Vitória de Guimarães
Football Portugal - Primeira Liga Estadio D. Afonso Henriques Sat 16 Aug 13:00
GD Estoril Praia
  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Team News
  5. Lineups
  6. Injuries
  7. Squads
  8. Table

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Vitória vs Estoril

Vitória host Estoril in this Portuguese Primeira Liga match at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Saturday 16 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Line Could be Covered by Estoril

Estoril stand out as a value wager at -110 with a +0.75 headstart. We anticipate this Asian Handicap could see them prosper against Vitória, with our stake equally divided between +0.5 and +1.0.

On board with our Asian Handicap pick? Learn more about BetMGM in our detailed review and claim the latest promo code to add extra value.

6 of Last 8 H2H Clashes Have Been Vitória Wins

Vitória de Guimarães were defeated in their last game. Away from home, they suffered a 3-0 loss against Porto at Estadio do Dragao. The Guimarães side enjoyed 52% possession and had two shots on target.

Estoril Praia hosted Estrela Amadora in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw at Antonio Coimbra da Mota. The Canaries racked up three shots on goal and boasted 66% possession, while Tiago Parente found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 1-0 home victory for Estoril at Antonio Coimbra da Mota when they last faced Vitória. There have been six Vitória wins, one Estoril success and one draw in the past 8 H2H games.

Primeira Liga G W D L GF GA GD GD P
7 Vitória logo Vitória 8 3 2 3 9 12 -3 9:12 11
16 Estoril logo Estoril 8 1 3 4 10 13 -3 10:13 6
View Full Table
Vitória – Last 10 League Games

5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts. Vitória have had 56.3% possession, 462.6 passes and 6.4 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.8 corners.

Telmo Arcanjo leads the way with 4 goals, while Gustavo Silva and Joao Mendes have 3 and 2 respectively. Joao Mendes has the most assists with 2, while goalie Bruno Varela has recorded 4 clean sheets.

Estoril – Last 10 League Games

Estoril have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.6 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 54.0% possession, 434.6 passes, 3.8 corners taken and 3.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts.

Yanis Begraoui is top of the team’s scoring charts with 5, Andre Lacximicant is on 4 and Alejandro Marques on 3. Joao Carvalho, Pedro Carvalho and Rafik Guitane have all made 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Joel Robles has one clean sheet.

Confirmed Lineups

Vitória confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Charles (GK), Maga, Miguel Nobrega, Rodrigo Abascal, Vando Felix, Tiago Silva, Tomas Handel, Joao Mendes, Nuno Santos, Nelson Oliveira, Gustavo Silva.

Estoril confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Joel Robles (GK), Kevin Boma, Felix Bacher, Pedro Amaral, Pedro Carvalho, Jordan Holsgrove, Nodar Lominadze, Tiago Parente, Rafik Guitane, Yanis Begraoui, Joao Carvalho.

Vitória vs Estoril Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the best Vitória vs Estoril betting angles, including a key match prediction, our corners pick, correct score forecast, top player prop bets and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Estoril +0.75 could be the best way forward at odds of -110 in this Primeira Liga encounter. We feel optimistic that the underdogs can punch above their weight and be tough to beat.

Plenty of research goes into our football picks. It begins by focusing on the latest Primeira Liga form and knowing the injury situation. The important numbers can then be utilised to help complete the picture.

Key Vitória vs Estoril league stats:

  • The +0.75 line has been covered by Estoril in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
  • The +0.75 line has been covered by Estoril in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The +0.75 line has been covered by Estoril in 3 consecutive games.
  • The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Vitória in 3 consecutive games.
  • The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Vitória in 12 of their last 20 games.

Estoril +0.75 Probability

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your bet to be.

Power up your bet with the latest free bets, sign-up bonuses and premium betting offers found in our in-depth guide.

Our Match Prediction
Estoril Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 19:07, 14 August 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Yanis Begraoui to Score +400 BetMGM logo

Yanis Begraoui (Estoril) has scored four goals in his past five Primeira Liga games. It’s worth a play on the +400 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Yanis Begraoui Player Prop Odds

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Corners Prediction

Vitória Under 6.5 Corners -156 BetMGM logo

Vitória have failed to cover the 6.5 corners line in two consecutive matches, with Estoril conceding under 6.5 corners in their past ten games. If you agree with our verdict that the Vitória Team Corners line is too big, go for odds of -156 that they go under.

League Games
League Games
Last 10 Total For Against
Last 10 at Home Total For Against
Last 10 Away Total For Against
Vitória Logo Vitória
Total
10.20 6.40 3.80
Home
11.40 8.40 3.00
Away
9.90 5.60 4.30
Estoril Logo Estoril
Total
7.40 3.80 3.60
Home
7.00 2.90 4.10
Away
8.30 4.10 4.20
Latest Corner Odds

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Bet Builder Tips

Asian Handicap Estoril +0.75 -110
Total Goals Under 2.5 -128
Team Corners Vitória Under 6.5 -156

Try out our bet builder picks which include Estoril to cover the +0.75 Asian Handicap, no more than two goals to be registered as well as Vitória to finish with under 6.5 corners.

A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. Should a bettor get all selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.

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Vitória vs Estoril Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Vitória Could Have Edge According to Bookies

The favourites are 60% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Vitória de Guimarães being priced at -152 to come away with a victory in this Primeira Liga encounter. Estoril Praia are regarded as the least likely winner at +360.

Vitória can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting +135. However, Estoril are +380 and the draw is +120 if you want to take a different option.

A low-scoring contest will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds. An alternative play could be betting BTTS No where you can get -135 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.

You’ll be blown away by the hundreds of markets available for Primeira Liga games. Head to one of our recommended betting sites and take your pick from the various football options available.

