Vitória vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Dec 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Vitória vs São Paulo

Survival-chasing Vitória go head-to-head with São Paulo, with kick-off set for 14:00 on Sunday 7 December.

It could be beneficial to back Vitória when they clash with São Paulo. There’s loads of value in the -123 that the home team get the job done and we’re therefore going to play the Full-Time Result market.

Vitória suffered a defeat in their last game. A 4-0 scoreline occurred away from home against Red Bull Bragantino. Barra's Lion recorded three shots on target and had 43% possession.

São Paulo have experienced two Série A road losses on the spin. Their previous league game was a 3-0 home triumph against Internacional. Hernan Crespo's side boasted 56% possession and had seven shots on goal, while Sabino, Maik Gomes and Luciano Neves were all on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

When these two sides last played, São Paulo enjoyed a home victory. Beating Vitória by a 2-0 scoreline. In the past 3 games between these teams, São Paulo have won all of them.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	São Paulo	13	7	2	4	17	11	6	17:11	23
13	Vitória	12	4	3	5	12	17	-5	12:17	15

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 8.3 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal. Vitória have had 32.9% possession and 3.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.0 goals from 11.9 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal, while earning 5.6 corners.

The three top scorers are Lucas Halter, Matheuzinho and Renato Kayzer, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Raul Caceres, Erick and Matheuzinho have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

São Paulo have won 4, lost 5 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.2 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 7.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 53.6% possession, 4.6 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.8 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts.

Luciano Neves has landed 3 goals, Damian Bobadilla 2, with Sabino and two others scoring 1. Ferreira and Maik Gomes are the top assist makers, managing 2 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Vitória confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Thiago Couto (GK), Camutanga, Neris, Ze Marcos, Raul Caceres, Willian, Gabriel Baralhas, Ramon, Aitor Cantalapiedra, Erick Serafim, Renato Kayzer.

São Paulo confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Rafael (GK), Rafael Toloi, Robert Arboleda, Sabino, Cedric Soares, Alisson, Luiz Gustavo, Marcos Antonio, Ferreira, Luciano Neves, Gonzalo Tapia.

Vitória vs São Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips

Your complete Vitória vs São Paulo betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, corners betting pick, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

It wouldn’t be surprising to see Vitória come out on top in this Série A match. We will therefore back them at -123 and get a nice potential return if the hosts manage to land a victory.

We always have a keen eye on team news, while our football experts have their finger on the pulse by knowing the latest form. You will also find a compendium of stats which provide some valuable pointers ahead of the Série A action.

Key Vitória vs São Paulo league stats:

• Vitória have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• São Paulo have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• São Paulo have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• São Paulo have lost their last 2 games on the road.

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 55.2% chance of winning. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

The Asian Handicap market offers some alternatives if you strongly fancy Vitória and want bigger odds. Back them at -1, -1.5 or even -2 depending on how confident you are.

Before placing your bets, take advantage of our guide packed with up-to-date free bets and the latest bonus offers.

Our Match Prediction

Vitória To Win @ -123 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 5, 20:08). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Vitória 1 - 0 São Paulo

We’re taking a chance on Vitória to achieve a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +550 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aitor Cantalapiedra Over 0.5 Shots On Target -139

Aitor Cantalapiedra (Vitória) can be wagered at -139 to record one or more shots on goal. He stands out as a value pick when it comes to Shots on Target, with the recommendation being to wager this player prop pick.

Latest Aitor Cantalapiedra Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-130

Shots

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

---

Gabriel Baralhas To Score +600

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória) is available at +600 to be among the goals. We’ll happily take the odds that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Gabriel Baralhas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-417

Shots

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

São Paulo Over 4.5 Corners +110

The past 10 São Paulo away matches have involved them having an average of 5.70 corners, with Vitória conceding over 4.5 corners in their last five games. There are odds of +110 available when it comes to this Team Corners bet and we think São Paulo can cover the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vitória

Total

9.80 4.80 5.00

Home

9.90 5.10 4.80

Away

8.80 3.00 5.80

São Paulo

Total

9.30 5.70 3.60

Home

9.30 5.20 4.10

Away

9.70 4.90 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-132

Under 9.5

-108

Vitória Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-152

São Paulo Corners

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-137

Most Corners

1

-149

X

+650

2

+150

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Vitória vs São Paulo Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

If you’re looking to wager São Paulo to secure victory in the Série A, then the bookmakers have chalked them up at +188. Vitória are on offer at betting odds of +150 and the draw is +215.

There are different betting angles when backing Vitória including the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager. This is available at +115 and there’s a half stake return if they only draw with São Paulo.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. Both Teams to Score is a two-way market and, in terms of price, there’s not much to split Yes and No.

The top sports betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Série A game. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.

Full-Time Result

1

+150

X

+215

2

+188

Half-Time Result

1

+210

X

+112

2

+240

Double Chance

1X

-263

12

-303

X2

-208

Draw No Bet

1

-137

2

-104

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+115

2 Hcp +0.25

-143

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-156

Over 2.5

+118

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-122

No

-118

Luciano da Rocha is the First Goalscorer favourite at +480. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +210.

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+210

Anytime

+480

Renzo López (Vitória)

First

+210

Anytime

+500

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Aitor Cantalapiedra (Vitória)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Ronald dos Santos Lopes (Vitória)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Hueglo dos Santos Neris "Neris" (Vitória)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Luiz Gustavo (São Paulo)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+120

Renzo López (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+117

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Aitor Cantalapiedra (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-130

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-139

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-159

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-189

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-208

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-286

Ronald dos Santos Lopes (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-417

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-588

Hueglo dos Santos Neris "Neris" (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Luiz Gustavo (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 3.5

+135

Under 3.5

-

Renzo López (Vitória)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Aitor Cantalapiedra (Vitória)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Ronald dos Santos Lopes (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Hueglo dos Santos Neris "Neris" (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Luiz Gustavo (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Vitória vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Vitória vs São Paulo team news before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and injury news right here.

Vitória Team Page São Paulo Team Page

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