Vitória vs Moreirense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Jan 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Vitória vs Moreirense

Vitória take on Moreirense at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, with kick-off set for 15:45 on Friday 30 January.

Moreirense +0.25 look like a spot of value on the Asian Handicap. This involves halving our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a victory against Vitória the aim at betting odds of -112.

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Vitória de Guimarães have lost back-to-back Primeira Liga games. Away at Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril Praia recently beat them 4-2. The Guimarães outfit had 45% possession and four shots on target, while Samu and Matija Mitrovic scored one goal apiece.

Moreirense won their previous game, beating Santa Clara at home. It was a 1-0 victory at Estadio C. Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. Vasco Botelho da Costa's side were 49% in the possession stakes and recorded one shot on goal, with a late winner coming from Maracas.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Moreirense had the upper hand in the previous clash between these sides. At Estadio C. Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, they recorded a 2-0 home victory over Vitória. Vitória have landed five victories, Moreirense have two wins and there’s been three draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Moreirense	19	9	3	7	26	26	0	26:26	30
9	Vitória	19	7	4	8	20	27	-7	20:27	25

View Full Table

4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 11.5 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal. Vitória have had 49.0% possession, 362.5 passes and 4.2 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.3 goals from 10.8 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal, while earning 3.8 corners.

Top scorer Oumar Camara has found the net 3 times, with Samu, Matija Mitrovic, Rodrigo Abascal and Noah Saviolo getting 1 goals each. Goncalo Nogueira has the most assists with 2, while goalie Juan Diego Castillo has recorded 5 clean sheets.

Moreirense have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.3 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. The Moreira de Cónegos team have averaged 52.1% possession, 464.7 passes, 3.9 corners awarded and 3.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts.

The top scorers have been Guilherme Schettine with 4, Maracas on 3 and Diogo Travassos 2. Alan has been chief assist maker with 3, while Andre Ferreira and Caio Secco have recorded 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Vitória predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Juan Castillo (GK), Tony Strata, Miguel Nóbrega, Rodrigo Abascal, João Mendes, Goncalo Nogueira, Matija Mitrovic, Oumar Camara, Samu, Noah Saviolo, Alioune Ndoye.

Moreirense predicted lineup (4-3-3): André Ferreira (GK), Dinis Pinto, Gilberto Batista, Maracás, Álvaro Martínez, Rodrigo Alonso, Mateja Stjepanovic, Alanzinho, Diogo Martins Travassos, Luis Semedo, Kiko Bondoso.

Vitória vs Moreirense Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Vitória vs Moreirense with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline, key corners betting angle, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Match Prediction

If you echo our view that Moreirense can swerve defeat in this Primeira Liga encounter, then you can take them with a +0.25 goal start at -112. There are strong reasons to back the visitors.

The latest Primeira Liga injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Vitória vs Moreirense league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Moreirense in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Moreirense in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Vitória in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Vitória in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Vitória in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Vitória in 2 consecutive games against Moreirense.

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There are options to buy and sell goals and effectively choose the Asian Handicap line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how safe or risky you want to play things.

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Our Match Prediction

Moreirense Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -112 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (22:07, 28 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Vitória 1 - 2 Moreirense

A 2-1 win in favor of Moreirense is available at odds of +750. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Diogo Travassos to Score +700

Diogo Travassos (Moreirense) has scored two goals in his past five Primeira Liga games away from home. There are odds of +700 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Diogo Travassos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+1400

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Vitória Under 5.5 Corners -130

Vitória have averaged 3.00 corners in the past 5 matches, with the corner count against Moreirense going under 5.5 in their previous ten games. We’re happy to back the -130 when it comes to Vitória falling short of the Team Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vitória

Total

8.00 4.20 3.80

Home

8.00 4.60 3.40

Away

7.90 3.70 4.20

Moreirense

Total

7.40 3.90 3.50

Home

9.30 4.40 4.90

Away

6.70 3.20 3.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-132

Vitória Corners

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-130

Moreirense Corners

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-204

X

+650

2

+205

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Vitória vs Moreirense Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have Vitória de Guimarães as +114 favourites for this Primeira Liga clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 47% likely to win. Moreirense are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +250.

If you want to back the favourites with some insurance, then Vitória are -200 on the Draw No Bet market. Alternatively, Moreirense are +138 and there is money back if the game ends all square.

For those expecting a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader on the Total Goals market. The Both Teams to Score No pick is -128 if you’re expecting at least one side will fail to find the net.

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Full-Time Result

1

+114

X

+205

2

+250

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+108

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-333

X2

-164

Draw No Bet

1

-200

2

+138

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-127

2 Hcp +0.25

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-175

Over 2.5

+123

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-111

No

-128

Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +525 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +245.

Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa (Moreirense)

First

+245

Anytime

+525

Guilherme Schettine (Moreirense)

First

+255

Anytime

+510

Gustavo da Silva Cunha (Vitória)

First

+265

Anytime

+500

Telmo Arcanjo (Vitória)

First

+460

Anytime

+900

Benedito Mukendi (Vitória)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Cedric Teguia (Moreirense)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Diogo Travassos (Moreirense)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Tony Strata (Vitória)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Óscar Rivas (Vitória)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

João Miguel Teixeira Mendes (Vitória)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Vasco Sousa (Moreirense)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Miguel Nobrega (Vitória)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Rodrigo Abascal (Vitória)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Jobson Gonzaga "Maracás" (Moreirense)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Miguel Angelo Magalhaes (Vitória)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Vitória have recorded four victories, three draws and three defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

Moreirense have finished with five defeats, three wins and two draws in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Vitória won 1-0 when they last played Moreirense at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. The previous 5 H2H matches at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques have featured four Vitória wins and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Vitória Home Stats		4-3-3	2.80	1.40	1.40	6	4	6	4
Moreirense Away Stats		3-2-5	2.70	1.20	1.50	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Vitória vs Moreirense Lineups & Team News

The latest Vitória vs Moreirense team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga and all current injury news.

Vitória de Guimarães Team Page Moreirense Team Page

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