Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 15 Mar 2025

Side With Villarreal and a Goals Start

If you agree with our verdict that Villarreal can avoid defeat against Real Madrid, then you can back the home team with a +0.25 goal start at -101. This means our Asian Handicap stake is split equally between 0 and +0.5.

Real Too Good for Villarreal in Last H2H

Villarreal suffered a defeat in their last game. A 1-0 scoreline occurred on the road at Estadio Mendizorroza against Deportivo Alavés. El Submarino Amarillo dominated possession with 69% of the ball and recorded two shots on target.

Real Madrid won their previous game which was at home. It was a 2-1 triumph at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu against Rayo Vallecano. Carlo Ancelotti's team recorded 46% possession and had four shots on goal, while Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Junior found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Real have avoided defeat against Villarreal in the past three meetings. In the last encounter, Real claimed a 2-0 victory when hosting at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. The previous 10 H2H games have ended in four Real victories, four draws and two Villarreal wins.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
15	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
20	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts. Villarreal have had 50.6% possession, 413.5 passes and 5.4 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.9 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.2 corners.

Top scorers are Ayoze Perez and Thierno Barry on 4 goals, while Pape Gueye has racked up 2. Leading assistor is Sergi Cardona with 5, while goalkeepers Diego Conde and Luiz Junior have collectively recorded 2 clean sheets.

Real have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, averaging 6.2 shots on goal, 18.2 attempts and 2.0 goals. Los Merengues average 61.1% possession, 611.2 passes, 5.9 corners taken and 3.9 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 9.7 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal.

Kylian Mbappe got 9 goals, Brahim Diaz notched 3, while Vinicius Junior and two other players scored 2. Rodrygo has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Thibaut Courtois has 2 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Villarreal confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Diego Conde (GK), Juan Foyth, Willy Kambwala, Logan Costa, Sergi Cardona, Tajon Buchanan, Santi Comesana, Pape Gueye, Alejandro Baena, Nicolas Pepe, Ayoze Perez.

Real Madrid confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Lucas Vazquez, Aurelien Tchouameni, Raul Asencio, Francisco Garcia, Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga, Brahim Diaz, Jude Bellingham, Rodrygo, Kylian Mbappe.

Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ll back Villarreal +0.25 for this La Liga game, with odds of -101 available. We have a feeling that they can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.

Our team of football experts monitor the current injuries and suspensions. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Villarreal vs Real Madrid league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Villarreal in 16 of their last 19 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Villarreal in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Villarreal in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Real in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Real in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Villarreal in 6 of their last 10 games against Real.

Villarreal +0.25 Probability

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 50.3% prospect of winning. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your bet to be.

Our Match Prediction

Villarreal Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -101 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Villarreal 2 - 1 Real Madrid

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Villarreal to win 2-1. The odds of +850 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Corners Prediction

Real Madrid Over 4.5 Corners -125

Real Madrid have averaged 5.90 corners in the past 10 matches, with the corner count against Villarreal going over 4.5 in their previous six home games. We’re anticipating that there will be plenty of Real Madrid corners and that the Team Corners line will be covered, with odds of -125 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Villarreal

Total

9.60 5.40 4.20

Home

9.30 4.80 4.50

Away

8.40 5.60 2.80

Real Madrid

Total

9.80 5.90 3.90

Home

10.50 6.70 3.80

Away

8.00 3.80 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-125

Villarreal Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-128

Real Madrid Corners

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+112

Most Corners

1

+123

X

+540

2

-127

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Villarreal vs Real Madrid Odds

Real Madrid are the +130 favourites and that means a 43% chance of winning this La Liga match according to the betting odds at the bookies. The market suggests that Villarreal are least likely to win at +190.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds.

If you’re betting on La Liga games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+190

X

+260

2

+130

Half-Time Result

1

+225

X

+140

2

+187.5

Double Chance

1X

-175

12

-350

X2

-250

Draw No Bet

1

+110

2

-150

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-114

2 Hcp -0.25

+105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+137.5

Over 2.5

-175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-225

No

+162.5

Villarreal vs Real Madrid Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Villarreal vs Real team news.

We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest La Liga squads.

Villarreal Team Page Real Madrid Team Page