Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Mar 2026
Série A Betting Preview: Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro
Vitória square off against Atlético Mineiro, with kick-off set for 17:30 on Saturday 14 March.
Vitória +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at -152. They should be able to avoid defeat against Atlético Mineiro, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5, meaning a victory is the desired outcome.
Vitória played Bahia on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw. Jair Ventura's team enjoyed just 37% possession and had two shots on target, while Ramon scored the goal.
Atlético Mineiro have had back-to-back Série A away defeats while their previous league match was a 1-0 home win against Internacional. Galo had just 35% of the ball and recorded three shots on goal, with Tomas Cuello scoring the winner in the opening exchanges.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Vitória are unbeaten in the past four games against Atlético. In their last clash, it was a 1-0 home win for Vitória. The previous 4 H2H games have featured two Vitória victories and two draws.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |  Atlético MG |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 16 |  Vitória |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5:8 | 4 |
4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 8.8 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal. Vitória have had 38.6% possession and 4.2 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 12.0 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.2 corners.
The three top scorers are Matheuzinho, Renato Kayzer and Gabriel Baralhas, with these players all scoring 2 goals. The leading assistor is Erick Serafim with 3.
Atlético have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, averaging 9.3 attempts, 4.5 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. The Belo Horizonte outfit average 48.1% possession, 5.5 corners awarded and 6.1 corners against them, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 4.9 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts.
Dudu has scored 3 goals, followed by Victor Hugo and Hulk on 2. Hulk is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 3.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Vitória predicted lineup (4-3-3): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Nathan Mendes, Cacá, Camutanga, Ramon, Caique Gonçalves, Gabriel Baralhas, Emmanuel Martinez, Marinho, Renato Kayzer, Matheuzinho.
Atlético Mineiro predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Everson (GK), Iván Román, Ruan Tressoldi, Vitor Hugo, Renan Lodi, Alan Franco, Victor Hugo, Gustavo Scarpa, Hulk, Tomás Cuello, Mateo Cassierra.
Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction & Betting Tips
Tackle Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, corners market advice, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.
Match Prediction
When Vitória line up for this Série A game, we will back them at -152 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. We think the hosts are more than capable of avoiding defeat and might be able to land a win.
The first port of call is to check out the Série A injury and suspension news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.
Key Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro league stats:
The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 60.2% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 70%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
If you’re in search of a larger price, there are lots of options for those wanting to sell goals. The wager is riskier but will provide a bigger reward should it win.
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Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Atlético
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Vitória winning 1-0. Odds of +600 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Player Prop Picks
Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória) has managed two goals in his past four Série A matches on home soil. There are odds of +650 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
There’s been an average 6.00 Vitória corners in their past 5 home games, while Atlético Mineiro have conceded more than 4.5 corners in five consecutive matches. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the Vitória Team Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -119 that they go over.
Vitória
Atlético
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Check out our same-game multi which has the following: Vitória with an Asian Handicap of +0.25, less than three goals to be registered and also Vitória to rack up over 4.5 corners.
A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. You can forecast specific things to happen and enjoy larger odds compared to betting a single. The odds multiply for each leg.
Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The draw is currently trading at +225 if you think this Série A encounter will end all square, while Atlético Mineiro have betting odds of +160 and Vitória are +170 to land a victory of their own.
Should you want to back Atlético to win but want money back if the game ends level, then there is -123 available on the Draw No Bet market. Opponents Vitória have been chalked up at -115.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -137.
The top football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Série A matches. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.
Those interested in Givanildo Souza "Hulk" to find the net anytime are able to get +180. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +450.
Vitória League Stats
Atlético Mineiro League Stats
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 8 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 6.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 38.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 35.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 48.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Vitória this season are Dudu (1), Gabriel Baralhas (1), Matheuzinho (1)
- Top Assistors for Vitória this season are Erick Serafim (2), Fabricio (1), Gabriel Baralhas (1)
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Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News
Get the latest team news for Vitória vs Atlético before you bet. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A and the newest injury information.
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Atlético Mineiro Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Atlético Mineiro Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Vitória Lineups
Previous Atlético Mineiro Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Vitória Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jair Ventura
Atlético Mineiro Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | São Paulo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 13 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bahia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Flamengo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 8 | Athletico PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 9 | Grêmio | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Mirassol | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 12 | Chapecoense | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Atlético MG | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 14 | Santos | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 15 | Vasco da Gama | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Vitória | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 17 | Botafogo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 3 |
| 18 | Remo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 19 | Internacional | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:11 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | São Paulo | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Grêmio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Atlético MG | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 7 | Chapecoense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Flamengo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 9 | Santos | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 11 | Vasco da Gama | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 13 | Vitória | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Athletico PR | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 15 | Corinthians | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 16 | Bahia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 17 | Remo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 18 | Cruzeiro | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 19 | Coritiba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 20 | Internacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
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