Vitória vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Apr 2026
Série A Betting Preview: Vitória vs São Paulo
Vitória go head-to-head with São Paulo, with kick-off set for 15:30 on Saturday 11 April.
We’re splitting our Asian Handicap stake between 0 and +0.5 when backing Vitória +0.25 at -128 against São Paulo. We need the hosts to win for a maximum payout although the draw means we also get a return.
Vitória drew on the road in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Chapecoense. Barra's Lion had nine shots on target and 46% possession, with Matheuzinho getting the goal.
São Paulo claimed a home win in their previous game. A 4-1 victory occurred against Cruzeiro. Roger Machado's men had just 37% possession and totalled five shots on goal, with Ferreira firing a hat-trick and Jonathan Calleri also on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The most recent head-to-head saw Vitória record a 1-0 home victory against São Paulo. São Paulo have landed victory in three of the previous 4 H2H games, with Vitória winning once.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  São Paulo |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15:7 | 20 |
| 14 |  Vitória |
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 9:14 | 11 |
Vitória have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 7.6 attempts. Jair Ventura's side have averaged 41.1% possession and 4.8 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.4 goals from 4.3 shots on goal, 9.2 attempts and 5.0 corners.
Top goalscorer Gabriel Baralhas has found the net 3 times, with Matheuzinho and Renato Kayzer scoring 2 each. Gabriel Baralhas, Fabricio and Erick Serafim are the leading assists makers with 2.
São Paulo have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, averaging 7.1 attempts, 3.5 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. Tricolor Paulista average 50.6% possession, 5.7 corners in their favour and 3.6 corners against, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 2.8 shots on goal and 6.7 attempts.
The top scorers have been Jonathan Calleri with 6, Ferreira on 3 and Luciano Neves 2. Marcos Antonio has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Vitória predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Nathan Mendes, Camutanga, Cacá, Ramon, Gabriel Baralhas, Emmanuel Martinez, Erick, Aitor Cantalapiedra, Matheuzinho, Renato Kayzer.
São Paulo predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Lucas Ramon, Rafael Toloi, Sabino, Wendell, Damián Bobadilla, Marcos Antônio, Artur, Luciano, Aldemir Ferreira, André Silva.
Vitória vs São Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Vitória vs São Paulo betting outlook has it all, including a trusted match forecast, our predicted score, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.
Match Prediction
Vitória look a good bet in this Série A clash and we can back them at -128 with a +0.25 goal start. The latest stats suggest that the home team can avoid defeat and potentially triumph.
Sportsgambler.com boast Série A expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our football betting tips and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.
Key Vitória vs São Paulo league stats:
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 56.2% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
If you’re hunting for greater odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine Vitória to cover the line with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.
Discover top betting offers to power your next wager, including free bets, welcome bonuses, and exciting new promos.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
São Paulo
Vitória are available to back at +575 to secure a 1-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.
Player Prop Picks
Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória) has netted three goals in his past five Série A games on home soil. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +800.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
São Paulo have had a corner average of 6.40 in the past 5 games, while Vitória have averaged 4.00 corners over 5 matches. São Paulo are capable of winning the Corner Match Bet and there’s a great option to get -108 that this happens.
Vitória
São Paulo
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi is compiled of the following: Vitória with the +0.25 Asian Handicap, less than three goals in total and São Paulo racking up the most corners.
A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
Vitória vs São Paulo Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
You can get betting odds of +138 for São Paulo winning this Série A clash and the bookies have Vitória available at +205. If you want to back the draw, it’s on offer at +215.
There’s a Draw No Bet market should you wish to have some insurance and Vitória are +108 here. However, if you want to back favourites São Paulo, then -154 is on offer.
For those expecting a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader on the Total Goals market. For Both Teams to Score betting opportunities, the market suggests that BTTS Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.
If you’re betting on Série A games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.
Favourite Luciano da Rocha is priced at +550 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of +240.
Vitória League Stats
São Paulo League Stats
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 41.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 34.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 50.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Vitória this season are Gabriel Baralhas (2), Matheuzinho (2), Renato Kayzer (2)
- Top Assistors for Vitória this season are Erick Serafim (2), Gabriel Baralhas (2), Fabricio (1)
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Vitória vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News
Make sure you're up to date on the Vitória vs São Paulo team news before betting. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and the latest on injuries.
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
São Paulo Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
São Paulo Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Vitória Lineups
Previous São Paulo Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Vitória Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jair Ventura
São Paulo Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 | 25 |
| 2 | São Paulo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 20 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 20 |
| 4 | Flamengo | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 17 |
| 5 | Bahia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Athletico PR | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Atlético MG | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 14 |
| 10 | Botafogo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:19 | 12 |
| 11 | Grêmio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 12 | Vasco da Gama | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Internacional | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | 12 |
| 14 | Vitória | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Santos | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | 10 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 17 | Chapecoense | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 18 | Remo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:17 | 7 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | 7 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | 6 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 15 |
| 3 | São Paulo | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Athletico PR | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 5 | Grêmio | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Atlético MG | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Flamengo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 8 | Vasco da Gama | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 9 | Vitória | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 10 | Bahia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 11 | Santos | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 12 | Bragantino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Chapecoense | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 15 | Botafogo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 16 | Remo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 18 | Coritiba | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 19 | Internacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 20 | Corinthians | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 4 |
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