Vitória vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Dec 2024

Under 2.5 Goals Looks Value

We’re not expecting the net to bulge too many times, with Under 2.5 Goals anticipated when Vitória and Nacional clash. The Total Goals market selection gives us generous betting odds of -118.

1-0 Win for Nacional in Last H2H Clash

Vitória de Guimarães drew on the road in their last game. A 2-2 scoreline was played out against Rio Ave at Estadio dos Arcos. Rui Borges' team enjoyed 63% possession and managed five shots on target, while Oscar Rivas and Gustavo Silva scored one goal each.

Nacional have suffered three straight away defeats. They lost 2-0 in their previous game at home to Benfica at Estadio da Madeira. The Madeira side didn’t see much of the ball with just 33% possession and one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Nacional won the most recent encounter between these teams. A 1-0 home victory was recorded against Vitória at Estadio da Madeira.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Nacional	4	1	1	2	4	7	-3	4:7	4
10	Vitória	4	1	1	2	4	8	-4	4:8	4

View Full Table

Vitória have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts. The Guimarães club have averaged 55.8% possession, 434.0 passes and 6.1 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.2 goals from 2.9 shots on goal, 8.9 attempts and 4.8 corners.

Gustavo Silva is the top goalscorer with 3, Nelson Oliveira has 2, with Oscar Rivas and two other players on 1. Tiago Silva and Nelson Oliveira have been top assistors on 2, with goalkeeper Bruno Varela keeping 3 clean sheets.

Nacional have 2 victories, 6 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 0.4 goals from 13.6 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 44.6% possession, 326.3 passes, 5.2 corners in their favour and 6.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 13.8 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Jose Gomes, Ulisses Rocha, Ruben Macedo and Isaac Aguiar, with 1 goals apiece. Gustavo Garcia has been chief assist maker on 1, with Lucas Franca recording 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Vitória confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bruno Varela (GK), Alberto Costa, Oscar Rivas, Mikel Villanueva, Joao Mendes, Manu Silva, Tiago Silva, Kaio, Samu, Nuno Santos, Gustavo Silva.

Nacional confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Lucas Franca (GK), Gustavo Garcia, Ulisses Rocha, Ze Vitor, Jose Gomes, Luis Esteves, Djibril Soumare, Bruno Costa, Dudu Teodora, Isaac Aguiar, Arvin Appiah.

Vitória vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips

If you agree with our view of a low-scoring Primeira Liga clash, then you can get odds of -118 on the Under 2.5 Goals market. We think that this bet has a strong chance of landing.

We’re keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Vitória vs Nacional league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Vitória games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Nacional games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Nacional games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Nacional games.

Under 2.5 Probability

The bookies are estimating that there is a 54.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you’re hunting larger odds, there’s the opportunity to not only back the Under 2.5 Goals selection but also back a specific team to win. The Result & Total Goals market presents this opportunity.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -118 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Vitória 2 - 0 Nacional

A 2-0 win in favor of Vitória can be backed at odds of +480. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Vitória vs Nacional Odds

For this Primeira Liga match, the leading bookies’ betting odds mean Vitória de Guimarães are the -263 favourite to win and that means a 72% chance of winning. The market suggests that Nacional are least likely to win at +700.

The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market has the two outcomes at a similar price.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Primeira Liga coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the bet that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

-263

X

+325

2

+700

Half-Time Result

1

-106

X

+133

2

+550

Double Chance

1X

-1429

12

-455

X2

+180

Draw No Bet

1

-833

2

+510

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-103

2 Hcp +1.25

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-118

Over 2.5

-112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+108

No

-152

Vitória vs Nacional Lineups & Team News

Our Vitória vs Nacional team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.

We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest Primeira Liga squads.

Vitória de Guimarães Team Page Nacional Team Page