Vitória vs Sporting Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Dec 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Vitória vs Sporting

Vitória take on second-placed Sporting at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, with kick-off set for 15:45 on Tuesday 23 December.

We like the look of Vitória with a +1.25 goal start against Sporting. It means the Asian Handicap stake is split between +1 and +1.5, with attractive odds of -119 that the home team are able to flourish.

Confident in our Asian Handicap pick? Unlock the best BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the site before jumping in.

Vitória de Guimarães won their last game. It was on their travels where Rio Ave were beaten 1-0 at Estadio dos Arcos. Luis Pinto's team had the majority of the ball boasting 57% possession and three shots on target, with Oumar Camara getting the all-important goal in the 35th minute.

Sporting CP claimed a home victory in their previous game. A dominant 6-0 win occurred against AVS at Estadio Jose Alvalade. The Lisbon side had fourteen shots on goal and enjoyed 68% possession, with Luis Suarez and Maximiliano Araujo scoring two apiece.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Sporting are unbeaten when it comes to the past three meetings against Vitória. In their last clash, hosts Sporting came out with a 2-0 victory at Estadio Jose Alvalade. The past 10 H2H matches have involved eight Sporting wins, one Vitória victory and one draw.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Sporting	20	16	3	1	54	11	43	54:11	51
9	Vitória	20	8	4	8	21	27	-6	21:27	28

View Full Table

Vitória have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts. The Conquerors have averaged 47.7% possession, 357.7 passes and 5.0 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 0.9 goals from 4.1 shots on goal, 11.9 attempts and 4.0 corners.

Oumar Camara leads the way with 3 goals, with Nelson Oliveira and Alioune Ndoye scoring 2 each. Rodrigo Abascal is the leading assists maker with 2, while goalie Juan Diego Castillo has 5 clean sheets.

Sporting have won 8 and drawn 2, with an average of 2.5 goals from 17.7 attempts and 7.5 shots on goal. Rui Borges' men average 62.2% possession, 556.7 passes, 6.6 corners in their favour and 2.6 corners against, while conceding 0.4 goals from 7.3 attempts and 2.5 shots on goal.

Luis Suarez got 9 goals, Pedro Goncalves notched 6, while Maximiliano Araujo and two other players scored 2. Trincao is top assists provider with 4, while Rui Silva and Joao Virginia have collectively recorded 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Vitória confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Juan Diego Castillo (GK), Maga, Thiago Balieiro, Rodrigo Abascal, Joao Mendes, Goncalo Nogueira, Matija Mitrovic, Oumar Camara, Samu, Noah Saviolo, Alioune Ndoye.

Sporting confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rui Silva (GK), Ivan Fresneda, Eduardo Quaresma, Goncalo Inacio, Ricardo Mangas, Joao Simoes, Morten Hjulmand, Trincao, Fotis Ioannidis, Maximiliano Araujo, Luis Suarez.

Vitória vs Sporting Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our Vitória vs Sporting betting tips: a trusted match prediction, likely correct score outcome, corners market forecast, key player props and an expert-crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

There’s a chance to get some insurance on the underdogs by backing Vitória +1.25. We’re happy to take them on the Asian Handicap at -119 when it comes to this Primeira Liga game.

It’s always a case of checking out the latest Primeira Liga team news to make expert football predictions. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.

Key Vitória vs Sporting league stats:

• The +1.25 line has been covered by Vitória in 4 consecutive games.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Vitória in 17 of their last 19 games at home.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Vitória in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Sporting in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Sporting in 11 of their last 18 games on the road.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Sporting in 2 consecutive games on the road.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 54.3% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you’re looking to move the line, then you have a dual option of either buying or selling goals. It’s a case of assuming a position based on your view and attitude to risk.

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Our Match Prediction

Vitória Asian Hcp +1.25 @ -119 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (22:07, 21 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Vitória 1 - 1 Sporting

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves the teams playing out a 1-1 draw. Odds of +550 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Telmo Arcanjo To Score +850

Telmo Arcanjo (Vitória) can be wagered to score at +850. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll plump for him to find the net.

Latest Telmo Arcanjo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+800

First

+1800

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -137

There has been three straight Vitória matches where 9.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been an average of 10.20 corners in the previous five Sporting away games. There are odds of -137 being served up when it comes to this Total Corners wager and we think the teams can cover the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vitória

Total

9.00 5.00 4.00

Home

10.00 6.80 3.20

Away

8.40 4.10 4.30

Sporting

Total

9.20 6.60 2.60

Home

8.10 6.10 2.00

Away

10.00 6.80 3.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

-102

Vitória Corners

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-147

Sporting Corners

Over 6.5

-104

Under 6.5

-135

Most Corners

1

+300

X

+800

2

-333

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Vitória vs Sporting Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this Primeira Liga clash, Sporting CP are the -244 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 71% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Vitória de Guimarães, you will find +600 about this outsider.

There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Vitória are +540 here and the draw is +145, with Sporting on offer at -108.

If you’re betting on Total Goals, the market is far from clear over whether Overs or Unders happens. If you think at least one side will keep a clean sheet, then Both Teams to Score No is -154.

The best football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Primeira Liga game and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

+600

X

+335

2

-244

Half-Time Result

1

+540

X

+145

2

-108

Double Chance

1X

+160

12

-588

X2

-1429

Draw No Bet

1

+410

2

-769

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.25

-123

2 Hcp -1.25

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-114

Over 2.5

-125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+107

No

-154

Luis Javier Suárez is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +190. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.

Luis Javier Suárez (Sporting)

First

-132

Anytime

+190

Pedro Goncalves (Sporting)

First

+160

Anytime

+350

Francisco Trincão (Sporting)

First

+230

Anytime

+500

Fotis Ioannidis (Sporting)

First

+230

Anytime

+510

Rafael Nel (Sporting)

First

+255

Anytime

+550

Rodrigo Ribeiro (Sporting)

First

+265

Anytime

+600

Geny Catamo (Sporting)

First

+375

Anytime

+800

Geovany Quenda (Sporting)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Gustavo da Silva Cunha (Vitória)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Giorgi Kochorashvili (Sporting)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Maximiliano Araujo (Sporting)

First

+510

Anytime

+1150

João António Nascimento Muniz (Sporting)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Morten Hjulmand (Sporting)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Ricardo Mangas (Sporting)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Nuno Santos (Sporting)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Daniel Bragança (Sporting)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Matheus Reis (Sporting)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Ousmane Diomande (Sporting)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Telmo Arcanjo (Vitória)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Eduardo Quaresma (Sporting)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Georgios Vagiannidis (Sporting)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Gonçalo Inácio (Sporting)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Zeno Debast (Sporting)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Jeremiah St. Juste (Sporting)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Benedito Mukendi (Vitória)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Hidemasa Morita (Sporting)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Vitória have four victories, three draws and three defeats in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Sporting have gone unbeaten away in the last ten games. The Lisbon side have managed eight victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 2.20 goals per game and conceding 0.50.

The last meeting at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques saw Vitória and Sporting draw 4-4. The past 6 H2H meetings at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques have included three Sporting victories, two draws and one Vitória win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Vitória Home Stats		4-3-3	2.80	1.50	1.30	7	3	5	5
Sporting Away Stats		8-2-0	2.70	2.20	0.50	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Vitória vs Sporting Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Vitória vs Sporting team news beforehand. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with up-to-date injury news.

Vitória de Guimarães Team Page Sporting CP Team Page

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