Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Aug 2025

Primera División Betting Preview: Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente

Vélez Sarsfield host Independiente in this Argentine Primera División match, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Saturday 16 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Find Out Our Best Asian Handicap Bet

Vélez Sarsfield at 0.0 look like an attractive bet on the Asian Handicap when they meet Independiente. Backing the hosts at -120 means a nice payout if they win and our stake returned if they only draw the game.

Ready to follow our Asian Handicap pick? Claim the current bet365 promo code and learn more about the site in our expert review before you decide where to put your money.

Teams’ Last Battle Saw 3-0 Independiente Victory

Vélez Sarsfield suffered a defeat in their last Primera División game. A 1-0 scoreline occurred on the road against San Lorenzo. El Fortín enjoyed 59% of possession although they couldn’t manage a single shot on target.

On Tuesday night, Vélez travelled to Fortaleza and drew 0-0 in the Copa Libertadores.

Independiente played River Plate at home in their previous Primera División game. It was a 0-0 draw. Julio Vaccari's side recorded four shots on goal and had 51% possession.

The last outing involving Independiente saw them lose 1-0 when hosting Universidad de Chile in the Copa Sudamericana.

Head-to-Head Statistics

When these two teams last met, Independiente claimed a home win. Beating Vélez by a 3-0 scoreline. The previous 9 H2H games have featured four draws, three victories for Independiente and two wins for Vélez.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Independiente	16	8	5	3	23	12	11	23:12	29
28	Vélez Sarsfield	16	4	2	10	7	22	-15	7:22	14

View Full Table

Vélez have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 5.9 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal. Guillermo Barros Schelotto's team have averaged 53.3% possession and 4.4 corners per game, conceding 1.0 goals and 4.3 corners from 9.7 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Top goalscorers Maher Carrizo and Braian Romero have found the net 2 times, with Tomas Galvan scoring 1. Agustin Bouzat is the top assists maker on 2.

Independiente have 2 victories, 5 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 8.6 attempts, 3.4 shots on goal and 1.0 goals. Los Diablos Rojos average 62.8% possession, 5.0 corners in their favour and 3.9 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 3.3 shots on goal and 7.3 attempts.

We’ve seen Nicolas Freire, Gabriel Avalos, Felipe Loyola, Alvaro Angulo and Santiago Gabriel Montiel score 1 goals each. Santiago Gabriel Montiel, Leonardo Godoy and Federico Mancuello have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Vélez Sarsfield predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Tomás Marchiori (GK), Jano Gordon, Emanuel Mammana, Lisandro Magallan, Elias Gomez, Claudio Baeza, Rodrigo Aliendro, Maher Carrizo, Tomás Galván, Imanol Machuca, Braian Romero.

Independiente predicted lineup (4-3-3): Rodrigo Rey (GK), Federico Vera, Kevin Lomonaco, Nicolas Freire, Facundo Zabala, Felipe Loyola, Rodrigo Fernández, Luciano Cabral, Walter Mazzantti, Gabriel Ávalos, Santiago Montiel.

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve lined up expert Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to corners betting insight, best player prop picks and bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Match Prediction

Vélez Sarsfield are available at odds of -120 and that can be taken with confidence when it comes to Asian Handicap 0.0 for this Primera División game. We believe the home team can claim a victory.

The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a Primera División verdict is reached.

Key Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente league stats:

• The -0.25 line has been covered by Vélez in 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Vélez 0.0 Probability

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 54.6% chance of landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you want a different wager to the Asian Handicap, then Winning Margin provides an exciting alternative. That’s especially if you have a view on the performance of Vélez.

Get the most from your next wager. Check our expert guide filled with the best free bets and top bonus offers.

Our Match Prediction

Vélez Asian Hcp 0.0 @ -120 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Vélez 1 - 0 Independiente

We’re taking a chance on Vélez to achieve a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +510 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Gabriel Ávalos Over 0.5 Shots On Target -118

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente) can be backed at -118 to finish with a minimum of one shot on goal. The Shots on Target market allows us to follow this selection and get an attractive price in the process.

Latest Gabriel Ávalos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-119

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Maher Carrizo to Score +430

Maher Carrizo (Vélez) has managed two goals in his past ten Primera División matches. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +430 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Maher Carrizo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+430

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-172

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -128

The five past away matches involving Independiente have had an average of 7.40 corners, with the last five Vélez home games featuring 8.60. There are odds of -128 for this Total Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vélez

Total

8.70 4.40 4.30

Home

8.90 5.60 3.30

Away

7.60 2.80 4.80

Independiente

Total

8.90 5.00 3.90

Home

9.00 5.10 3.90

Away

7.50 3.90 3.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-111

Under 9.5

-128

Vélez Corners

Over 4.5

-104

Under 4.5

-137

Independiente Corners

Over 4.5

-137

Under 4.5

-103

Most Corners

1

+128

X

+600

2

-112

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Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Betting Sites Think the Game Could Go Either Way

Independiente are chalked up at betting odds of +175 to defeat Vélez Sarsfield, with their opponents operating at the same odds with the bookmakers. If you want to back the draw, it’s available at +205 for this Primera División clash.

There’s a nice alternative in the form of the Half-Time Result market. This allows you to back Independiente at +245 to lead at the break or alternatively opt for Vélez at +250. The draw is the third option at -111.

The Total Goals price implies that Under 2.5 is the most likely result in this contest. The Both Teams to Score No wager is -172 and it’s perfect if you anticipate that one side or more will fail to score by the full-time whistle.

The best football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Primera División games. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+175

X

+205

2

+175

Half-Time Result

1

+250

X

-111

2

+245

Double Chance

1X

-227

12

-270

X2

-222

Draw No Bet

1

-120

2

-118

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+120

2 Hcp +0.25

-172

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-244

Over 2.5

+180

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+120

No

-172

Braian Romero Favourite to Find the Net First

Braian Romero can be backed to find the net anytime at +295, with +550 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

Braian Romero (Vélez)

First

+295

Anytime

+550

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

First

+300

Anytime

+550

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

First

+410

Anytime

+700

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

First

+420

Anytime

+750

Maher Carrizo (Vélez)

First

+430

Anytime

+800

Walter Mazzantti (Independiente)

First

+450

Anytime

+800

Diego Valdés (Vélez)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Diego Tarzia (Independiente)

First

+600

Anytime

+1150

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

First

+650

Anytime

+1150

Imanol Machuca (Vélez)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Francisco Pizzini (Vélez)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

First

+850

Anytime

+1500

Felipe Loyola (Independiente)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Tomás Galván (Vélez)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

First

+950

Anytime

+1700

Matias Pellegrini (Vélez)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Sebastián Valdéz (Independiente)

First

+1300

Anytime

+2200

Braian Romero (Vélez)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-118

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-119

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-143

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-154

Maher Carrizo (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-172

Diego Valdés (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-200

Walter Mazzantti (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-244

Imanol Machuca (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-270

Diego Tarzia (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-286

Francisco Pizzini (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-313

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-357

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-385

Matias Pellegrini (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-345

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-385

Tomás Galván (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-400

Felipe Loyola (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-417

Sebastián Valdéz (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+420

Under 0.5

-909

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Vélez vs Independiente team news before betting. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primera División and the newest injury information.

Vélez Sarsfield Team Page Independiente Team Page