José Bica Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

You will find favourite José Bica at +400 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +165 that he finds the net any time.

Player Goals
José Bica (Vitória)
First
+165
Anytime
+400
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Gustavo da Silva Cunha (Vitória)
First
+275
Anytime
+600
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Alejandro Marqués (Estoril)
First
+290
Anytime
+575
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Yanis Begraoui (Estoril)
First
+380
Anytime
+750
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Best Betting Offers
Estadio D. Afonso Henriques
Estadio D. Afonso Henriques

Vitória Claimed Victory in Last Four H2H Estadio D. Afonso Henriques Games

Vitória have managed five victories, three losses and two draws in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Estoril have five wins, three draws and two losses in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 2.10 goals per match and conceding 1.70.

Vitória overcame Estoril 1-0 when the sides last met at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. Vitória boast a 100% win record for the past 4 H2H meetings at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques.

Last 10 League Games W-D-L G GF GA O2.5 U2.5 B-Y B-No
Vitória logo Vitória Home Stats 5-2-3 2.40 1.30 1.10 5 5 2 8
Estoril logo Estoril Away Stats 5-3-2 3.80 2.10 1.70 9 1 8 2
  • W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
  • G = Avg. Goals
  • GF = Avg. Goals For
  • GA = Avg. Goals Against
  • O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
  • U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
  • B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
  • B-No = Matches BTTS No
Team Stats
Vitória logo Vitória League Stats
Estoril logo Estoril League Stats
Full-Time Result
  • 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
  • 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
  • 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
Goals
Corners
Corners
Possession
Possession
Top Scorers & Assists

Vitória vs Estoril Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Vitória vs Estoril team news before you bet. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga, along with current injury news.

Vitória Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3

Estoril Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3

Vitória Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3

27 Charles
2 Maga 3 Miguel Nobrega 26 Rodrigo Abascal
21 Vando Felix 10 Tiago Silva 8 Tomas Handel 13 Joao Mendes
77 Nuno Santos 7 Nelson Oliveira 11 Gustavo Silva
27 Joel Robles
44 Kevin Boma 25 Felix Bacher 24 Pedro Amaral
22 Pedro Carvalho 10 Jordan Holsgrove 7 Nodar Lominadze 55 Tiago Parente
99 Rafik Guitane 14 Yanis Begraoui 12 Joao Carvalho

Estoril Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3

Vitória Substitutes

  • 5Paulo Vitor
  • 16Beni
  • 17Orest Lebedenko
  • 18Telmo Arcanjo
  • 19Oumar Camara
  • 22Fabio Blanco
  • 23Diogo Sousa
  • 25Juan Diego Castillo
  • 90Alioune Ndoye

Estoril Substitutes

  • 5Diogo Brasido
  • 9Alejandro Marques
  • 16Martin Turk
  • 17Fabricio Garcia
  • 19Andre Lacximicant
  • 21Pizzi
  • 45Patrick de Paula
  • 57Longin Bimai
  • 90Tiago Brito

Previous Vitória Lineups

11 Aug Primeira Liga
Porto 3-0 Vitória
17 May Primeira Liga
Sporting 2-0 Vitória
11 May Primeira Liga
Vitória 1-2 Farense
03 May Primeira Liga
Nacional 1-2 Vitória
27 Apr Primeira Liga
Vitória 3-0 Rio Ave
19 Apr Primeira Liga
Vitória 0-3 Benfica

Previous Estoril Lineups

11 Aug Primeira Liga
Estoril 1-1 Estrela
17 May Primeira Liga
Estoril 4-0 Estrela
11 May Primeira Liga
Moreirense 2-2 Estoril
03 May Primeira Liga
Estoril 1-2 Benfica
29 Apr Primeira Liga
Casa Pia 1-3 Estoril
19 Apr Primeira Liga
Estoril 0-2 Braga

Injuries & Suspensions

Vitória Injury Table
Type Name Info
Gustavo Silva Muscle
Goncalo Nogueira Muscle
Estoril Injury Table
Type Name Info
Rafik Guitane Other
Xeka Cruciate ligame
Portugal FlagPrimeira Liga Table
2025/2026 Season
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Porto 8 7 1 0 19:1 22
2 Sporting 8 6 1 1 20:5 19
3 Gil Vicente 9 6 1 2 14:4 19
4 Benfica 8 5 3 0 13:4 18
5 Moreirense 8 5 0 3 12:11 15
6 Famalicão 8 3 4 1 8:4 13
7 Vitória 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
8 Braga 8 2 4 2 12:8 10
9 Nacional 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
10 Alverca 9 3 1 5 11:16 10
11 Arouca 8 2 3 3 10:19 9
12 Rio Ave 8 1 5 2 11:13 8
13 Santa Clara 8 2 2 4 6:10 8
14 Casa Pia 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
15 Estrela 8 1 4 3 6:8 7
16 Estoril 8 1 3 4 10:13 6
17 Tondela 8 1 2 5 4:14 5
18 AVS 8 0 1 7 5:20 1
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Moreirense 4 4 0 0 9:3 12
2 Porto 4 3 1 0 8:0 10
3 Gil Vicente 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
4 Benfica 4 2 2 0 7:3 8
5 Vitória 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
6 Sporting 4 2 1 1 11:3 7
7 Alverca 5 2 0 3 4:9 6
8 Famalicão 4 1 2 1 4:2 5
9 Rio Ave 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
10 Arouca 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
11 Braga 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
12 Estrela 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
13 Estoril 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
14 Santa Clara 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
15 Nacional 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
16 Tondela 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
17 Casa Pia 4 0 2 2 3:7 2
18 AVS 4 0 0 4 1:9 0