Vasco da Gama vs Vitória Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Vasco da Gama vs Vitória

Vasco da Gama host Vitória in this Brazilian Série A fixture, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re heading to the Full-Time Result market and selecting Vasco da Gama to land a victory, with odds of -152 looking generous. We think they should be able to overcome Vitória over ninety minutes.

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Vasco da Gama have enjoyed two successive Série A home victories. They were defeated by Palmeiras in their last league game, losing 3-0 on the road. Fernando Diniz's side boasted 63% possession and recorded three shots on target.

Vitória have lost four consecutive games on the road. The previous contest saw a 1-0 home triumph against Ceará. Barra's Lion were restricted to 40% possession and had two shots on goal, with Ze Marcos on target in the 19th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 2-1 home victory for Vitória when they last faced Vasco. There have been three Vasco triumphs and two Vitória wins in the previous 5 games involving these sides.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	Vasco da Gama	33	12	6	15	50	49	1	50:49	42
17	Vitória	33	8	11	14	29	47	-18	29:47	35

View Full Table

Vasco have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 10.7 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal. The Rio de Janeiro club have averaged 58.0% possession and 4.4 corners per game, conceding 1.5 goals and 4.7 corners from 9.9 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

Top goalscorer Philippe Coutinho has found the net 5 times, with Rayan and Pablo Vegetti scoring 4 and 3 respectively. Nuno Moreira has made the most assists with 4.

Vitória have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.8 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 44.3% possession, 4.2 corners taken and 4.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.1 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts.

Renato Kayzer has landed 3 goals, Erick 2, with Ze Marcos and two others scoring 1. Lucas Halter, Osvaldo and Aitor Cantalapiedra have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Vasco da Gama confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Leo Jardim (GK), Paulo Henrique, Hugo Moura, Robert Renan, Jose Rodriguez, Tche Tche, Philippe Coutinho, Cauan Barros, Rayan, Pablo Vegetti, Nuno Moreira.

Vitória confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Raul Caceres, Lucas Halter, Camutanga, Ze Marcos, Maykon Jesus, Gabriel Baralhas, Aitor Cantalapiedra, Ronald, Erick, Renato Kayzer.

Vasco da Gama vs Vitória Prediction & Betting Tips

Make the most of Vasco da Gama vs Vitória with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, corners advice, key player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

It could be beneficial to back Vasco da Gama for this Série A clash. There’s loads of value in the -152 that the home team get the job done and we think a victory could be on the cards.

We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football tipsters also studying the latest Série A form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable predictions ahead of the action.

Key Vasco da Gama vs Vitória league stats:

• Vasco have won 2 consecutive games at home.
• Vitória have lost their last 4 games on the road.
• Vitória have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Vasco have won 3 of their last 5 games against Vitória.

According to the odds, there’s a 60.2% likelihood of our pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

The Asian Handicap provides you with the chance to get more juice on your wagers. You can move the line for Vasco and choose the odds to suit you.

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Our Match Prediction

Vasco To Win @ -152 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Vasco 2 - 0 Vitória

Vasco are available to back at +575 to secure a 2-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pablo Vegetti Under 1.5 Shots On Target -154

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco) can be backed to fail to cover the shots on goal line at -154. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.

Latest Pablo Vegetti Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+112

First

+310

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-204

Shots

Over 3.5

+123

Under 3.5

-

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Philippe Coutinho to Score +290

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco) has netted five goals in his past ten Série A matches. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +290 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Philippe Coutinho Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+275

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-103

Shots

Over 2.5

+114

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -102

It has now been five straight Vitória away matches where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, while we’ve seen an average of 8.00 corners in the last five Vasco da Gama games. We can use these numbers for our gain, with odds of -102 that the sides fall short when it comes to the Total Corners line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vasco

Total

9.10 4.40 4.70

Home

11.10 5.60 5.50

Away

8.90 4.00 4.90

Vitória

Total

8.60 4.20 4.40

Home

10.60 5.70 4.90

Away

8.20 4.00 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-118

Vasco Corners

Over 5.5

-115

Under 5.5

-120

Vitória Corners

Over 3.5

-135

Under 3.5

-103

Most Corners

1

-204

X

+700

2

+220

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Vasco da Gama vs Vitória Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

For this Série A encounter, the bookmakers have Vasco da Gama as the -149 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 60% chance of triumphing. If you’re interested in wagering Vitória, you can get +400 for the underdog.

Betting Vasco -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at -114 means splitting stake between -0.5 and -1.0. Therefore, a one-goal win over Vitória means a win and a push, with a 2+ goal victory meaning a full payout.

Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. If you anticipate that a minimum of one side can manage a clean sheet, you might want to take the -135 about Both Teams to Score No.

The top sports betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Série A game. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.

Full-Time Result

1

-149

X

+280

2

+400

Half-Time Result

1

+125

X

+123

2

+410

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-417

X2

+108

Draw No Bet

1

-370

2

+250

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-114

2 Hcp +0.75

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-130

Over 2.5

-100

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-105

No

-135

Those interested in favourite Pablo Vegetti to find the net first can get +310, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +112.

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

First

+112

Anytime

+310

Rayan Vitor (Vasco)

First

+270

Anytime

+600

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco)

First

+275

Anytime

+650

Romarinho da Silva (Vitória)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Matheus França (Vasco)

First

+380

Anytime

+750

Nuno Moreira (Vasco)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Guilherme Estrella de Paiva (Vasco)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Matheus Paulo "Matheuzinho" (Vitória)

First

+510

Anytime

+1100

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Cauan Lucas Barros da Luz (Vasco)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Mateus Carvalho dos Santos (Vasco)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Osvaldo Filho (Vitória)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Paulo Henrique (Vasco)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

José Rodríguez (Vasco)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Ronald dos Santos Lopes (Vitória)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Lucas Braga (Vitória)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Carlos Cuesta (Vasco)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Rayan Vitor (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+116

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-103

Romarinho da Silva (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-108

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-130

Matheus França (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-152

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-204

Matheus Paulo "Matheuzinho" (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-192

Nuno Moreira (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-238

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-270

Osvaldo Filho (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Guilherme Estrella de Paiva (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-278

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Mateus Carvalho dos Santos (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-417

Ronald dos Santos Lopes (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-500

Cauan Lucas Barros da Luz (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-556

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Lucas Braga (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-588

José Rodríguez (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Paulo Henrique (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Carlos Cuesta (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-1000

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

Over 3.5

+123

Under 3.5

-

Rayan Vitor (Vasco)

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco)

Over 2.5

+114

Under 2.5

-

Romarinho da Silva (Vitória)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

Nuno Moreira (Vasco)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Matheus Paulo "Matheuzinho" (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Osvaldo Filho (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Cauan Lucas Barros da Luz (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Paulo Henrique (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

José Rodríguez (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Ronald dos Santos Lopes (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Vasco da Gama vs Vitória Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Vasco vs Vitória before making your bets. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for Série A along with up-to-date injury news.

Vasco da Gama Team Page Vitória Team Page

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