Vitória vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Mar 2025

Back Vitória to Beat Casa Pia

We’re going for a straight pick on Vitória when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. We think the hosts can achieve some kind of victory against Casa Pia, with odds of -133 currently available.

Teams Drew 1-1 in Last H2H Encounter

Vitória de Guimarães played FC Porto on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadio do Dragao. The Guimarães side recorded four shots on target and had 44% possession, with Umaro Embalo getting the goal.

Casa Pia have lost back-to-back on their travels. In their previous game, it was a 1-0 home victory over Gil Vicente at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. Joao Pereira's men recorded just 39% possession and had one shot on goal, with Andrian Kraev striking early in the second half.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Casa Pia are unbeaten in the past five matches against Vitória, with the last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The past 5 games featuring these sides have resulted in two Casa Pia triumphs and three draws.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Vitória	4	1	1	2	4	8	-4	4:8	4
13	Casa Pia	4	1	0	3	2	8	-6	2:8	3

View Full Table

Vitória have 1 win, 1 loss and 8 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts. Luis Freire's team have averaged 59.1% possession, 488.7 passes and 7.1 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.4 goals from 3.0 shots on goal, 8.3 attempts and 3.2 corners.

The five top scorers are Samu, Nuno Santos, Dieu-Merci Michel, Tiago Silva and Gustavo Silva, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Nuno Santos, Kaio and Telmo Arcanjo are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Bruno Varela managing 3 clean sheets.

Casa Pia have won 7, lost 2 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.9 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts. The Geese have averaged 48.3% possession, 385.3 passes, 3.3 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts.

Cassiano has scored 4, followed by Nuno Moreira and Jeremy Livolant with 3 goals apiece. Nuno Moreira and Gaizka Larrazabal have been top assists providers with 3, while Patrick Sequeira has kept 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Vitória confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bruno Varela (GK), Maga, Toni Borevkovic, Mikel Villanueva, Joao Mendes, Tiago Silva, Tomas Handel, Telmo Arcanjo, Joao Mendes, Vando Felix, Nelson Oliveira.

Casa Pia confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Joao Goulart, Jose Fonte, Duplexe Tchamba, Gaizka Larrazabal, Andrian Kraev, Pablo, Leonardo Lelo, Jeremy Livolant, Max Svensson, Henrique Pereira.

Vitória vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips

Vitória look like a standout bet and we’re expecting them to triumph. There are odds of -133 that the home team win this Primeira Liga clash and we’re confident that this is a value play.

Injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the latest form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Vitória vs Casa Pia league stats:

• Casa Pia have lost their last 2 games on the road.

Vitória to Win Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 57.1% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

There’s an opportunity to back Vitória at bigger odds on the Asian Handicap. The betting sites will create a series of lines and you can choose the one that makes the most appeal.

Our Match Prediction

Vitória To Win @ -133 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Vitória 3 - 1 Casa Pia

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Vitória winning 3-1. Odds of +1400 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -138

It has now been four straight Vitória matches where over 9.5 corners have been awarded. There’s a chance to go over the Total Corners line and we’re confident this will happen, with odds of -138 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vitória

Total

10.30 7.10 3.20

Home

10.90 7.10 3.80

Away

11.30 6.40 4.90

Casa Pia

Total

8.60 3.30 5.30

Home

9.80 4.50 5.30

Away

8.90 3.60 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-103

Under 10.5

-143

Vitória Corners

Over 6.5

+110

Under 6.5

-150

Casa Pia Corners

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-278

X

+650

2

+240

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Vitória vs Casa Pia Odds

Bookies favourites Vitória de Guimarães are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Primeira Liga game and the -135 about them triumphing means a 57% chance of winning based on their current betting odds. Casa Pia are regarded as the least likely winner at +360.

For those expecting a low-scoring clash, Under 2.5 Goals is the market leader on the Total Goals market.

A Bet Builder allows you to combine different Primeira Liga betting markets for a match. For example, you might want to predict the Match Winner and Total Goals at a football betting site.

Full-Time Result

1

-135

X

+245

2

+360

Half-Time Result

1

+140

X

+110

2

+360

Double Chance

1X

-526

12

-345

X2

-102

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+230

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-132

2 Hcp +0.5

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-154

Over 2.5

+116

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-102

No

-139

Vitória vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Vitória vs Casa Pia team news.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Primeira Liga squads.

Vitória de Guimarães Team Page Casa Pia Team Page