Vasco da Gama vs Vitória Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025
Série A Betting Preview: Vasco da Gama vs Vitória
Vasco da Gama host Vitória in this Brazilian Série A fixture, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
We’re heading to the Full-Time Result market and selecting Vasco da Gama to land a victory, with odds of -152 looking generous. We think they should be able to overcome Vitória over ninety minutes.
Vasco da Gama have enjoyed two successive Série A home victories. They were defeated by Palmeiras in their last league game, losing 3-0 on the road. Fernando Diniz's side boasted 63% possession and recorded three shots on target.
Vitória have lost four consecutive games on the road. The previous contest saw a 1-0 home triumph against Ceará. Barra's Lion were restricted to 40% possession and had two shots on goal, with Ze Marcos on target in the 19th minute.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 2-1 home victory for Vitória when they last faced Vasco. There have been three Vasco triumphs and two Vitória wins in the previous 5 games involving these sides.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |  Vitória |
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25:37 | 32 |
| 17 |  Vasco da Gama |
25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 27:40 | 25 |
Vasco have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 10.7 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal. The Rio de Janeiro club have averaged 58.0% possession and 4.4 corners per game, conceding 1.5 goals and 4.7 corners from 9.9 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.
Top goalscorer Philippe Coutinho has found the net 5 times, with Rayan and Pablo Vegetti scoring 4 and 3 respectively. Nuno Moreira has made the most assists with 4.
Vitória have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.8 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 44.3% possession, 4.2 corners taken and 4.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.1 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts.
Renato Kayzer has landed 3 goals, Erick 2, with Ze Marcos and two others scoring 1. Lucas Halter, Osvaldo and Aitor Cantalapiedra have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Vasco da Gama confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Leo Jardim (GK), Paulo Henrique, Hugo Moura, Robert Renan, Jose Rodriguez, Tche Tche, Philippe Coutinho, Cauan Barros, Rayan, Pablo Vegetti, Nuno Moreira.
Vitória confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Raul Caceres, Lucas Halter, Camutanga, Ze Marcos, Maykon Jesus, Gabriel Baralhas, Aitor Cantalapiedra, Ronald, Erick Serafim, Renato Kayzer.
Vasco da Gama vs Vitória Prediction & Betting Tips
Head into Vasco da Gama vs Vitória with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a thoughtfully built bet builder.
Match Prediction
It could be beneficial to back Vasco da Gama for this Série A clash. There’s loads of value in the -152 that the home team get the job done and we think a victory could be on the cards.
We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football tipsters also studying the latest Série A form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable predictions ahead of the action.
Key Vasco da Gama vs Vitória league stats:
According to the odds, there’s a 60.2% likelihood of our pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
The Asian Handicap provides you with the chance to get more juice on your wagers. You can move the line for Vasco and choose the odds to suit you.
Get rewarded from the start. Our comprehensive guide rounds up the latest and best welcome bonuses on offer today.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
Vitória
Vasco are available to back at +575 to secure a 2-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.
Player Prop Picks
Pablo Vegetti (Vasco) can be backed to fail to cover the shots on goal line at -154. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.
Philippe Coutinho (Vasco) has netted five goals in his past ten Série A matches. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +290 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you fancy a bet builder, then why not take Vasco da Gama to come out on top, No on the BTTS market accompanied by under 9.5 corners to be awarded.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Vasco da Gama vs Vitória Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
For this Série A encounter, the bookmakers have Vasco da Gama as the -149 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 60% chance of triumphing. If you’re interested in wagering Vitória, you can get +400 for the underdog.
Betting Vasco -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at -114 means splitting stake between -0.5 and -1.0. Therefore, a one-goal win over Vitória means a win and a push, with a 2+ goal victory meaning a full payout.
Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. If you anticipate that a minimum of one side can manage a clean sheet, you might want to take the -135 about Both Teams to Score No.
The top sports betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Série A game. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.
Those interested in favourite Pablo Vegetti to find the net first can get +310, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +112.
- Série A: 17/07 2026 Vitória 1 Vasco da Gama 0
- Série A: 05/10 2025 Vasco da Gama 4 Vitória 3
- Série A: 10/05 2025 Vitória 2 Vasco da Gama 1
- Série A: 01/09 2024 Vitória 0 Vasco da Gama 1
- Série A: 12/05 2024 Vasco da Gama 2 Vitória 1
- Série B: 11/11 2021 Vasco da Gama 0 Vitória 3
- Série B: 08/08 2021 Vitória 0 Vasco da Gama 1
Vasco da Gama League Stats
Vitória League Stats
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 7 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.63 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 8 matches
- An average of 4.38 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 8 home matches
- An average of 8.63 corners awarded in the last 8 matches
- An average of 7.88 corners awarded in the last 8 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 8 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 8 home matches
- An average of 5.25 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 8 matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 8 away matches
- An average of 9.75 corners awarded in the last 8 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 8 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 8 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 5 of the last 8 away matches
- An average of 54.88% possession in the last 8 matches
- An average of 57.00% possession in the last 8 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 8 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 8 home matches
Vasco da Gama vs Vitória Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for Vasco vs Vitória before making your bets. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for Série A along with up-to-date injury news.
Vasco da Gama Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Vitória Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Vasco da Gama Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Vitória Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Vasco da Gama Substitutes
- 6Lucas Piton
- 7David
- 9Matheus Franca
- 11Andres Gomez
- 12Victor Luis
- 13Daniel Fuzato
- 15Benjamin Garre
- 18Paulinho
- 19GB
- 29Lucas Oliveira
- 43Lucas Freitas
- 85Mateus Cocao
Vitória Substitutes
- 2Claudinho
- 6Pepe
- 7Romarinho
- 10Matheuzinho
- 11Osvaldo
- 12Thiago Couto
- 19Kike Saverio
- 21Dudu
- 29Willian
- 50Paulo
- 77Neris
- 99Carlinhos
Previous Vasco da Gama Lineups
Previous Vitória Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Vasco da Gama Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Pedro Emanuel
Vitória Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51:21 | 54 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 45:21 | 53 |
| 3 | Athletico PR | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 40:32 | 45 |
| 5 | Bahia | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40:32 | 43 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | 38 |
| 8 | Atlético MG | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32:30 | 36 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31:28 | 35 |
| 10 | São Paulo | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 31:28 | 33 |
| 11 | Vitória | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:37 | 32 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:27 | 32 |
| 13 | Santos | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | 32 |
| 14 | Botafogo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 37:40 | 31 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 27:33 | 28 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:40 | 28 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 27:40 | 25 |
| 18 | Internacional | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 28:34 | 25 |
| 19 | Remo | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 30:43 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 27:50 | 17 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fluminense | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:14 | 33 |
| 2 | Athletico PR | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 3 | Vitória | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 17:9 | 28 |
| 4 | Flamengo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:8 | 27 |
| 5 | Palmeiras | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21:9 | 27 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:16 | 25 |
| 7 | São Paulo | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:10 | 24 |
| 8 | Grêmio | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 9 | Atlético MG | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:14 | 22 |
| 10 | Bahia | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20:13 | 21 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:14 | 20 |
| 12 | Vasco da Gama | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 13 | Santos | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:19 | 19 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14:13 | 18 |
| 17 | Botafogo | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20:17 | 17 |
| 18 | Remo | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 19 | Internacional | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17:27 | 11 |
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