série A game. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.

Full-Time Result

1

-152

X

+270

2

+425

Half-Time Result

1

+125

X

+120

2

+420

Double Chance

1X

-667

12

-400

X2

+110

Draw No Bet

1

-400

2

+260

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-115

2 Hcp +0.75

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-143

Over 2.5

+112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+105

No

-149

Pablo Vegetti Favourite to Find the Net First

Those interested in favourite Pablo Vegetti to find the net first can get +300, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +114.

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

First

+114

Anytime

+300

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco)

First

+290

Anytime

+600

Rayan Vitor (Vasco)

First

+290

Anytime

+575

Romarinho da Silva (Vitória)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Matheus França (Vasco)

First

+380

Anytime

+750

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Nuno Moreira (Vasco)

First

+410

Anytime

+850

Guilherme Estrella de Paiva (Vasco)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Matheus Paulo "Matheuzinho" (Vitória)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Cauan Lucas Barros da Luz (Vasco)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Mateus Carvalho dos Santos (Vasco)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Osvaldo Filho (Vitória)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Paulo Henrique (Vasco)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

José Rodríguez (Vasco)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Ronald dos Santos Lopes (Vitória)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Carlos Cuesta (Vasco)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Lucas Braga (Vitória)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Rayan Vitor (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+120

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

+102

Romarinho da Silva (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-109

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-125

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-154

Matheus França (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-152

Nuno Moreira (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-179

Matheus Paulo "Matheuzinho" (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-204

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-250

Osvaldo Filho (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Guilherme Estrella de Paiva (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-250

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Mateus Carvalho dos Santos (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-357

Cauan Lucas Barros da Luz (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-370

Ronald dos Santos Lopes (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-417

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Paulo Henrique (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-625

José Rodríguez (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Lucas Braga (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Carlos Cuesta (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-1000

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

Over 4.5

+108

Under 4.5

-

Rayan Vitor (Vasco)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Romarinho da Silva (Vitória)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

Nuno Moreira (Vasco)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Matheus Paulo "Matheuzinho" (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Osvaldo Filho (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

José Rodríguez (Vasco)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Cauan Lucas Barros da Luz (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Paulo Henrique (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

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Vasco da Gama vs Vitória Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Vasco vs Vitória before making your bets. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for Série A along with up-to-date injury news.

Vasco da Gama Team Page Vitória Team Page