Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Aug 2025

Primera División Betting Preview: Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente

Vélez Sarsfield host Independiente in this Argentine Primera División match, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Saturday 16 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Vélez Sarsfield at 0.0 look like an attractive bet on the Asian Handicap when they meet Independiente. Backing the hosts at -120 means a nice payout if they win and our stake returned if they only draw the game.

Vélez Sarsfield suffered a defeat in their last Primera División game. A 1-0 scoreline occurred on the road against San Lorenzo. El Fortín enjoyed 59% of possession although they couldn’t manage a single shot on target.

On Tuesday night, Vélez travelled to Fortaleza and drew 0-0 in the Copa Libertadores.

Independiente played River Plate at home in their previous Primera División game. It was a 0-0 draw. Julio Vaccari's side recorded four shots on goal and had 51% possession.

The last outing involving Independiente saw them lose 1-0 when hosting Universidad de Chile in the Copa Sudamericana.

Head-to-Head Statistics

When these two teams last met, Independiente claimed a home win. Beating Vélez by a 3-0 scoreline. The previous 9 H2H games have featured four draws, three victories for Independiente and two wins for Vélez.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Vélez Sarsfield	4	3	1	0	6	2	4	6:2	10
15	Independiente	4	2	0	2	3	2	1	3:2	6

View Full Table

Vélez have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 5.9 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal. Guillermo Barros Schelotto's team have averaged 53.3% possession and 4.4 corners per game, conceding 1.0 goals and 4.3 corners from 9.7 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Top goalscorers Maher Carrizo and Braian Romero have found the net 2 times, with Tomas Galvan scoring 1. Agustin Bouzat is the top assists maker on 2.

Independiente have 2 victories, 5 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 8.6 attempts, 3.4 shots on goal and 1.0 goals. Los Diablos Rojos average 62.8% possession, 5.0 corners in their favour and 3.9 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 3.3 shots on goal and 7.3 attempts.

We’ve seen Nicolas Freire, Gabriel Avalos, Felipe Loyola, Alvaro Angulo and Santiago Gabriel Montiel score 1 goals each. Santiago Gabriel Montiel, Leonardo Godoy and Federico Mancuello have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Vélez Sarsfield confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Tomas Marchiori (GK), Agustin Lagos, Lisandro Magallan, Aaron Quiros, Elias Gomez, Tobias Andrada, Rodrigo Aliendro, Tomas Galvan, Imanol Machuca, Francisco Pizzini, Dilan Godoy.

Independiente confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Rodrigo Rey (GK), Leonardo Godoy, Kevin Lomonaco, Sebastian Valdez, Milton Valenzuela, Ivan Marcone, Lautaro Millan, Pablo Galdames, Matias Abaldo, Ignacio Pussetto, Diego Tarzia.

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve lined up expert Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to corners betting insight, best player prop picks and bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Match Prediction

Vélez Sarsfield are available at odds of -120 and that can be taken with confidence when it comes to Asian Handicap 0.0 for this Primera División game. We believe the home team can claim a victory.

The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a Primera División verdict is reached.

Key Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente league stats:

• The -0.25 line has been covered by Vélez in 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 54.6% chance of landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you want a different wager to the Asian Handicap, then Winning Margin provides an exciting alternative. That’s especially if you have a view on the performance of Vélez.

Get the most from your next wager. Check our expert guide filled with the best free bets and top bonus offers.

Our Match Prediction

Vélez Asian Hcp 0.0 @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 15, 01:38). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Vélez 1 - 0 Independiente

We’re taking a chance on Vélez to achieve a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +480 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gabriel Ávalos Over 0.5 Shots On Target -118

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente) can be backed at -118 to finish with a minimum of one shot on goal. The Shots on Target market allows us to follow this selection and get an attractive price in the process.

Latest Gabriel Ávalos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-115

---

Maher Carrizo to Score +430

Maher Carrizo (Vélez) has managed two goals in his past ten Primera División matches. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +430 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Maher Carrizo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+420

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-156

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -128

The five past away matches involving Independiente have had an average of 7.40 corners, with the last five Vélez home games featuring 8.60. There are odds of -128 for this Total Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vélez

Total

8.60 4.60 4.00

Home

9.50 5.10 4.40

Away

8.90 4.10 4.80

Independiente

Total

9.00 5.10 3.90

Home

10.20 6.70 3.50

Away

8.40 4.30 4.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+104

Vélez Corners

Over 4.5

+107

Under 4.5

-154

Independiente Corners

Over 4.5

-116

Under 4.5

-122

Most Corners

1

+123

X

+600

2

-110

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have betting odds of +165 for Vélez Sarsfield to win this Primera División clash, while you could instead opt for Independiente at +185, with the draw being the third Full-Time Result option at +205.

There’s a nice alternative in the form of the Half-Time Result market. This allows you to back Vélez at +245 to lead at the break or alternatively opt for Independiente at +260. The draw is the third option at -115.

The Total Goals price implies that Under 2.5 is the most likely result in this contest. The Both Teams to Score No wager is -175 and it’s perfect if you anticipate that one side or more will fail to score by the full-time whistle.

The best football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Primera División games. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+165

X

+205

2

+185

Half-Time Result

1

+245

X

-115

2

+260

Double Chance

1X

-238

12

-270

X2

-213

Draw No Bet

1

-128

2

-112

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+115

2 Hcp +0.25

-167

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-250

Over 2.5

+185

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+123

No

-175

Braian Romero can be backed to find the net anytime at +295, with +540 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

Braian Romero (Vélez)

First

+540

Anytime

+295

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

First

+550

Anytime

+320

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

First

+750

Anytime

+420

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

First

+750

Anytime

+420

Maher Carrizo (Vélez)

First

+750

Anytime

+420

Walter Mazzantti (Independiente)

First

+900

Anytime

+500

Diego Valdés (Vélez)

First

+950

Anytime

+525

Diego Tarzia (Independiente)

First

+1150

Anytime

+600

Imanol Machuca (Vélez)

First

+1200

Anytime

+600

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

First

+1200

Anytime

+700

Francisco Pizzini (Vélez)

First

+1500

Anytime

+750

Tomás Galván (Vélez)

First

+1600

Anytime

+850

Felipe Loyola (Independiente)

First

+1700

Anytime

+850

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

First

+1700

Anytime

+900

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

First

+1800

Anytime

+950

Matias Pellegrini (Vélez)

First

+2000

Anytime

+1050

Agustín Bouzat (Vélez)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1200

Sebastián Valdéz (Independiente)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1300

Braian Romero (Vélez)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-111

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-115

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-137

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-159

Maher Carrizo (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-156

Diego Valdés (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-179

Walter Mazzantti (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-227

Imanol Machuca (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-250

Francisco Pizzini (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-263

Diego Tarzia (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-270

Matias Pellegrini (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-294

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-303

Tomás Galván (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-333

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-345

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-370

Felipe Loyola (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-370

Sebastián Valdéz (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-833

Agustín Bouzat (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+475

Under 0.5

-1111

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Vélez vs Independiente team news before betting. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primera División and the newest injury information.

Vélez Sarsfield Team Page Independiente Team Page

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